Baseball provides a nearly perfect all-day split schedule, with the first 5 of 15 games beginning in the late morning/early afternoon for MLB prop bets today. OddsShopper and the Stokastic Player Props Tool will help decipher strikeout and home run prop picks by finding the best success rates and returns on investment for today’s slates. Wednesday’s forecast appears clear nationwide today, enabling bets on all the best matchups, such as Justin Verlander taking on the New York Mets.
Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 6/29
Austin Hays O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
The Baltimore Orioles have an inviting matchup in Chris Flexen on the mound for Seattle, and Austin Hays looks to reap the benefits. This season Hays has been among the Orioles’ most effective weapons against righties, with a .831 OPS, a .191 ISO and 7 of 11 home runs in the split. Flexen has surrendered 42.6% hard contact, 1.58 home runs per nine innings and 4.87 xFIP against righties this year. In Monday’s matchup with George Kirby, another Mariners pitcher susceptible to right-handed power, Hays had two hits and a home run in a 9-2 romp, and he wasn’t the only right-handed Oriole to join in the festivities. Given Flexen’s proclivity to giving up bases to righties — .342 BABIP against them — moderate odds on Hays to reach two bases make this one of the best betting picks tonight.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Austin Hays OVER 1.5 Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani O/U 6.5 Strikeouts | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
Shohei Ohtani is arguably the best talent in baseball, yet he is somehow drawing +105 odds on the over for 6.5 strikeouts against the White Sox. Ohtani has been masterful on the mound, with a .207 average against, 33% strikeout rate and 1.01 WHIP this season. He averages 5.2 innings per start and 1.31 strikeouts per inning pitched, pacing him for 7.45 strikeouts. The White Sox have a collective 20% strikeout rate against righties, with a 90 wRC+ and .657 OPS. Coming off a career-high 13 strikeouts against the Kansas City Royals, Ohtani has exceeded tonight’s necessary seven strikeouts in 6 of 12 starts this season. He’s expected to face just three hitters with at least a 20% strikeout rate, but the plus-money odds for his average number of strikeouts create substantial value tonight.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Shohei Ohtani OVER 6.5 Total Strikeouts (+105)
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Taylor Trammell O/U 0.5 Home Runs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
Revisiting the matchup at T-Mobile Park, Taylor Trammell is getting a good draw on the mound in Austin Voth. Trammell has been lethal against righties, with a .246 ISO and 140 wRC+. Voth has a .344 average against and 1.23 HR/9 against lefties this year, and though he has proven weaker to righties, 41.1% hard contact allowed and 14.5% HR/FB rate will boost Trammell’s power. Though the prop is more of an outlier, the lofty return on investment makes this an intriguing dart throw today.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Taylor Trammell OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
**UPDATE: With Trammell just placed on 10-day injured leave, I would gladly pivot over to Julio Rodriguez on 0.5 home runs at +400 odds. Given Voth’s 2.08 HR/9 against right-handed hitting, Rodriguez fits the bill with a .775 OPS and .175 ISO including 8 of 11 home runs against right-handed pitching this season.
Gleyber Torres O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
The New York Yankees face lefty Cole Irvin today, and Gleyber Torres has a 1.5 total bases prop with +100 odds on the over. Torres has been a lefty masher, with a .954 OPS, .400 ISO and eight home runs in the split. Irvin has a 1.19 HR/9 average, but he allows 40.2% hard contact and an 11% barrel rate against righties. Torres is in a mild hitting slump, this is still one of Wednesday’s best baseball betting picks today due to the plus-money odds.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Gleyber Torres OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+100)
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