Best MLB Bets Today (7/6): Baseball Prop Betting Picks

We’re already halfway through the week and the MLB prop bets today are coursing through the veins of a 14-game schedule. We’ll lean our efforts into the prop betting lines at OddsShopper with the Stokastic Player Props Tool available later in the morning to back check our wagers prior to locking them into betting slips as a barometer for success rates and returns on investment. With a handful of pop-up showers expected across the league landscape, we’re looking to be mostly safe from postponements today barring any further setbacks in Baltimore.

Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 7/6

Jose Ramirez O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

We’ll head back to the well from the start of the holiday weekend with Jose Ramirez as he gets a 1.5 total bases prop at +105 odds against Michael Pineda. Facing right-handed pitching, Ramirez has a .308 batting average, 1.03 OPS, and .328 ISO with 13 of 16 home runs this season coming against righties. Pineda has a 45.6% hard-contact issue with an 11.1% barrel rate that fits the Ramirez mold to perfection. While facing left-handed hitting, Pineda has a 12.3% strikeout rate, 2.70 home runs per nine innings, and 6.64 FIP, including four home runs allowed against the split. The home run odds at +370 for Ramirez are also very much in play here while his 1.5 total bases prop rewarding plus-money odds forges one of the best MLB betting picks today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Jose Ramirez OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+105)

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Jose Ramirez OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+370)

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Shohei Ohtani O/U 7.5 Strikeouts | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Shohei Ohtani continues to impress on the mound, as he gets a 7.5 total strikeouts prop at +115 odds on the over as he takes on the strikeout prone Miami Marlins tonight. Ohtani has a 34.1% strikeout rate, .209 average against, and 1.01 WHIP this season following back-to-back performances of 11 strikeouts or more. Ohtani is averaging 5.69 innings pitched per start along with 1.36 strikeouts per inning, putting him on pace tonight for 7.76 strikeouts should he withstand his usual leash length. The Marlins have been surprisingly effective against right-handed pitching with a 109 wRC+ and .253 batting average while striking out 22% of the time against the split. Expected to face six hitters in the Marlins order with upward of a 21% strikeout rate, the loftier strikeout total at hand appears much more achievable given the matchup and Ohtani’s recent strikeout streak. Garnering plus-money odds for Ohtani to string together another eight K’s against this Marlins order lends considerable value on Wednesday.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Shohei Ohtani OVER 7.5 Total Strikeouts (+115)


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Kyle Schwarber O/U 0.5 Home Runs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Kyle Schwarber has a .219 batting average, .853 OPS, and .298 ISO as he draws an 0.5 total home runs prop at +210 odds against Josiah Gray. Schwarber has ripped opposing right-handed pitching with a .906 OPS and .339 ISO including 18 of 25 total home runs coming against the split. Facing left-handed hitters, Gray has a .252 average against, 2.56 HR/9, and 1.71 WHIP while allowing nine home runs against lefty bats this year. Gray has also surrendered an 11.5% barrel rate with a home run allowed in each of his past two starts, with six total earned runs coming against the Marlins in his last effort. While the odds aren’t the most appealing, reaching with a unit or two on a superb matchup for Schwarber to plant one in the seats makes for substantial supplement to any betting ticket.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Kyle Schwarber OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+210)

Anthony Rizzo O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Anthony Rizzo has a .223 batting average, .844 OPS, and .285 ISO with a 1.5 total bases prop at +120 odds on the over, as he battles Mitch Keller tonight. Rizzo is among the Yankees’ righty mashers with an .871 OPS, .293 OPS, and 16 of 22 home runs coming against opposing right-handed pitchers this year. Keller has allowed 36.5% hard-contact this season while lefties have cracked him for a .275 average against, 1.5 WHIP, and 4.58 xFIP including seven doubles, a triple, and two home runs in 36 innings pitched against the split. In his last two starts Keller has coughed up a total 14 hits and eight runs earned against while Rizzo has managed two home runs in his past three performances. Getting added plus money benefits for Rizzo to secure just two bases on hits in an appealing matchup lends to another of our best baseball betting picks today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Anthony Rizzo OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+120)

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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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