Monday begins the week of Major League Baseball with a concise six-game schedule to select the best MLB prop bets today with the best ROI. Cristian Javier and Blake Snell round out the top of the pitching list with potential for strikeout props, while Jose Ramirez and other hot bats make for added betting consideration. Troublesome weather in Cincinnati and Cleveland adds postponement potential leading up until lock. With the benefit of the Awesemo Player Props Tool, we will cross reference success rates and expected returns on investment for home runs and strikeout props, updated throughout the day.
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Cristian Javier O/U 5.5 Strikeouts
Cristian Javier has a .197 average against and 31.5% strikeout rate this season. Tonight, he faces the Seattle Mariners and has a 5.5 total strikeouts prop at OddsShopper with +130 odds on the over. Facing right-handed pitching, the Mariners have a .246 batting average, 21.9% strikeout rate, .717 OPS and 10.5% swinging-strike rate this year. Javier is averaging 1.26 strikeouts per inning while lasting 4.1 innings per game, putting him on pace for 5.1 strikeouts, just beneath the six necessary for clinching the over.
Just over a month ago, Javier pitched 5.1 innings against the Mariners in Seattle, throwing four strikeouts and allowing just two hits (87 pitches). Expected to face four lefties and two switch-hitters, he has a .222 average against and 24.5% strikeout rate against left-handed hitting this season. He has exceeded five innings in two of his last three starts, garnering nine strikeouts in each and averaging 90.66 pitches over the recent span. Though the Awesemo Player Props Tool hasn’t been updated for the day, with the Astros seeking vengeance from their road series defeat to Seattle earlier this month, take the over on Javier’s strikeouts at plus-money odds.
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Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Cristian Javier OVER 5.5 Total Strikeouts (+130)
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Alejandro Kirk O/U 1.5 Total Bases
Alejandro Kirk has a .307 batting average, .860 OPS and .164 ISO, with a 1.5 total bases prop at OddsShopper with +108 odds on the over. He will face Daniel Lynch, who has a 19.6% strikeout rate, .267 average against and 1.56 WHIP this season. Kirk is among the Blue Jays best hitter against left-handed pitching, with a .344 batting average, .882 OPS and 148 wRC+. When facing right-handed hitting, Lynch has a .278 average against, 4.77 xFIP and .331 BABIP. Despite his limited sample size against left-handed pitching, Kirk’s proven effectiveness against the split lands his total bases prop among the best baseball betting picks today.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Alejandro Kirk OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+108)
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Jose Altuve O/U 0.5 Total Home Runs
Jose Altuve has a .270 batting average, .243 ISO and 10 home runs this season, and he has an 0.5 total home runs prop at OddsShopper featuring +295 odds on the over. Opposing pitcher Robbie Ray has a 27.1% strikeout rate, .235 average against and 40.5% hard contact. Facing left-handed pitching, Altuve has a .205 batting average, .333 ISO and four home runs in 39 at-bats. Against righties, Ray has allowed a .249 average and nine home runs this year. With incentivized plus-money odds, the over on Altuve’s total home runs is another MLB prop bet worthy of Monday considerations.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Jose Altuve OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+295)
Rafael Devers O/U 1.5 Total Bases
Rafael Devers has a .341 batting average, .978 OPS and .265 ISO this season. Facing Noah Syndergaard tonight, Devers has a 1.5 total bases prop with +105 odds on the over. This season, Syndergaard has a .252 average against, 1.21 WHIP and 37.1% hard contact allowed. Devers has been the Red Sox’s best option against righties this year, with a .331 batting average, .982 OPS and 177 wRC+. Syndergaard has an 18.6% strikeout rate, 1.35 HR/9 and 4.54 FIP against lefties this year. Upon Syndergaard’s exit, Devers faces an Angels bullpen that is allowing 1.37 HR/9 and a 13.8% HR/FB rate. Needing just two bases to cash in, the over on Devers’ total bases prop lands among the best MLB predictions today.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Rafael Devers OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
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