The final weekend series before the All-Star Game allows for some teams to make up any possible last minute ground, or continue to plunge into the seller’s market. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the strategy aims to combine recent hitting and pitching trends, ballpark data, and the first inning moneyline tool at OddsShopper. This is the best and quickest sweat in baseball as six outs are all that’s needed to cash a ticket! Here are the best value plays for tonight’s action with the best NRFI bets for Friday, July 15.
Best NRFI Bets Today: No Run First Inning Picks 7/15
Phillies vs. Marlins Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
It’s been one of those special seasons for Sandy Alcantara, and there is zero reason to think the Philadelphia Phillies lineup will do anything more than go down quietly. He’s surrendered a run in the first inning in just two of his last seven starts at home, and with a 1.73 ERA and 0.91 WHIP, he’s the NL favorite to win the Cy Young. The Phillies are putrid when it comes to scoring early away from home, near the bottom of the league by averaging 0.27 runs per first inning (RPFI) on the road. Still without Bryce Harper, their numbers at the top of the lineup haven’t been the same. Miami scores just 0.32 RPFI at home, which is great for the Phillies and Kyle Gibson.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Phillies vs. Marlins NRFI (-155 BetMGM)
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Royals vs. Blue Jays Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
The fairly sizeable mismatch in talent becomes even wider with Alek Manoah on the bump for the Jays tonight. The Blue Jays’ top arm hasn’t given up a first inning run at home all season — that’s eight straight starts. He’s also facing a sneaky good Royals team — at least in this circumstance — as Kansas City averages 0.56 RPFI on the road. Despite being sixth best in baseball with that number, they face their hardest test in the first inning to date. The Royals might be in trouble, as they give up 0.72 RPFI on the road but did not get one in their last game and only saw one over their last three contests. With one side all but shut down at the doing of Manoah, it’s solid value to jump on -125 that the Jays go scoreless.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Royals vs. Blue Jays NRFI (-125 BetMGM)
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Tigers vs. Guardians Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
Records aside, both pitchers tonight come in with ERAs hovering at 4.00 on the season. Dan Plesac still carries a 2-7 record and 1.25 WHIP, and Drew Hutchinson brings a 4.08 ERA and 1.35 WHIP — not great, but not horrendous. Detroit is the worst team in all of baseball when they travel, averaging a league-worst 0.19 RPFI on the road. Amazingly, they’ve hit one over their last three, but this is not their strength by any means. The Guardians average 0.55 RPFI at home, but they’ve been blanked in each of their last three and have seen their average take a recent dip overall. All of this is enough to mitigate two mediocre pitchers, with one of them facing the Tigers on the road.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Tigers vs. Guardians NRFI (-110 BetMGM)
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