NBA Player Props & Expert Betting Picks Today

The second night of the NBA Play-In Tournament is set for Wednesday. Elimination will be the consequence of defeat in both games, including the early matchup between the Charlotte Hornets and Atlanta Hawks. Both of these teams showed tremendous promise at times this season. However, poor defensive play was a big reason they only finished ninth and 10th in the final conference standings. The combination of two bad defenses could be noteworthy when it comes to NBA betting picks and player props for tonight’s matchup.

You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Wednesday night’s Hornets – Hawks NBA play-in tournament matchup.

Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks | Hornets vs. Hawks

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets for tonight’s Hornets – Hawks play-in tournament game below.

LaMelo Ball Under 23.5 Points (-112, FanDuel)

Although he may be the young face of the Charlotte Hornets franchise, LaMelo Ball may have a hard time eclipsing the NBA player props scoring total in tonight’s play-in tournament game. Oddsmakers have certainly set a high bar for the Ball. It is worth noting right away that OddsShopper has identified a slight discrepancy in the market. Tonight’s betting line of 23.5 points sits over three full points higher than the 20.1 Ball averaged on a per-game basis this season. The onus is going to be on Ball to shine under the bright lights this evening.

If nothing else, Ball has proven capable of going over the NBA props line in recent games. He closed the regular season by scoring 24+ points in each of the Hornets’ final three games. However, it is worth pointing out that each of those matchups was against horrendous defensive teams. Although the Hawks have not been a strong defensive team over the full season, Atlanta began to clean things up on that end of the floor down the stretch.

The other thing to consider here is the fact that Ball failed to achieve the NBA player props threshold in each of three regular-season matchups against the Hawks. Ball finished with 22 points in a mid-March contest between the teams and failed to crack the 20-point mark in the two games prior. The fact that OddsShopper shows one sportsbook listing Ball’s points total at 22.5 suggests that not all bookmakers are sold on 23.5 being the correct line. Awesemo certainly recommends playing under the higher point total. Optimal -112 odds produce a 13% ROI value to go along with a projection of 21.61 points.

P.J. Washington Under 5.5 Rebounds (-135, Caesars)

When it comes to the NBA betting odds for Hornets big man P.J. Washington to record 5.5 rebounds tonight, OddsShopper suggests that the market is keen on the under. In fact, the optimal price at the time of writing requires bettors to lay -135 juice in order to bet under 5.5 boards. Yet this is 8 cents cheaper than any other listing and offers up to 25 cents of value over the highest offerings. Considering that Washington only averaged 5.2 rebounds per game over the course of the full season, he would need to exceed his usual production by nearly a full rebound in order to push this prop over.

Another key element to consider for this under prediction is how Washington closed out the regular season. Needless to say, it wasn’t exactly in peak form. In fact, he saw less than 30 minutes in each of Charlotte’s final two games. He only mustered rebound totals of three and one in those two games, respectively. In addition to playing behind Miles Bridges at the four, one could argue that Jalen McDaniels may have earned himself some minutes tonight based on his strong close to the regular season.

When it comes to team rebounding, the Hornets were one of the worst in the NBA this season. While the Hawks only wound up 15th in rebound rate, Atlanta certainly figures to have a personnel advantage on the glass in this matchup. With so many concerns regarding Washington’s ability to surpass an NBA player props line that is above his statistical average, this under wager is one of Awesemo’s favorite bets on the board for Wednesday night. A projection for Washington to finish with 4.02 rebounds churns out a massive win probability of 78%. When combined with the favorable -135 odds, the expected ROI value sits at an irresistible 36%.

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Danilo Gallinari Over 4.5 Rebounds (-145, PointsBet)

If the Hawks are to win tonight’s NBA play-in tournament matchup, they will need to account for the absence of starting power forward, John Collins. It has been roughly one full month since Collins was last on the floor in a game, and Atlanta has already ruled him out for Wednesday’s contest. As a result, bettors can expect veteran Danilo Gallinari to play an increased role. Although Gallinari missed a handful of games himself due to left knee soreness, he returned to play a plentiful number of minutes in each of the final three games of the regular season.

It is worth pointing out that Gallinari’s success in exceeding the NBA player props total of 4.5 rebounds has varied. He followed up a massive 10-rebound effort with modest totals of two and four boards in the final two games of the regular season. From a matchup standpoint, however, tonight’s game figures to serve Gallinari well. The Hornets ranked just 23rd in rebound rate this season. In addition, the fast pace that Charlotte likes to play at could presumably lead to more possessions and rebounding opportunities at both ends.

The presence of Hawks center Clint Capela cannot be overstated here either. If the Hornets pay extra attention to blocking out Atlanta’s best rebounder, Gallinari could see some great chances to crash in on the weak side. The fact that OddsShopper shows multiple sportsbooks listing this NBA betting line one full rebound higher at 5.5 suggests that there is real value in playing over the lower total. Even though the lowest price available requires bettors to lay -145 odds, Awesemo still gives this over prediction a healthy expected ROI value of 23%. A projection for Gallinari to record 6.11 rebounds also results in a confident 73% win probability.

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