A new day on the diamond also brings on new series to pick apart first inning value, especially in the later games. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the strategy tonight focuses on how vulnerable teams are to opponents in the first innings — be it home or away. As always, this is just a six-out sweat, so no more sitting through an entire game to cash a ticket! Here are the best value plays for tonight’s action with the best NRFI bets for Thursday, June 23.
Best NRFI Bets Today: No Run First Inning Picks 6/23
Astros vs. Yankees Pick
Without a doubt, this is the marquee matchup on tonight’s schedule, but it also presents top value across the board. The Yankees just don’t give up much to opponents in the first inning, with an average of just 0.25 at home. That’s second best in all of baseball. They can provide a spark on offense at times, depending on the pitching matchup, but even with New York’s power-driven lineup, it is only averaging 0.61 runs per first inning (RPFI) at home. The Astros are at a modest 0.41 RPFI on the road, so the pitching matchup will best determine the play. Both Jameson Taillon and Framber Valdez boast ERAs under 2.80 and will negate any opposing threat.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Astros vs. Yankees NRFI (-125 BetMGM)
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Phillies vs. Padres Pick
Much like the previous game, this one will also come down to the pitching matchup, but one in particular. Ranger Suarez has seen five of his six road starts begin with a first inning run, be it his team, the opposition or both. The Phillies have struggled with road scoring in the first inning, tied for third worst in MLB with a 0.29 RPFI away from home. This one will be carried by the Padres, who are coming off an explosive last game that saw four first inning runs against the Diamondbacks. That, along with the Suarez trend, is enough to take the plus money.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Phillies vs. Padres YRFI (+115 BetMGM)
Ben Rasa also has an MLB betting pick from the following game. See Ben’s best MLB bet today for the Orioles vs. White Sox.
Orioles vs. White Sox Pick
No team in Major League Baseball surrenders more runs in the first inning to visiting opponents than the White Sox. Maybe it’s something in the water; maybe it’s a healthy combination of better hitting taking advantage of a hitter-friendly park. The Orioles are league average but still give up 0.63 RPFI on the road. Don’t let the ERAs of Dean Kremer and Johnny Cueto impact the bet, especially the latter. In three home starts this year for Cueto, he’s seen all three have first inning runs from either the White Sox or their opponents.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Orioles vs. White Sox YRFI (-120 BetMGM)Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media! Check out the StokasticOdds home page for more sports betting content, including more picks and predictions.
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