Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB Prop Picks Monday 7/4 & $200 FREE at BetMGM

Happy July 4th! Baseball doesn’t take off as the rest of the nation celebrates its independence, as there is plenty of value with first inning plays later this evening. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the aim is to incorporate relevant recent trends, starting pitching, and ballparks. No need to wait for an entire game to cash these six out tickets! Here are the best value plays for tonight’s action with the best NRFI bets for Monday, July 4.

Best NRFI Bets Today: No Run First Inning Picks 7/4

Mariners vs. Padres Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

The Padres are one of baseball’s best teams when it comes to limiting opponent scoring in the first inning. While Seattle scores at a frequent rate at home in the first, it struggles to score first-inning runs on the road. San Diego scores .59 runs per first inning (RPFI) at home, which is in the middle of MLB, but the Mariners are decent in restricting opponent scoring on the road — giving up just .49 RPFI to home opponents. OddsShopper has the Padres as a strong -145 favorite to win the first inning, so this falls on Chris Flexen to keep San Diego scoreless. Flexen has held opposing batters scoreless in the first in two straight road starts.

Best NRFI Bet Today: Mariners vs. Padres NRFI (-120 BetMGM)


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Mets vs. Reds Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Great American Ballpark has certainly provided friendly enough confines for the Reds, where only the Mets score more RPFI at home in all of baseball. The Mets splits are a little wider, only scoring .45 RPFI on the road — averaging a run in each of their last three games. While Taijuan Walker stands a better chance of keeping his opponents scoreless than Hunter Greene, but the Reds have been held scoreless in the first over their last three home games. Greene faces an aggressive Mets lineup that averages .50 RPFI on the road, and the Reds are giving up .67 RPFI over their last three games. Anything the banged up Reds lineup can get off Walker is a bonus, anything the Mets get past Greene is expected.

Best NRFI Bet Today: Mets vs. Reds YRFI (-115 BetMGM)

Check out Ben Rasa’s best bet of the day for July 4th. See who Ben is targeting with his best MLB bet today.

Twins vs. White Sox Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Minnesota presents a problem for opposing pitchers at home, especially in the first inning. This is a perfect spot for the Twins, who are second in MLB averaging .74 RPFI on the road, taking on a White Sox team that gives up an MLB-worst .78 RPFI to visiting opponents. Don’t expect the White Sox to do much in the first, even up against a vulnerable Dylan Bundy and his 4.71 ERA, as Chicago only plates an average of .30 RPFI at home. Johnny Cueto needs to shut out the Twins in order for any NRFI ticket to cash, something he’s done in his last two home starts.

Best NRFI Bet Today: Twins vs. White Sox NRFI (-105 BetMGM)

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