The middle of the week always presents a unique opportunity with new series starting, and a larger slate of action. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the strategy is to factor in recent hitting trends, starting pitching, and any attackable dimensions at ballparks. Six outs is all that’s needed to cash these tickets, so no more sweating through a whole game! Here are the top value plays for tonight’s action with the best NRFI bets for Wednesday, July 6.
Best NRFI Bets Today: No Run First Inning Picks 7/6
Yankees vs. Pirates Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
The Yankees make it difficult for any opponent in the first inning away from New York. No team gives up fewer runs per first inning (RPFI) than the Yankees, surrendering just .29 RPFI to home opponents. The Pirates give up a lot on the road, but their home splits settle down, as they give up .89 RPFI on the road to only .43 RPFI at home. That dip is significant enough to bet, especially with how hard it is to score against the Yankees in first innings. New York sends Luis Severino against Mitch Keller — with the latter being the true concern in keeping opposing batters scoreless with a 5.14 ERA on the year. OddsShopper has the Yankees as a strong -170 favorite to win the first inning.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Yankees vs. Pirates YRFI (-106 FanDuel)
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Mets vs. Reds Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
The series rolls on at Great American Ballpark where the Reds continue to notch first-inning runs at a strong .85 average. We’re looking a little deeper into that number and it’s dropped considerably over the past month, as the Reds were north of 1.0 RPFI average at home. They’ve failed to register one over their last three games, and face a Mets pitcher in David Peterson who is coming off three strong starts in a row. The Mets only score .43 RPFI on the road and haven’t scored one in either of their games so far in this series. Combined with the Reds recent struggles at home, the Mets don’t look like a strong candidate either to cross the plate in the first inning — despite facing Graham Ashcroft.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Mets vs. Reds NRFI (+105 BetMGM)
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Rockies vs. Dodgers Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
OddsShopper has the Dodgers as a ridiculous -200 home favorite to win the first inning, compared to the Rockies at +165. The books don’t have that wide of a gap between YRFI and NRFI, mainly because of how tough it has been for opponents to score early in Los Angeles. The Dodgers are one of MLB’s stingiest teams, allowing just .32 RPFI to visiting opponents — tied for fourth best in baseball. As expected, the Rockies RPFI splits plummet when they hit the road, going from .77 at Coors Field to .32 away from home. There is little reason to think this Rockies team will get to Tony Gonsolin tonight with the tremendous season he’s having. Conversely, Antonio Senzatela won’t have it as easy.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Rockies vs. Dodgers NRFI (-115 BetMGM)
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