Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the aim is to combine recent hitting and pitching trends, ballpark data, and the first inning moneyline tool at OddsShopper. Here are the best value plays for today’s action with the best NRFI picks for Wednesday, Aug. 3.
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Orioles vs. Rangers Pick | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Depending on which side is played in tonight’s first inning in Texas, there’s a pitcher to back the argument. The Rangers send Martin Perez, who has dazzled with a 2.52 ERA — though, the WHIP is a tad high at 1.25 overall. Perez aims to cool off an Orioles team looking for the sweep today despite trading away some key players. Any YRFI play in this game would be heavily backed by the other side in O’s starter Kyle Bradish, who, despite being knocked around most of the year, is coming off his second-best start. Texas is below league average in scoring 0.55 runs per first inning (RPFI) at home, and Baltimore is even worse on the road — 0.29 RPFI. Bradish will help a Rangers team that is already creating some scoring chances earlier in games, while the Rangers give up 0.53 RPFI at home — seventh worst in the sport.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Orioles vs. Rangers YRFI (+100 DraftKings)
Mets vs. Nationals | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Gone is Juan Soto, but the Nationals still survived the return of Jacob deGrom. While Washington’s concerns might be a little less going up against Chris Bassitt, they still have plenty of their own internally with Anibal Sanchez. In just three starts, Sanchez has done enough to cause plenty of anxiety ahead of his next start, but there’s a great chance to attack early value. Sanchez just gave up six runs in his last start — his worst of the three — and is prime to hand over a run or two today. The Mets already score a workable 0.44 RPFI on the road, and Sanchez should increase scoring chances alone with how bad he’s been. Meanwhile, Bassitt is not bulletproof by any means, as he’s given up a first inning run in two of his last five road starts.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Mets vs. Nationals YRFI (-120 BetMGM)
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Cubs vs. Cardinals Pick | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Miles Mikolas has done a fantastic job of limiting runs, keeping his ERA down to 2.86 despite an 8-8 record; the latter reflects a lack of run support rather than poor performances on the mound. There have been a couple of rough outings, including two starts ago, but it’s been better more often than not for Mikolas — holding opposition to two runs in 8 of his last 10 starts. Justin Steele’s job is to limit the Cardinals bats and secure three outs before anyone crosses the plate. He has done that in two of his last four road starts and will be the reason why this NRFI bet holds.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Cubs vs. Cardinals NRFI (-115 BetMGM)Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media! Check out the StokasticOdds home page for more sports betting content, including more picks and predictions.
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