Major League Baseball has a 16-game schedule for today, including all 30 teams and a double-header to determine expert MLB picks and predictions. At an early glance, the weather across the league landscape is bereft of postponement threats.
Best MLB Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions
Royals vs. Rangers O/U 8 Total Runs (-105)
The Kansas City Royals begin a three-game road series with the Texas Rangers sending Brad Keller to the mound against Martin Perez. The weather at Globe Life Field forecasts a warm 88 degrees. The Rangers are -135 moneyline favorites in a game with a 7.9 total, and OddsShopper projects 8.5 runs, leading to a 9.3% return on investment for the over. Keller has a 16.5% strikeout rate, .168 average against and 0.84 WHIP. Last season, he managed a 19.6% strikeout rate, .292 average against and 4.72 FIP. Tonight, Keller is expected to face five righties and four lefties. He has allowed a .247 average, 0.70 home runs per nine innings and 1.2 WHIP against right-handed hitters over his career. The Rangers have a .208 batting average, .574 OPS and 73 wRC+.
Perez has a 18.3% strikeout rate, .204 average against and 1.04 WHIP this season. With Boston last year, Perez had a 19.1% strikeout rate, .293 average against and 4.82 FIP. The Royals are expected to have six righties and three lefties. Perez had a .308 average against, 4.67 xFIP and 35.6% hard contact surrendered to right-handed hitting in 2021. The Kansas City offense has a .234 batting average, .622 OPS and 86 wRC+ when facing left-handed pitching this season. Despite two sputtering offenses facing improved pitching from both Keller and Perez, OddsShopper projects the over as one of the best MLB bets today.
Best MLB Bet Today: Royals vs. Rangers OVER 8 Runs (-105)
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Marlins vs. Diamondbacks O/U 8 Total Runs (-120)
The Miami Marlins will have Jesus Luzardo on the mound against Madison Bumgarner and the Arizona Diamondbacks. Weather in Phoenix forecasts a warm 86 degrees. The Marlins are -134 moneyline favorites in a game with an 8.2 total, while OddsShopper projects 8.4 runs, leading to a -4.8% return on investment for the under due to excess juice. Luzardo has a 33.3% strikeout rate, .172 average against and 1.06 WHIP. Last season, Luzardo had a 22.4% strikeout rate, .275 average against and 5.48 FIP. Tonight, Luzardo is expected to face four lefties, three righties and two switch-hitters. Against left-handed batting over his career, he has a 26.9% strikeout rate, 0.57 HR/9 and 2.81 FIP. Arizona’s offense has a .186 batting average, .568 OPS and league-worst 66 wRC+ when facing left-handed pitching this year.
Bumgarner has a 15.3% strikeout rate, .184 average against and 1.13 WHIP in six starts this year, compared to 20.2%, .238 and a 4.63 FIP in 2021. Miami is expected to have righties and one lefty in the lineup, and Bumgarner allowed a .256 average, 1.23 WHIP and 38.8% hard contact to righties last season. The Marlins have a .212 batting average, .642 OPS and 91 wRC+ when facing left-handed pitching this year. With each offense struggling against the lefty split, OddsShopper projects the over in Arizona as another of the best MLB bets today.
Best MLB Bet Today: Marlins vs. Diamondbacks OVER 8 Runs (-120)
More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today
- Tigers vs. Athletics Game 1 Under (+105), 1.4% xROI
- Dodgers vs. Pirates Over (-105), 8% xROI
- Brewers vs. Reds Under (-110), 1% xROI
- Red Sox vs. Braves Over (-110), 7% xROI
- Astros vs. Twins Over (-110), 23.9% xROI
- Guardians vs. White Sox Under (-110), 3.5% xROI
- Los Angeles Angels Moneyline (+100), 2% xROI
- Phillies vs. Mariners Over (-102), 3.1% xROI
- Cubs vs. Padres Under (-120), 4.7% xROI
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