Week 4 in the NFL season caps off with an AFC West divisional matchup on Monday Night Football that is close in the NFL betting odds. The Las Vegas Raiders will be welcomed by many of their fans in Los Angeles as they face off with the Chargers. There are plenty of areas of opportunity to make some money in tonight’s game, so let’s go over some of the NFL best bets for Week 4 Monday Night Football.
BetMGM Week 4 NFL Best Bets: Monday Night Football
Point Spread: Raiders +3 (-110)
Awesemo’s Sports Betting Model compares the current point spread the sportsbook provides compared to what the expected point spread should be, and the same for point totals and moneylines. The model shows an expected point spread of 1.8 points, but BetMGM has the point spread set at 3 points. Taking the Raiders and the 3 points provides a positive ROI, as the expected ROI was 4.9% when the spread was at 3.5 points. With game expected to come down to a field goal, as many have this season, take the team getting 3 points for protection from however that kick plays out, even if it pushes at an even 3.
Austin Ekeler Yards Receiving: Over 37.5 (-115)
The Awesemo Player Prop Tool projects Austin Ekeler to total 40.21 yards receiving tonight. After the fluke in Week 1 where Ekeler was not targeted in the passing game, he has responded with target totals of nine and six. This amount of work has resulted in receiving totals of 61 and 52 yards. With tonight’s game expected to be competitive, expect Ekeler to touch the ball often on the ground and through the air, leading to him going over this receiving total yet again.
Larry Rountree III Yards Rushing: Over 12.5 (-110)
Backing up Ekeler in the Chargers backfield is sixth-round rookie Larry Rountree III. While his past two games have been lackluster, Rountree carried the ball eight times for 27 yards in Week 1. The Awesemo Player Prop Tool expects a similar type of performance tonight, projecting him for 17.58 yards on the ground. This gives the over a 60% chance to hit tonight.
Same Game Parlay (+725)
At BetMGM, you can manipulate the stat totals for players to create your perfect same game parlay. That is exactly what we did. Here is a six-leg parlay with +725 odds, meaning it is a $72.50 profit per $10 bet.
- Both Teams Over 0.5 Made Field Goals
- Derek Carr 1+ Touchdown Passing
- Darren Waller 70+ Yards Receiving
- Bryan Edwards 30+ Yards Receiving
- Hunter Renfrow 35+ Yards Receiving
- Austin Ekeler 35+ Yards Receiving
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