Tonight Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs will host Daniel Jones and the New York Giants. There are various places to go for both game and NFL prop bets, and BetMGM Sportsbook is a great place to look for this Week 8 Monday Night Football game. Here are some of the best NFL bets and picks to make tonight.
BetMGM Week 8 NFL Best Bets: Sunday Night Football
Point Spread: Giants +10.5 (-115)
Awesemo’s Sports Betting Model is the place to look before placing any bets. The model compares the current point spread the sportsbook provides compared to the expected point spread, and the same for money lines and point totals. The model gives an expected point spread of 8.5 points. BetMGM is offering 10.5 as the point spread. With a two-point difference between the expected spread and current spread, the Giants +10.5 (-115) is the bet.
Point Total: Over 52.5 (-110)
Awesemo’s Sports Betting Model gives an expected point total of 53.5 points while BetMGM is giving 52.5 points right now. The expected ROI of betting the over is 6.2%.
Darrel Williams Rushing Yards: Over 58.5 (-115)
When looking for player props, Awesemo’s Player Props Tool is the place to see what players are projected to do compared to the odds offered at sportsbooks. Darrel Williams is projected to rush for 74.75 yards with a 72% chance of winning the bet. Williams is averaging 3.5 yards per carry. If he maintains his average and gets over 16 carries, he would hit the over. After getting just five carries last week but 21 carries the previous week.
Travis Kelce Receptions Made: Under 6.5 (+105)
The Player Props Tool projects Travis Kelce for 6.12 receptions. Kelce is averaging 6.43 receptions per game. 6.5 receptions per game is Kelce’s median on the season. According to the props tool, Kelce has a 57% chance of winning the bet. With Kansas City favored by over 10 points, there is a chance Kelce’s volume will be diminished.
Patrick Mahomes Pass Completions: Under 26.5 (-110)
The Player Props Tool projects Patrick Mahomes for 25.16 completions. Mahomes averages 26.71 completions per game, with a median of 25.5 completions per game. The model gives this bet a 65% chance of winning.
One-Game Parlay (+805)
The best one-game parlay at BetMGM is a series that projects well in the Player Props Tool: Patrick Mahomes under 299.5 yards passing (296.64 projected), Daniel Jones over 249.5 yards passing (260.54 projected) and Evan Engram under 39.5 yards receiving (32.55 projected). If all three legs of this parlay hit, that wins 8x the bet.
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