CBB Pick 3 – Wednesday December 5th
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This article is going to be focused on College Basketball and will highlight 3 DFS players that stand out , and 3 potential wagers against the spread. Feel free to jump in our new Sports betting slack channel for additional information and conversation about the upcoming nights game in CBB and other sports throughout the season.
3 DFS Plays
Daniel Gafford – Arkansas – $8800 DK – Gafford leads a Razorback team that loves to push the tempo and get the game moving which is a nice boost anytime they are on a slate. The big man is a double double threat on any night and pads the stats with blocks/steals so the upside is never in question. The few concerns are always A) Foul trouble and B) the minutes aren’t always what we want to see from a guy wit this type of price tag. However in a competitive road game (Ark -6.5) vs Colorado State we should see Gafford push for 30+ minutes and that has the potential for a massive outing tonight.
Frankie Ferrari – San Francisco – $7300 DK – Certainly not a household name as SFO basketball isn’t getting much press these days , but Ferrari paces a solid Dons squad and they actually come in as a 6 point favorite at Cal tonight. The senior guard has played 32+ minutes in 5 straight games and should be out there as much as he can handle tonight against Cal. The shooting has been volatile so far this year which has hurt the upside a bit , but I think he makes for a solid mid-range target tonight vs a Cal defense that hasn’t stood out in any way so far this year.
Andre Wesson – Ohio State – $4300 DK – Ohio State is off to a solid start this year with the lone loss coming vs Syracuse. They’ve faced a few quality squads as well as some cupcakes so we have some data and information to go off of now that the season is underway. Andre Wesson is a guy who is seeing major minutes in games that are competitive and a road battle at Illinois should be just that even if the Illini are in a down year. He hasn’t shown major upside , but when he stays out of foul trouble he is an important piece of this offense which gives him a solid floor at a 4.3k tag.
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3 Games Against the Spread
North Carolina -25 (-115) vs UNC Wilmington- Laying 25 points is not something I do very often , but this game did catch my eye a bit just because of situational factors. UNC was embarrassed vs Michigan last week and has had a bit of a break to let that simmer, all while coach Roy Williams repeatedly talked about how much work needs to be done. Coby White (G UNC) is sitting tonight with injury , but UNC has plenty of depth and comes home vs a UNCW team who obviously has a massive talent disadvantage and hasn’t played anyone near the caliber of this UNC team. Furthermore they have been playing with a little more pace lately which is a recipe for disaster against a UNC team that wants to push the tempo as much as possible. The O/U of 170 shows that plenty of points will be scored and I expect an angry UNC team to really lay it on this UNCW team tonight so -25 is something I’m willing to lay.
St Joseph’s -3 @ Princeton – I haven’t seen a ton of Princeton this year , but from a look at their early season schedule it seems like they haven’t faced many tough opponents and the 4-2 record is somewhat untested. The Hawks come in 4-4 but have faced plenty of quality opponents during this opening stretch of the year. It is a tricky spot with St. Joes coming off a loss vs Temple and having Villanova on deck, but I’m willing to lay the points on the road against a team I think may be overvalued a bit due to a very soft opening schedule.
Wyoming +4.5 vs South Carolina – This is a weird one as Wyoming basketball has been ugly so far this year with a 2-6 record and no real momentum coming in. However a trip to Laramie for their first road game may be a trap for a South Carolina team who really doesn’t have a quality win on the resume yet. They were blown out by Wofford , and close losses to Stony Brook and Providence aren’t the most egregious thing you can find , but I still do not think the talent gap here is as big as most make it. Justin James is a senior guard averaging 25 a game for the Cowboys and he should be able to keep them in range to steal one at home tonight. It is worth noting Hunter Maldonado (G , Wyoming) is currently a GTD with back spasms and he is a key contributor to the team so keep an eye on his status as the day goes on.
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