NFL Divisional Round Sunday Betting Picks + Odds Boosts | Patrick Mahomes + More

There are few better ways to win money in the NFL playoffs than looking at the odds boosts from every sportsbook. Odds boosts are the wagers where sportsbooks shift the odds every so slightly in your favor on certain bets. In the postseason, that means plenty of chances to make some money on some those super specific prop bets. Due to limits, these aren’t going to be the huge moneymakers, but our job is to search the sportsbooks to find the best value for your betting buck. We scoured the internet to find you the best NFL odds, prop bets and NFL picks to wager on for this Divisional Round Playoffs. With a intriguing doubleheader planned for Sunday, the NFL betting picks are tantalizing for the two Divisional Round games Sunday. You need to keep your eyes on all four teams playing: the Kansas City Chiefs, Cleveland Browns, New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The two Sunday games are interesting in two very different ways. We kick off the festivities with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs trying to advance to the AFC title game for the third consecutive year as they host Cleveland. Mahomes has had two weeks off, so it will be fascinating to see if there is any rust for the first-team offense against a Cleveland team that rode the momentum from a great start last week to victory. The nightcap features two 40-plus-year-old quarterbacks competing for one last shot at glory as Drew Brees and the Saints host Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. There was so much talk about these quarterbacks heading into the game, but the sportsbooks largely stayed away from these two in the odds boosts. Instead, we focus on the skill positions around Brees for this important matchup.

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Divisional Sunday NFL Betting Picks + Odds Boosts

NFL Betting Picks: Patrick Mahomes 300+ Yards & 3+ Passing Touchdowns

(+195 DraftKings)

Mahomes had a streak of six straight games with 300 yards passing earlier this season, but he failed to hit that mark in his final two games of the regular season. What is more surprising is that Mahomes only threw three touchdown passes six times in 15 starts this season, which seems low for an offense that relied so heavily on the pass this year. Cleveland’s passing defense succeeded last week by getting pressure on the quarterback and getting hands in the passing lanes. That will be far more difficult against Mahomes, who will be comfortable to sit in the pocket and pick apart the Browns suspect coverage. The Steelers threw for 300-plus yards in consecutive weeks against this defense, and Tennessee also topped 300 yards through the air.

There is still a question of how much Clyde Edwards-Helaire will be able to play this week, and if he does play, he’ll still be limited. The Chiefs don’t have a great running game without Edwards-Helaire, so it will be on Mahomes to win the game with his arm. The Browns, like so many teams, don’t have a good answer for Travis Kelce, and if the Browns decide to devote a cornerback to him, it should open the door for Mecole Hardman to make an impact on Cleveland’s third cornerback. Kansas City simply has too many weapons for Mahomes to not have a big day.

NFL Betting Picks: Tyreek Hill Scores First Touchdown

(+680 FanDuel)

The return of Denzel Ward and Kevin Johnson to the Browns secondary will be important, but there is still concern over how well they will be able to contain Hill. The Chiefs receiver has the speed to be a deep threat for Kansas City and he’ll certainly test this Cleveland secondary early and often. Hill caught a touchdown in 11 of Kansas City’s 15 games, and he’s most likely to provide an early jolt to the Kansas City offense, which hasn’t played at full strength in two weeks (longer if you include the injury to Edwards-Helaire). The Chiefs are going to be raring to go in this game and they’ll take their shots early to test this Browns defense with Hill.

NFL Betting Picks: Alvin Kamara Scores First Touchdown

(+500 DraftKings)

Without much action available on the two quarterbacks, the best betting options are on the weapons like Kamara. New Orleans is going to try to establish a good rushing presence early in this game, and Kamara is a great back to help in that endeavor. The 4.3 yards per carry Kamara averaged last week were his lowest total since Week 11, and he’s versatile enough that the Saints can use him in a variety of ways to attack this Buccaneers defense. Without Taysom Hill, Kamara will get more looks around the goal line, and he’s proven to have the power to be able to tough out yards to reach the end zone.

What will be interesting to see is how Tampa Bay adjusts to defending Kamara as a receiver. He had five catches for 51 yards and a touchdown when the two teams met to open the season, but then had just nine yards on five catches when the teams met in Tampa. This is a vastly different offense, though, than the one New Orleans took to Tampa, as Michael Thomas has emerged as the top receiver again and the Saints have found a good rhythm with Kamara as a feature back. He’ll have plenty of chances to reach the end zone to open the scoring in this one.

NFL Betting Picks: Michael Thomas Scores Touchdown

(+150 PointsBet)

Last week’s touchdown has been a long time coming for Thomas, who has finally looked healthy and like New Orleans’ top receiver. Tampa Bay ranked 21st against the pass this season, so there will be plenty of chances for Brees to pick the Buccaneers apart with the passing game. Thomas was only targeted seven times last week, but he had double-digit targets twice in his last four games of the regular season. That connection between Brees and Thomas never disappeared, and that’s a matchup Brees will likely try to exploit early to help open up the running game with Kamara. Plus, Thomas is a key red-zone threat to finish off drives as both an excellent route runner and big body.


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