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FREE MLB Picks and Parlays Today 7/26

Tyler Schmidt

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For this large 13-game MLB slate, we’re going with the Tuesday 10x Parlay. This parlay is for bettors who go big or go home. The 10x parlay features the top ROI bets in the market based on simulations from Stokastic’s team of data scientists. These parlays are built to exceed at least 10 times the initial bet. For this piece, we will use the OddsShopper MLB Parlay Builder paired with the Stokastic MLB projections to make the best MLB picks and parlays today.


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This article will use BetMGM, which has fantastic referral deals where you can bet $10 and claim $200 FREE! There are five strikeout props listed below. Even if you took out one of these props, a 10x return would still be in play so choose wisely the route to take.

MLB Picks and Parlays Today 7/26

German Marquez O/U 3.5 Strikeouts | Get Your FREE $200 NOW

By far the biggest favorite in this 10x parlay is German Marquez over 3.5 strikeouts. He has captured four or more strikeouts in three straight games and in 11 of his last 14. Even with hitting this strikeout prop at a 78.6% rate recently, Marquez still only has an 18.8% strikeout rate, which is the lowest it has been since the 2016 season. Marquez has also allowed a career-high 1.56 HR/9 and has a 5.47 ERA in his 18 starts this season. Pitching in Coors Field has its downside, and the White Sox have a 5.7 implied run total, which is tied for the second highest on the slate. The White Sox also rank 26th in team strikeout rate, so Marquez has his work cut out for him. Marquez has allowed a 6.63 ERA at Coors Field, but his strikeout rate increases to 19.8% compared to 17.6% on the road. This line is simply too low. Marquez has a xWin rate of 75%, which is extremely high. Lock it in.

Best MLB Pick Today: German Marquez OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (-165)


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Spenser Watkins O/U 3.5 Strikeouts | Get Your FREE $200 NOW

After spending several seasons in the Tigers and Orioles farm systems, Spenser Watkins has gotten his second chance at the major leagues this season. He has a 3.93 ERA and 1.37 WHIP, which is substantially better than his 2021 season. Even with better numbers on the mount, Watkins still only 13.6% strikeout rate. After starting out with eight straight games going under this prop line, Watkins has gone over in three of his last four. Watkins has also won three of his last four starts as well. This is another good strikeout matchup for Watkins, as the Rays rank in the top five in strikeout rate this season. However, Watkins and the Orioles are a +163 underdog, and the Rays are implied for 4.5 runs. Stokastic’s MLB Model has Watkins only projected for 2.9 strikeouts, pointing to the under. Another major positive is Watkins averaged 69.9 pitches per game in his 12 starts.

Best MLB Pick Today: Spenser Watkins UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts (-130)


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Garrett Hill O/U 3.5 Strikeouts | Get Your FREE $200 NOW

Tonight will be the fourth major league start for Garrett Hill in this matchup at home against the Padres. Hill went over this strikeout prop in his last start but failed to do so in his previous two games. He only has a 12.3% strikeout rate, but Stokastic projects Hill to get 4.3 strikeouts tonight and gives it an xWin of 63%. The Padres only rank 20th in team strikeout rate and are implied to score 4.7 runs. This is a tough prop to get behind, but trust the numbers in this spot; the over is a -130 favorite. This feels like a bet on Hill’s upside. In the minor leagues this season, Hill had a 40.9% strikeout rate in seven starts in Double-A and a 28.7% strikeout rate in eight starts in Triple-A. Hill’s strikeout rate hasn’t translated to the major leagues just yet, but maybe tonight is the night. He has shown plenty of upside in the minor leagues to provide confidence.

Best MLB Pick Today: Garrett Hill OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (-130)


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Taijuan Walker O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | Get Your FREE $200 NOW

A matchup with the New York Yankees always comes as a boom-or-bust spot for opposing starting pitchers. Taijuan Walker will get his chance at a boom performance tonight as he looks to improve on his 7-2 record this season. When facing the team that has the most runs and home runs in the league, keeping the ball in the ballpark is vital to success. Walker has done just that this season, as he has a very impressive 0.39 HR/9. This Subway Series is sure to not disappoint, with both teams having fantastic seasons. The Mets are slight home underdogs, but Walker has been electric on the mound recently. He has a win or a no-decision in each of his last seven starts. During that time, Walker has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of those seven starts. Don’t be intimidated by the matchup; Walker is pitching extremely well lately.

Best MLB Pick Today: Taijuan Walker OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (-105)


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Luis Garcia O/U 5.5 Strikeouts | Get Your FREE $200 NOW

Luis Garcia is the only underdog in this parlay, as his strikeout prop line is the highest at 5.5 in this road matchup against the Athletics, who are implied for a slate-low 2.9 runs tonight. Strikeout props from opposing pitchers against the Athletics always seem to show up in these parlays. They are hard to judge because the Athletics rank just inside the top 10 in strikeout rate for a team and have scored the second-fewest runs in the league. Garcia has a 26.3% strikeout rate this season, paired with a 1.06 WHIP. He has gone over this prop in six of his last seven starts, which draws immediate concern to this under. Garcia has only thrown over 93 pitches twice in his 16 starts, so maybe the Athletics can ride the momentum from their victory last night and get Garcia out early. This is the only prop in this parlay where the projections suggest a loss and the xWin is under 50%. Regardless, there is incredible value in this number if Garcia has a tough outing.

Best MLB Pick Today: Luis Garcia UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts (+115)


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