The Los Angeles Lakers have a home game against the Washington Wizards tonight, but they’ll be playing without Dennis Schroder and Anthony Davis again. They have struggled to overcome their absences in recent games, but a defensively vulnerable Wizards team could be just what they need to right the ship. That said, the Wizards just took down the Trail Blazers their last time on the court, so they have some momentum heading into tonight’s matchup. If you’re looking to get some skin in the game, here’s a breakdown of the game’s NBA betting picks market.
NBA Betting Picks, Odds and Trends | Wizards vs. Lakers
Wizards vs. Lakers Game Info
Washington Wizards (10-17) at Los Angeles Lakers (22-9)
Date: Monday, Feb. 22, 2021
Start Time: 10 p.m. EST
Venue: STAPLES Center — Los Angeles, Calif.
Coverage: NBATV
The Lakers are coming off a two-game losing skid, as they lost games to both the Nets and Heat. They have won only two games in regulation since Feb. 4, when they first played the Nuggets, and one of those wins came with an Davis active.
On the other side of the court, Washington is on a four-game winning streak. They have beaten the Trail Blazers, Nuggets, Rockets and Celtics as part of it, and they last lost to the Knicks on Feb. 12 in a game they had to play without Bradley Beal.
Wizards vs. Lakers Point Spread Trends
The Lakers had a strong start to the year against the spread, but they’ve since fallen off considerably. Their 14-17 record against the spread now ranks as the eighth worst in the NBA. In contrast, the Wizards have turned things around after a slow start. Their 13-14 record against the spread is still 10th worst, but they’re close to .500 than the Lakers.
With Los Angeles set at home favorites in tonight’s matchup, it’s worth noting that they have struggled in such situations. They have just a 5-10 record against the spread when favored at home. In contrast, the Wizards have been strong when playing as road underdogs, and they have a 6-5 record against the spread in such situations.
Like the trends do, my efficiency-based NBA betting model also favors the Wizards. It projects a three-point Lakers win, which would be enough for Washington to cover the spread.
Wizards vs. Lakers Over/Under Trends
The Wizards play at the league’s fastest pace. They average 107.1 possessions per game, and that number jumps to 109.5 over their last three. In contrast, the Lakers play at just the 15th-fastest pace, but that craters to the fourth-slowest when you look at just their last three games — all of which they played without Davis, and two of which they played without Schroder.
Although we know Washington has a penchant for high-scoring matchups, the sportsbooks do too, and the over has hit in only 51.8% of their games. Meanwhile, the over has hit in only 35.5% of Los Angeles’ matchups. The Lakers haven’t scored more than 100 points in their last two games, too.
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Wizards vs. Lakers NBA Betting Against the Spread Picks + Odds Shopping
The trends point to value on Washington tonight. If you agree with them, most sportsbooks have them as 7-point favorites at -110. You can buy them at that rate at SugarHouse, FanDuel Sportsbook, PointsBet, DraftKings or William Hill. Should you favor the Lakers instead, head over to BetMGM to get them as just 6.5-point favorites at the same rate. These lines may move as tip-off approaches, so be sure to double-check OddsShopper to confirm that you’re getting the best deal.
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Wizards vs. Lakers NBA Betting Against the Spread Picks + Odds Shopping
Sportsbooks have this total set between 227.5 and 228. That’s reasonably high, but lower than what we’re used to seeing for Wizards games. That said, the trends call for the under, and if you agree with them, you can find the highest total at the best juice on PointsBet. Should you disagree and expect a high-scoring battle, head over to BetMGM for the lowest total at -110. These lines may move as the game approaches, so make sure to follow any movement directly through OddsShopper.
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