When it comes to NFL betting, there are often few better wagers to gamble on than NFL odds boosts. They are bets that are exactly what they sound like: Promotions from sportsbooks that move the odds in your favor on certain bets. Most of them are the specific prop bets that you might be searching for by yourself, and oftentimes the odds are fairly enticing. Rarely can you make a lot of money on these bets because of limits, but our job is to highlight the best NFL prop bets and NFL picks to wager on every weeks. We scour the internet trying to find the best Week 16 NFL odds boosts for you every day from every sportsbook. The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots close out Week 16 with a Monday Night Football showdown as the Bills try to chase the No. 2 seed in the AFC.
Whenever the Bills are playing, the sportsbooks are going to flock to one man in particular. As much as I tried to add some variety to today’s picks, everyone wanted to put out bets on Josh Allen, so that is what we’re going to discuss today. It makes sense that Allen is the darling of the sportsbooks because his breakout year has unsurprisingly coincided with the best season in Buffalo in a quarter century. People are dying to cash in on Allen’s success — and at times failures — and the sportsbooks know this matchup in particular will be an interesting test for Allen. These three bets do focus on Allen, but Stefon Diggs and Cam Newton will make an appearance as well to add a little more flavor for the game.
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Week 16 Monday Night Football NFL Odds, Picks + Prop Bets
NFL Picks: Josh Allen 300+ Yards Passing (+200 BetMGM)
On the face of it, this is not a smart bet to make. The Patriots have let just one quarterback (Deshaun Watson) throw for 300 yards this season, and the next four teams New England has faced since then have all thrown for fewer than 200 yards. New England ranks fifth against the pass and has the second-most interceptions of any team in the league. Of course, the Patriots have also faced the fewest passing attempts of any team in the league, and Allen is by far the best passing threat the Patriots have faced since Watson. There is also the small fact that All-Pro cornerback Stephon Gilmore is out for the season, and J.C. Jackson and his eight interceptions are listed as questionable due to a knee injury.
With the Patriots banged up in the secondary, it’s hard to see the Bills shifting away from the high-powered passing attack that has led them to four straight wins and seven wins in the last eight contests. Allen is going to attack those weaknesses in the Patriots defense and force Bill Belichick to get creative in how he shuts down the Bills offense. After having no 300-yard passing games in his first two seasons, Allen has hit the mark seven times in the first 14 games this year, and he’s been at his best over the last six weeks of the season. This is a far different Allen than the one that faced New England in Buffalo earlier this season, and you can tell this version of Allen is seeing the field much better.
For those who think this bet might not go far enough, FanDuel is offering +380 NFL odds on Allen to throw for at least 300 yards, with Diggs going for 100 yards receiving. It will be interesting to see how Belichick decides to defend Diggs given the injuries in his secondary. Diggs has gone over 100 yards in each of the last two weeks, as Allen has used his top receiver to help build a rhythm within the offense. The downside to this bet in my mind is Diggs could have a performance like he did against San Francisco, when he caught 10 passes and looked great but was still shy of 100 yards. If the Patriots take away Diggs, Allen has plenty of options with Cole Beasley, Gabriel Davis and Dawson Knox, who have proven capable of carrying the load for Buffalo.
NFL Picks: Josh Allen 3+ Touchdowns (+185 PointsBet)
It was surprising to see that Allen has only thrown for three touchdowns twice in the last six weeks, but then you take a closer look at the stats and it all makes sense. Allen has actually accounted for at least three touchdowns in four of the last six games after catching a touchdown against Arizona and running for two last week against Denver. I doubt Allen will catch a touchdown this week (more on that below), but Allen has consistently been put in excellent positions to score and make plays this season.
The Patriots have allowed only 18 touchdown passes this season, but there might not be much they can do to slow down the Bills at the moment. The injuries in the secondary will make it that much more difficult for New England against the bevy of receivers the Bills will deploy. Plus, Allen is a threat with his legs, and that will require discipline from New England’s pass rush and linebackers to keep him contained. It’s a weird twist of fate for these two franchises given how the last two decades have played out, but the Bills are clearly the better team and have the better quarterback. Allen will likely show that tonight’s Week 16 tilt in New England as the Bills continue to hold their own in the battle for playoff positioning.
Ben Rasa's Bet of the Day Awesemo's sports betting expert Ben Rasa pours over the day's betting lines and breaks down the best bet of the day for you to build your sports betting card around.NFL Picks: Josh Allen & Cam Newton Score Touchdowns (+315 DraftKings)
This is by far the riskiest bet because it requires both Allen and Newton to run for scores, which is far from a guarantee. Belichick is going to devise ways to keep Allen in the pocket and prevent him from using his legs like he did on the 24-yard touchdown he had last week. Allen, though, is arguably the Bills’ best option for running at the goal line, and he has the toughness to power through for those final couple of feet. That is sort of what I’m banking on for Allen to score his touchdown, though I also wouldn’t put it past Brian Daboll to dial up a trick play that sees Allen catch a touchdown pass. The latter is far more unlikely, but the Bills have done stranger things at stranger times before.
Newton has rushed for a touchdown in just one of his last five games and has had mediocre success when running over that span. The difference is that the Bills’ aggressive pass rush will open the door for Newton to potentially use his athleticism to escape out of sacks and make plays with his feet when things aren’t there in the passing game. Newton has thrown twice as many interceptions as touchdowns, so the Patriots are going to have to win the game with running the football and controlling the clock. That means plenty of Week 16 Newton keepers, and perhaps one of them will be near the goal line where he could sneak it in over the Bills defense. It’s not likely Newton will score, but he also seems the most probable of the Patriots players to bet on scoring a touchdown.
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