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Ally 400 NASCAR Betting Picks & Predictions | Sunday 6/26

Phillip Bennetzen



Ally 400 NASCAR best bets

NASCAR heads to Tennessee for the Ally 400, live from Nashville Superspeedway this Sunday afternoon. Let’s dive into expert NASCAR picks this week and go over a few options for the outright market, positional selections and the best Ally 400 betting picks and predictions for Sunday’s event.

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NASCAR Picks & Predictions: Ally 400

Kyle Busch to Win (+700)

One of the better aspects of the 2022 NASCAR Cup season, as far as keeping records goes, is the split that no longer exists in horsepower packages from one type of track to another. For the past few seasons, Kyle Busch had a demonstrated better track record at intermediate venues in the 550-horsepower package than how he performed at shorter tracks where the 750-horsepower package was used. Any concern that an increase in horsepower would hurt Busch in 2022 was far overblown, as he has been consistently strong from track to track.

Thus far in 2022, his finishes have gone 4th, 7th, 33rd, 3rd, 2nd and 2nd, at tracks as short as Dover (one mile), up to the intermediate ovals (Las Vegas, Kansas, Charlotte) and everything in between (Darlington, World Technology). With four top-five finishes in these six races, he’s consistently finishing higher than everyone else in Sunday’s field, and the only driver approaching his consistency is teammate Christopher Bell (+1600), who has no finish worse than 10th but no finish better than fourth in those same six races. In the hours before Friday’s practice session gets underway, betting on Busch is a bet on consistency and a driver who keeps finding himself within striking distance of a victory at tracks with similar length and distance.

Best Ally 400 NASCAR Pick: Kyle Busch to Win +700

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Ross Chastain to Win (+800)

If last year’s event has any bearing on this year’s race, Chastain is going to be a name to remember on Sunday. With this linear thinking, it makes sense to consider the driver (Kyle Larson +500) who led 264 of 300 laps last year. However, the 2022 version of Larson doesn’t equate to the 2021 version of himself that had won three events by the time Nashville happened, whereas this season Larson has won just once, a win that came via pit strategy at Auto Club. It’s worth noting that Larson is leading laps (156 in the six corollary races to Nashville) but not at the clip he was last season (962 combined laps led at Las Vegas, Atlanta, Kansas, Dover, Darlington and Charlotte). Not to mention, Larson will be without crew chief Cliff Daniels this weekend after Larson lost an entire wheel two weeks ago at Sonoma.

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Regardless, in this race last year, Chastain was a surprise name who ended his day in second place and was closing on Larson before the race concluded. Fast forward to this year and Chastain is averaging the most laps led in the six races mentioned above (58.7), with two top-five finishes (Las Vegas, Dover) and two other top-10 results. Another bright spot for Chastain was a peak Nashville week from Daniel Suarez, his teammate, who finished seventh in this race.

Best Ally 400 NASCAR Pick: Ross Chastain to Win +800

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More Ally 400 NASCAR Picks, Parlays and Best Bets

The following is an intriguing list of picks, parlays and best bets being offered by BetMGM for this Sunday afternoon’s race at Nashville Superspeedway:

  • Daniel Suarez top 10 finish, -135
  • Featured group: Kevin Harvick -135 over Aric Almirola
  • Top Ford: Austin Cindric +1100
  • Top Chevrolet: Ross Chastain +375
  • Top Toyota: Kyle Busch +190
  • Kyle Busch to be top Toyota and Austin Cindric to be top Ford, +2800

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Phill Bennetzen is a father, husband, and Catholic as well as a self-professed annoying fitness guy. Phill heads up NASCAR content at You can contact Phill by emailing [email protected].

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