Best NBA Bets Today: Bucks vs. Bulls Expert Picks, Predictions & Prop Bets

It should come as little surprise that the reigning MVP is fueling the Milwaukee Bucks’ recent surge as they ride a modest two-game winning streak. At the same time, the Chicago Bulls seem light-years away from the DeMar DeRozan points streak as Chicago has dropped three straight. There is desperation in the air for the Bulls as Zach LaVine and DeRozan each going for 22 was not enough against the Hawks. Nicola Vucevic also played well last game, but the Bulls were outscored in a shootout as they have given up at least 112 points in their losing streak. Chicago may miss Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso even more against this tough matchup with Milwaukee. Despite losing three straight, the Bulls are still winners of six of their last ten games.

Giannis Antetokounmpo put up his fifth straight double-double as the Bucks came from behind to win their second straight game. Giannis got help from everyone including a game-winner from Jrue Holiday, 26 points from Khris Middleton and another strong performance from Bobby Portis. The Bucks end a six-game homestand on a good note as they hit Chicago just one game behind the Bulls. Both teams are scoring points. The Bucks are 4th in the NBA in scoring offense and the Bulls are 8th in the league. There is no discernable advantage on defense either, as the two teams are in the middle of the league in scoring defense.

Make sure to keep checking OddsShopper, as the status of players can change by the minute. It has everything necessary for NBA betting today. Let’s get into some of the best NBA bets and player props today for the Bucks vs. Bulls

NBA Player Props & Picks Today | Bucks vs. Bulls

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls

Date: Friday, March 4, 2022
Time: 7:30p.m. EST
Venue: United Center — Chicago, IL
Coverage: ESPN

Best Bucks vs. Bulls NBA Bets Today & Odds Shopping

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Over 240.5 : -110 (DraftKings)

Neither of these teams is playing exceptional defense, yet both have at least three dynamic scorers in their starting rotation. The obvious clash will be the Bulls trio of LaVine, DeRozan, and Vucevic against Giannis, Holiday and Middleton. The other guys in this game will make up for a lot of scoring when any combo of the above stars is out of the game, especially from a shooting standpoint. Portis has the ability to hit three-plus 3’s any night, while Chicago has seen Colby White and Ayo Dosunmu be more than just outside contributors. There is plenty of offensive depth on both sides and even second-unit battles should net some high-scoring quarters. OddsShopper will always find the best number to play and the top return, but it is still a little high. Do not be fooled or scared by this total, as both teams have their rotations clicking on offense and are still struggling to slow down teams on defense. It is one of the best NBA bets today for this game.

It is also a huge game. Not only is this game on national TV, it also carries major importance in the standings. It is a safe bet that the stars will come out to shine on a Friday night in front of the whole country, so expect the usual suspects to put up some big numbers.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 11.5 Rebounds: -106 (FanDuel)

The goal in using OddsShopper should always be to find a happy medium between xROI and xWin percentage to maximize the winning and returns. There are cases where defaulting to one is the only option and helps justify the prop bet. Awesemo’s free projection of 10.9 rebounds gives some room under the rebound total. There is also a 59% xWin chance on OddsShopper of this prop going under, so it helps justify the 14% xROI on the play. He has gone over this number in four straight games so the play is based on projected matchup and game flow. Giannis may not have his best night rebounding as he scores 50 points, or is not asked to grab as many boards with Portis having a favorable matchup. Either of these is highly plausible and would lead to hitting this under.

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Khris Middleton Under 20.5 Points: -110 (FanDuel)

Middleton is due for a slight regression from last game, at least according to both OddsShopper and Awesemo. He has hit this number in two of three games since the All-Star Break but has a tougher matchup in Chicago. He is possibly the lone star of the Bucks who has a difficult scoring matchup. Chicago may simply take Middleton out of the game, or he could regress back to struggling from the floor. Awesemo’s free NBA projection has Middleton finishing at 19.4 points and OddsShopper has a 56% xWin chance on the play. The xROI is down to 10% but the matchup and projection from Awesemo help Middleton finish just under his total at the book.

Javonte Green Over 3.5 Rebounds: +100 (DraftKings)

OddsShopper found the best combination of the two sortable metrics, xROI and xWin, on a smaller-market NBA player prop. Green is not expected to control the boards by any means, but his free Awesemo NBA projection of 4.5 rebounds is enough to grab even money on this prop. OddsShopper has a 65% xWin combined with a 31% xROI on the play, which is easily one of the best player props in this game. He has only hit this number in one out of his last four tries but was at 3 rebounds in one of those misses. Green’s rebounds seem to be tied to his minutes, as the last two games saw a decrease. When Green is at or above 25 minutes, he seems to be just fine going over 3.5 rebounds. The projection tonight factors in a little more time on the floor than the last two games for Green.

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