Best NBA Bets Today: Celtics vs. Bucks Expert Picks, Predictions & Props

The two Game 6 scenarios in the NBA tonight both feature teams that can close out their respective series on their home floor. In the case of Milwaukee, it might be easier than the short line would indicate. The Bucks are coming off a crushing defeat of the Celtics in Boston to move ahead 3-2 in this series. Giannis Antetokounmpo dropped 40 in Game 5, with help coming from Jrue Holiday and Bobby Portis. The Bucks mounted a 14-point comeback in the fourth quarter that could make tonight a formality.

Jayson Tatum was thrown around in the MVP conversation as a fifth option for the latter part of the season and will have to live up to the hype just to keep his team alive on the road. Boston did win game four in Milwaukee but could be down Robert Williams for the third straight game with a knee injury. Jaylen Brown comes off a 26-point night in the loss, but Al Horford looked to slow down after dominating earlier in the series.

Make sure to keep checking OddsShopper, as the status of players can change by the minute. It has everything necessary for NBA betting today. Let’s get into some of the best NBA bets today and NBA player prop bets for the Celtics vs Bucks.

NBA Player Props & Picks | Celtics vs. Bucks

Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Friday, May 13, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: FISERV Forum, Milwaukee, Wis.
Coverage: ESPN

Best Celtics vs. Bucks NBA Bets & Predictions Today

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Halftime/Fulltime Result

There should be little doubt that Boston comes out with an extreme sense of urgency and probably wins the first quarter. From there, experience and veteran leadership will play a huge role in the final three quarters. Giannis can single-handedly take over this game at home or rely on a cast of helpers, from All-Star caliber Holiday to some shooters in Grayson Allen or Pat Connaughton. The Celtics will not fade easily, already having a sense of accomplishment by winning on the road, but not in this closeout scenario with so much pressure on guys who have not been there before tonight. The Bucks are a -125 moneyline favorite but stand a great chance of leading after the first half, and winning the game. It also leaves open any realistic shot that Boston wins the first and/or the third quarter.

Best Bet Today: Bucks Halftime/Fulltime (+145 BetMGM)

Make sure to check OddsShopper throughout the day for the best value and return on any NBA betting pick today. It is also important to check as Awesemo’s projections update and shift any initial data earlier in the day.

Jaylen Brown Over/Under 4.5 Assists:

With the belief that Milwaukee moves on and wins tonight, things could get tough for Brown in this department. He was able to barely clear this number last game, but Awesemo sees a slight dip tonight, with a free projection of 3.4 assists. Then there is OddsShopper with a 75% chance of this prop going under, along with a 26% xROI on the play. Brown may simply be the victim of other guys around him struggling to make shots, which would negatively impact his assists.

If that is too much juice to lay on the Brown prop, BetMGM is giving away FREE money! All you have to do is bet $10 to win $200 if either the Bucks or the Celtics hit just one 3-pointer tonight.

Best Prop Bet Today: Jaylen Brown UNDER 4.5 Assists (-165 BetMGM)

Brook Lopez O/U .5 Made 3’s:

Getting just one made 3 from Brook Lopez in a closeout game at home should not be a tall task. Awesemo has Lopez clearing this with one made 3 in their free projections, and OddsShopper has this as one of the strongest combinations of xWin and xROI on the board. The xROI on the over play is 36%, along with OddsShopper having a 62% chance of Lopez hitting at least one 3. Lopez has not made a 3-pointer since the Bulls series, so taking advantage of a low total combined with plus-money is ideal.

Best Prop Bet Today: Brook Lopez OVER 0.5 Made 3’s (+120 BetMGM)

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Grayson Allen O/U 1.5 Assists

If Milwaukee is going to Grayson Allen for consistent touches against Boston, it is going to be for scoring more than facilitating. BetMGM also knows that with the lower total, there is sneaky value here thanks to OddsShopper and Awesemo. Allen has three games below the above total in assists but smashed the over in the other two games. Awesemo projects a slower night passing the ball with just 1.2 assists for Allen. OddsShopper has a 63% chance of Allen staying under this total, and a 20% xROI on the play.

Best Prop Bet Today: Grayson Allen UNDER 1.5 Assists (-110 BetMGM)

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