Best NBA Bets Today: Mavericks vs. Warriors Game 1 WCF Predictions 5/18

The regular season held little indication of playoff success out west, as both the Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors upset higher-seeded opponents to get here. The Warriors are hoping that regular-season trend continues as they dropped their series to the Mavericks 3-1, despite Draymond Green and Klay Thompson each missing action during that stretch. Steph Curry was not at his best either but has helped lead the Warriors past the Grizzlies and back to the Western Conference Finals. The Warriors will have Otto Porter Jr. back from a foot injury tonight against Dallas.

Luka Doncic is dominating everything that comes in his way. He has taken over games and put Dallas on his entire frame, controlling all aspects of victories with little star power around him. It has been an impressive run, to say the least by Dallas, but Doncic has seen significant help from Jalen Brunson averaging 23 points per game in the playoffs. Spencer Dinwiddie has been huge off the bench since arriving in Dallas, and both Reggie Bullock and Dorian Finney-Smith will be called upon to launch from deep.

Make sure to keep checking OddsShopper, as the status of players can change by the minute. It has everything necessary for NBA betting today. Let’s check out the top value with the best NBA bets today and NBA player prop bets for the Mavericks vs. Warriors.

NBA Player Props & Picks | Mavericks vs. Warriors

Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors

Date: Wednesday, May 18, 2022
Time: 9 p.m. ET
Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Coverage: ESPN

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Over/Under 214.5 Points

These teams boast two of the biggest stars in Curry and Doncic, along with some heavy firepower in Thompson and Jordan Poole. Dallas has multiple guys including Doncic who can light up the scoreboard with multiple made 3’s in limited time. That is exactly what the books want you to think with a decent total sitting at 214.5 points, just low enough to factor in how solid both of these teams are on the defensive end of the floor. The reality is while there are plenty of guys who can heat up, it is the playoffs, and both of these teams are in the top three for points allowed per game. Dallas is second and Golden State is third. Green is back for the Warriors and the Mavericks will make Golden State work for every bucket.

Best Bet Today: Under 214.5 (-110 BetMGM)

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Dorian Finney-Smith O/U 1.5 Assists

Dallas should see a considerable amount of minutes for Finney-Smith which means more opportunities to pass Doncic the basketball. At this point of the postseason, just being on the floor with a massive scorer like Doncic can boost an assist count, even if it is a lower number with Finney-Smith. Awesemo’s free projection has the Mavs’ forward finishing with 2.1 assists. OddsShopper has a 30% xROI on this prop hitting over, with a 61% xWin chance of that happening.

There is no 100% xWin bet on OddsShopper but you can get FREE money at BetMGM and all you have to do is bet $10 to win $200 if either the Mavericks or Warriors hit just one 3-pointer tonight.

Best Prop Bet Today: Finney-Smith OVER 1.5 Assists (+115 BetMGM)

Maxi Kleiber O/U 4.5 Rebounds

Maxi Kleiber has had his chances, with over 25 minutes in five of their seven games against the Suns, yet still failed to hit five rebounds in all but two of those contests. Kleiber may see a better pathway here against the Warriors, be it coming in early in the first quarter, or stretching his minutes into the second quarter. Awesemo projects him to finish with 6.8 rebounds, well over the above total. OddsShopper has an 80% xWin chance of Kleiber hitting the over, with a 38% xROI on the play.

Best Prop Bet Today: Maxi Kleiber OVER 4.5 Rebounds (-145 BetMGM)

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Reggie Bullock O/U 8.5 Points

This is a lower point total for Bullock, who has seen struggles and volatile performances. He was also a bigger focus of the Suns in trying to limit the Mavericks’ 3-point shooting. Bullock has the potential of knocking down three 3-pointers tonight, easily putting him past the above number. Awesemo projects Bullock for 10.3 points against the Warriors with a supporting 62% xWin chance from OddsShopper of going over the prop.

Best Prop Bet Today: Reggie Bullock OVER 8.5 Points (-130 BetMGM)

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