NBA Picks and Parlays Today: FREE Betting Picks & Player Props 1/21

There are 11 games for the NBA tonight, which is a perfect opportunity to use Awesemo OddsShopper to make some of the best NBA parlay picks today. Using this fantastic site and basketball betting tips can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple, as it guides you in how to bet on sports since you can find the best bet in 30 seconds or less.

Longshot NBA Parlay Picks & Player Props Today

The first step is finding the brand new Parlay Builder for OddsShopper. It is located on the top banner and is just one click away. This tool is a game changer because the Awesemo data scientists have built the parlay already. The user has the choice of what type of parlay they prefer to chase, and the state is customizable along with the sportsbook. Though it is rare, underdogs eventually have their day, and when they do, the payouts are oh so nice. Here are our best bets for underdogs if you like to fade the favs and cheer for the upset at high odds. As a reminder, betting the props individually is always a smart way to build your bankroll. An underdog parlay is not exactly the most stable return if it is always being bet just as a parlay. Let us find out what the best-projected bets are for Friday and build some NBA parlay picks.

Bam Adebayo Under 3.5 Assists

Bam Adebayo for the Miami Heat is back in the swing of things with two games under his belt since returning from a thumb injury, and he is played his normal minutes in both contests. The Heat take on the Atlanta Hawks and will be without guards Kyle Lowry and Tyler Herro again tonight but hopefully, Jimmy Butler cannot get ejected for this game like last time. In his 80-minute sample without Lowry and Herro, Adebayo does have a 22% assist rate but in these past two games, he is only averaged 6.5 potential assists per game. That would mean the Heat have to shoot extremely well from his passing and he is only averaging 3.2 assists per game this year. Even without Lowry and Herro, taking the under at +130 at Caesars sportsbook is very appealing with an expected win rate of 71% from OddsShopper.

Jalen Suggs Under 4.5 Assists

The Orlando Magic are getting very close to being back to full health after dealing with many members of their team being in the health protocols or injured. That means that Jalen Suggs and Cole Anthony split the usage more as Suggs has a 26.2% rate this year and Anthony sits at 26.7%. Where Suggs trails Anthony is in the assist rate at just 21.4% and he is averaging just 3.7 per game through 25 games this season. While the Los Angeles Lakers are 20th in defensive rating and this in pace, Suggs is only making about 40 passes per game and 15% of those are to Anthony. OddsShopper has a 68% expected win rate with the under on this wager.

Anfernee Simons Under 5.5 Assists

The Portland Trail Blazers are floundering this year and injuries have been a large part of it, as they will be without Damian Lillard for the foreseeable future. When he has been off the court this year, Simons has played the most minutes of anyone on the team and he does have a 24.9% assist rate and 26.8% usage rate. However, roughly 40% of the minutes for Simons have come without C.J. McCollum who was dealing with his injury. When those two have shared the floor without Lillard, the assists rate for Simons has dropped to just 16.2% over 253 minutes. That is a major drop-off, and it makes sense as McCollum becomes the primary ball-handler when he is on the floor and healthy. The Boston Celtics have their faults this year but they are fifth in defensive rating, and OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 61%.

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Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 Rebounds

On paper, the matchup for Nikola Jokic against the Memphis Grizzlies is a bit of a tougher one. Memphis ranks sixth in rebounds allowed in the paint and Jokic averages 11.7 rebounds per game within six feet of the basket. He is still one of just five players that averages over 20 rebound chances per game and only three players are over 21. Jokic also shines in his conversion rate of 65.2%, the highest of any player in the top 20 of rebounding chances per game. Additionally, among players in the top 20 in chances, Jokic has the seventh-highest conversion rate for contested rebounds. Despite Memphis big man Steven Adams being an accomplished rebounder himself, it is hard not to like Jokic as an underdog for any rebound prop when he is second in rebounding overall behind Utah’s Rudy Gobert. OddsShopper gives Jokic an expected win rate of 71% and the Awesemo Parlay Calculator has the four-leg parlay with a return of +1786.

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