From playing in college at Eastern Washington to playing in Super Bowl 56 on Sunday, Cooper Kupp has elevated his play to one of the best seasons a wide receiver has ever had. Kupp has a chance to assert his dominance once more this season in the biggest game of them all against the Cincinnati Bengals. Much like the big game having all sorts of attention, so too does the NFL prop bets market. There is no bigger sports betting day than the Super Bowl, and this column will go over some of the best Super Bowl prop bets for 2022, focusing on the Rams’ best player — Cooper Kupp.
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Best Super Bowl 2022 Prop Bets: Cooper Kupp MVP Odds & More
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Over 104.5 Yards Receiving (-110, FanDuel)
Awesemo Projections | 107.1 |
Expected ROI | -4% |
Expected Win | 50% |
Cooper Kupp had a phenomenal season, winning the wide receiver triple crown by leading the league in receptions, yards and touchdowns. Kupp obviously set career highs in all three categories, as he finished the regular season with 145 receptions, 1,947 yards and 16 touchdowns. He had one game all season where he had under 90 yards receiving. Kupp had a mediocre Wild Card game against the Cardinals, but the Rams won 34-11. However, in their last two games Kupp exploded, averaging 10 receptions, 162.5 yards and 1.5 touchdowns per game.
The connection that Kupp has with Matthew Stafford has proven to be fantastic. With Kupp as his main target, Stafford tied his career highs in completion percentage and touchdowns. Kupp had a 31.8% target share, while nearly 40% of Stafford’s yards and touchdowns went to Kupp this season. This is a pass-funnel matchup, as the Bengals rank 24th in pass DVOA and have allowed 248.4 yards passing per game, which ranks as the seventh most in the league. Including the postseason, Kupp has had 109 or more yards in 11 of his last 15 games. This line on FanDuel seems too low. Awesemo projects Kupp to have 107.1 yards, and in this matchup that could be a very modest projection.
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Over 0.5 Yards Rushing (+250, Caesars)
Awesemo Projections | 3.0 |
Expected ROI | 40% |
Expected Win | 40% |
This prop is a pure flier. However, after searching for the best projected ROI on OddsShopper, Kupp over yards rushing stands out as the best player prop in the entire game, at 40% return on investment. Kupp has one rushing attempt in the playoffs, and it went for negative-2 yards. However, during the end of the regular season Kupp rushed the ball once in three of his last four games, all for positive yards. The Super Bowl is filled with trick plays, as offensive gurus like Sean McVay have an extra week to prepare. He will find any way possible to get the ball in the hands of his star wide receiver.
The Bengals rank 13th in run DVOA this season, which is much better than their pass defense. They have allowed just 102.5 yards per game on the ground, which is the fifth best in the league. The Rams have been a below-average rushing team this season, as they are one of nine teams that do not average over 100 yards rushing per game. Cam Akers has served as the lead back recently but has yet to top 55 yards in any of the Rams three playoff games. He is averaging just 2.6 yards per carry this season. Sony Michel will spell Akers, and he has had a few spike games, but this is Akers’ backfield. With the production lacking from Akers and Michel, Kupp could get a carry on one of the several times he goes in motion behind Stafford. Do not forget: If a screen pass is caught behind Stafford, that will count as a rush attempt as well.
To Win MVP (+450, PointsBet)
The best bet for not only Kupp but the entire game is Kupp to win Super Bowl MVP at +450 odds on PointsBet. He has the best odds of any non-quarterback to win MVP. Julian Edelman was the last wide receiver to win the MVP, in Super Bowl 54. Other than Edelman, no wide receiver has won the MVP since 2009. Kupp could break the mold with a monster performance on Sunday. After his great regular season, Kupp came in with the fifth-best MVP odds. He will be heavily involved, especially if the Rams end up winning this game.
The Rams are 4-point favorites playing in their home stadium for Super Bowl 56. Stafford is the betting favorite, but if most of his production goes to Kupp, the MVP award will likely go to the wide receiver. Over the last two playoff games 33.9% of Stafford’s completions went to Kupp, and of his four touchdown passes, three of them went to the star wide receiver. Kupp should be able to get loose against this secondary, and McVay will likely get the ball in his hands early and often. Taking a non-quarterback to win MVP is risky, but Kupp at these odds is worth the risk.
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