Patrick Mahomes NFL Player Props, Odds & Best Bets Week 15 Thursday Night Football

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs look to all but cement the 2021 AFC West Division title on the road against the archrival Los Angeles Chargers, who can also stake the same claim on Thursday Night Football. With the new Awesemo OddsShopper, bettors can now search player props by team and immediately pinpoint the best available odds at recognized sportsbooks. Let us take a look at the tool’s projections and odds for Week 15 Thursday Night Football to lock in the best NFL prop bets on Mahomes tonight.

Patrick Mahomes NFL Player Props | Thursday Night Football

With the latest groundbreaking features in sports betting featured in OddsShopper, finding your best bets has never been as easy as it is now. With the ability to simply filter, sort and bet, you can now land the best bets and odds in 30 seconds or less. You can even create a Prop Party Parlay with a mix of your own favorite props of the day.

Over 24.5 Completions (+105, PointsBet)

Mahomes is averaging 25.3 completions on 38.61 pass attempts per game and projects for 25.87 completions on 41.1 attempts against the Chargers. This is translating to a 58% expected win rate and 19% return on investment for the over from OddsShopper. The Chargers have allowed 20.38 completions on 32.23 pass attempts per game to opposing quarterbacks, which can be attributed in part to their stifling pass rush, ranked eighth by Pro Football Focus. In each of his last two games against the Chargers, Mahomes has completed 27 passes on a minimum of 44 attempts in each outing, making the plus money odds on his achievable prop line look strong Thursday night.

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Over 280.5 Yards Passing (-110, DraftKings)

The three previous meetings between the Chiefs and Chargers were shootouts, and Mahomes is averaging 280.2 yards per game. He projects for 301.4 yards against the Chargers, and OddsShopper gives the over a 62% expected win rate and 15% return on investment. Los Angeles has dominated the air traffic most of their season, minimizing opposing quarterbacks to 222.46 yards passing per game and ranking seventh in PFF coverage grade. Mahomes came up short against the Chargers in Week 3 while turning in 260 yards, though the Chiefs offense has been better or late. At standard house juice, take a shot on the over for Mahomes’ yardage tonight.

Over 17.5 Yards Rushing (-111, BetMGM)

Although OddsShopper does not feature projections for expected win rate and return on investment for Mahomes’ rushing prop, the odds and prop line are worthy of mention. Mahomes has averaged a career-high 20.8 yards per game this season, and he projects for 20.63 yards against the Chargers in Week 15. The Chargers have allowed 17.76 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, including 44 yards to Mahomes in Week 3. Los Angeles ranks dead last in run DVOA, so bag the over on Mahomes’ meager prop tonight.

Check out Stokastic's Best Bets home page for more sports betting picks and predictions.

Author

Chris Giordani

Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.