Super Bowl Same Game Parlay: Matt Stafford & Van Jefferson Correlation to Win the Day?

The 2022 Super Bowl is just days away, and who does not want to build another same game parlay for the biggest sporting event of the year? There are so many angles to take to build the same game parlay for Super Bowl Sunday, and OddsShopper makes this job incredibly easy because they sort every sportsbook available in any state where gambling is legal. Using Awesemo’s data scientists’ expert projections, the best 2022 Super Bowl parlay bets, picks and props are easy to find.

2022 Super Bowl Same Game Parlay Bets & Picks

Matthew Stafford Over 279.5 Yards Passing

There have been a couple of bumps in the road for Mathew Stafford through the season, but one aspect that has been consistent is Stafford throwing for plenty of yards. He finished the regular season averaging 287.4 yards per game and finished with the third-most yards passing in the league. In the playoffs he has added two more games of over 300 yards, and in the one game he missed that mark, Stafford only threw 17 times against the Cardinals. The Bengals have allowed 243.7 yards passing per game in the postseason, to their credit, but they also finished 24th in DVOA against the pass during the regular season. Stafford was also third in yards per attempt (8.1) and fourth in air yards per game (304.1) on the year, and there is not much of a reason to believe that will stop on Sunday. OddsShopper has a 61% expected win rate for him on this wager and projects him for 291.8 yards passing, so there is a little bit of wiggle room to find the best book to place the wager.

Samaje Perine Under 2.5 Yards Rushing

OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 70% for Samaje Perine, and he only has 56 total carries all season and just one attempt in three playoff games. Even though Joe Mixon has not been on the field for as many passing downs as some folks would like, he has been the only player that has mattered in the running game, and that will not change. Mixon has soaked up 17, 14 and 21 attempts far in three games, and Perine is just not involved in that facet of the game. The number is certainly low, but there would seem to be a very strong chance of Perine not getting a single attempt. On top of that, Los Angeles has only allowed 162 total yards rushing through three games for just 54 yards per game, so they have been excellent defending the run as it is. Sometimes betting around the edges as opposed to the big-name star player can be the better route in this big of a game. A lot of players that have bigger names are closer to 50% expected win rates, and that is notable when OddsShopper gives those out.


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Van Jefferson Over 30.5 Yards Receiving

It may not seem related, but Rams tight end Tyler Higbee has yet to get on the field in the time since the NFC Championship Game and is looking increasingly likely to be forced to miss the Super Bowl. That is going to open up more chances for Van Jefferson as the third option in the passing game on Sunday since Higbee has been hovering around a 15% target share. Jefferson has been under 10% since the playoffs started. Sure, Kendall Blanton will take the spot of the actual tight end position, but he also has a total of 11 receptions. There is no doubt that Blanton stepped up in a big way in the NFC Championship Game, catching all five of his targets, but that injury happened very early in the game. With two weeks to plan, Jefferson should be more than an afterthought. He averaged 16 yards per reception this year and will not need many receptions to hit the over. The 65% expected win rate from OddsShopper is very appealing as well. Additionally, the Awesemo Parlay Calculator has a return of +611 and this is just one way to build the same-game parlay for Sunday.

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