The NFL has 13 games for the main slate on Sunday, which is a perfect opportunity to use Awesemo OddsShopper to build some of the best NFL parlay picks today. Using this fantastic site can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best bet in 30 seconds or less.
NFL Picks & Parlays Today: Best Betting Picks
The first step is finding which sport to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once on the NFL page, it is super simple to customize teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.
Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.
Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. As a reminder, betting the props individually is always a smart way to build your bankroll. Let’s find out what the best-projected bets are for this week and build a seven-leg parlay for the slate!
In New York? Don’t forget to check out Alex Baker’s article on how to MAXIMIZE your sportsbook bonus.
Also be sure to check out OddsShopper’s matchups page, breaking down all the data for each game on a given slate.
Jonathan Taylor Over 115.5 Rushing Yards (Caesars New York Betting Offer)
This is a crazy high number, but OddsShopper has Jonathan Taylor at an expected win rate of 55% and projects him for 123.8 rushing yards, the highest in memory on the season. The Indianapolis Colts face the Jacksonville Jaguars with a playoff berth on the line for the Colts. They can get in otherwise, but the simplest path is to win and they get into the field. Taylor is sure to get a ton of work as he leads the league in carries and rushing yards on the year. He also averages over 108 yards per game and Jacksonville is 21st in DVOA against the run this year.
Ryan Tannehill Over 211.5 Passing Yards (FanDuel New York Betting Offer)
Another team that faces pressure to win the game is the Tennessee Titans. They can lock up the number one seed and the all-important bye week with a win. Ryan Tannehill is projected for 240.7 passing yards, but yet the sportsbooks have him at only 211.5 yards, so OddsShopper has a 72% expected win rate. The Houston Texans are 19th in DVOA against the pass and 28th in yards allowed per pass attempt. Tannehill has been just average in true completion rate at 71.5% but he’s averaging over 215 passing yards per game on the season. With the weakness of the Houston defense, Tannehill is in a good spot and needs to walk away with a victory.
Darnell Mooney Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (DraftKings New York Betting Offer)
The game between the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings may not have playoff implications, but both teams may have new coaching staffs and players will be playing for their roles next year. Darnell Mooney is one of those players and he’s taken over in the Chicago passing game. Mooney leads the team in target share at 25.9% and he’s averaged 58.1 receiving yards on the season despite a revolving door at the quarterback position. He’s also ninth in unrealized air yards, so it’s not going to take much to get over this number. Minnesota is just 16th in DVOA against the pass but they are 24th in yards allowed per attempt. OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 55% for this leg of the parlay.
Mac Jones Over 210.5 Passing Yards (Caesars New York Betting Offer)
The New England Patriots will be watching the scoreboard when they play the Miami Dolphins as the Buffalo Bills will be in action and both the Patriots and Bills can win the AFC East heading into the day. Mac Jones is sitting at a 68% expected win rate from OddsShopper and is projected for 240.8 passing yards, a massive difference. He’s averaging 221.3 yards per game with 30.7 attempts per contest as well. Miami has improved on their pass defense as the season has gone at ninth in DVOA against the pass. However, Jones is first completion rate under pressure at 60.4% and the Patriots will have to play to win, something that can’t be said of every team today.
Taysom Hill Over 201.5 Passing Yards (DraftKings New York Betting Offer)
Another team that has to play the game competitively is the New Orleans Saints, who have to win and get some help to head back into the playoffs. The Atlanta Falcons have had one of the worst defenses in the league this season and sit 26th in DVOA against the pass. That’s a facet that Taysom Hill can take advantage of, even though he’s not the most prototypical quarterback in the league. OddsShopper has him projected for an expected win rate of 64% and 226.5 passing yards, another strong addition to the NFL parlay.
George Kittle Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (DraftKings New York Betting Offer)
Last week was a flop for George Kittle with under 30 receiving yards but that was with Trey Lance at quarterback. For all of his potential, Kittle is better suited to hit the over on his prop with Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback and he is expected to start. Kittle is averaging 69.2 receiving yards per game and OddsShopper has him projected for 71.3 yards and a 60% expected win rate. Among tight ends, Kittle is second in target share at 25.1% and it’s just a little behind Deebo Samuel for the team lead. The 8.6-yard aDOT will give him chances to hit the over because he’s second in yards after the catch at 433 on the year.
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Christian Kirk Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (Caesars New York Betting Offer)
This final week of the season is a bit tougher to build a giant parlay because some games don’t have a lot of offerings (if any at all) for props. However, Christian Kirk and the Arizona Cardinals are fighting for seeding in the NFC and face the Seattle Seahawks. The Awesemo Parlay Calculator has the seven-leg NFL parlay at a return of +81116 and Kirk himself is at an expected win rate of 59% from OddsShopper. In the past three games without DeAndre Hopkins, Kirk has seen 30 targets and gone over 75 yards twice. The 30 targets are second on the team behind tight end Zach Ertz and the Seattle defense is 27th in DVOA against the pass and 25th in yards per attempt this year.
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