Merry Christmas and happy holidays to the Awesemo community! We’re treated to two servings of NFL action as the holiday starts with the Cleveland Browns facing the Green Bay Packers, followed by the Indianapolis Colts heading west to battle the Arizona Cardinals for Christmas Saturday NFL Week 16 Football. The Awesemo team has launched OddsShopper, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Week 16 NFL player props available based on the tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for Week 16’s Christmas Saturday NFL Football matchups.
Week 16 Christmas Saturday Football NFL Player Prop Bets
With the latest groundbreaking features in sports betting featured in OddsShopper, finding your best bets has never been as easy as it is now. With the ability to simply filter, sort and bet, you can now land the best bets and odds in 30 seconds or less. You can even create a Prop Party Parlay with a mix of your own favorite props of the day.
T.Y. Hilton Over 22.5 Yards Receiving (+100, Caesars)
T.Y. Hilton draws a receiving prop feasibly within reach of expectations on Christmas Saturday Night Football. Hilton has averaged 28 receiving yards per game while he projects for 36.5 receiving yards against the Cardinals, extending to a 69% expected win rate and 38% return on investment for the over. The Cardinals have surrendered 148.92 receiving yards to opposing wide receivers, allowing a league high 73.5% catch rate in the past four weeks to the position while ranking 13th in defensive pass DVOA against the WR2 role. Hilton hasn’t come close to the 80 receiving yard performance in his Week 6 return since, however has averaged 23.75 receiving yards over his past four outings. At even money odds the receiving prop for Hilton makes a great straight wager and for an intriguing addition to any Christmas prop party parlay.
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Davante Adams Over 87.5 Yards Receiving (-105, Caesars)
The Packers look to retain their grasp on NFC’s top seed as Davante Adams projects to do his thing against the Cleveland Browns on Saturday Night Football. Adams has averaged 96 receiving yards while projecting for 96.5 receiving yards against the Browns, translating to an OddsShopper 58% expected win rate and 12% return on investment for the over. The Browns rank 23rd in defensive pass DVOA having allowed 149.92 receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers and ranking 13th in defensive pass DVOA against the WR1. Adams remains just 139 receiving yards from his regular season career high and you can believe Aaron Rodgers is well aware of the feat at hand. At a nickel under standard juice my money is on Adams/A-Rod to come close to cementing that personal record at home.
Nick Chubb Under 85.5 Yards Rushing (-115, PointsBet)
There’s no denying the abilities of Nick Chubb yet the game script and projections don’t necessarily favor his involvement on Saturday Night Football. Chubb is averaging 92.5 rushing yards per game while he projects for 80.1 rushing yards against the Packers, carrying over to an OddsShopper 70% expected win rate and 31% return on investment for the under. Green Bay ranks 13th in rush defense by PFF having allowed 73.57 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs, though ranking 23rd in defensive rush DVOA. Chubb is coming off a 91 yard rushing performance in an overtime loss to the Raiders yet was held under 60 rushing yards in the two games previous. The potential return of Baker Mayfield and Jarvis Landry, in conjunction with a presumable early deficit faced against the Packers, only bodes well for the under at a nickel up from the usual juice.
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