These are the days Awesemo’s OddsShopper was made for, with 11 games on the NHL betting schedule and loads of data and bets to get through. Managing your bets and finding value on a slate this size is extremely challenging with so many lines and props going overlooked. As will be the theme for basically the rest of the season, many teams (four tonight) will be on a back-to-back with the condensed schedule. This often will be the general public’s first spot to target, but Colorado and Toronto both come in as big favorites even with playing last night. Let’s dig in and find the best NHL bets for tonight.
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NHL Picks Tonight: Best Hockey Bets & Player Props
Vegas Golden Knights Puckline (-1.5) vs. Flyers: (+150, Caesars)
The Golden Knights go into Philadelphia to face the Flyers in must-win mode hanging on to a playoff spot by just two games points (68 on the year). At the beginning of the year, the Golden Knights were the second-on-odds NHL betting favorite to win the cup behind the back-to-back champion Lightning, but a season railed with injuries has relegated them a bit to +1100. Thankfully for them, they are getting healthier once again, as Jack Eichel seems to be finding his groove with 6 points in nine games, including the game-winner last time out with five seconds left. The Golden Knights also got back Max Pacioretty, whose shoot-first mentality pairs perfectly with Eichel.
On top of all that fantastic news, this bet also carries the best hold percentage of any on the night’s slate at just 1.5% (tied with three others). These are two teams going in opposite directions as the Flyers look to unload contracts in the midst of a terrible season with more points than just three teams in the league. With Vegas’ roster getting healthier and stronger, this team is primed for a surge as the playoffs inch closer.
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Trevor Zegras Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+135, DraftKings)
It is pretty odd to see the best-expected ROI on a plus-money bet but with a 54% expected win probability, so there is no real question about this being the best NHL prop bet on the night. With the high expected win rate comes a reassuring projection of 2.74 per OddsShopper, as the Ducks get a very nice matchup going into Chicago. Similar to the last prop with Zach Hyman, Zegras draws in on the team’s top line and top power play against a Blackhawks team that ranks in the bottom half of all shot prevention metrics, including a Corsi against per 60 at 24th.
Zegras is a next-level talent that still has to fill out his frame, but facing a very soft defensive team in Chicago he should be able to control the puck when on the ice more often than not, with a 53% individual Corsi for and great hand-eye. With fantastic odds and an expected win rate well over 50%, there is no time like the present to hammer this one.
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