The conclusion of the 2021-22 NBA season is fast approaching, as there are just two weeks left on the schedule and lots still left to be decided. Things to watch for on tonight’s nine-game docket are, can the Miami Heat, Golden State Warriors, and Cleveland Cavaliers right the ship? All three teams have struggled mightily down the stretch. Another thing to consider is, are the San Antonio Spurs legitimate playoff contenders?
This daily NBA article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player prop bets today. With OddsShopper, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment . OddsShopper can find which sportsbooks offer the best prices for these prop bets. The following are the eight best bets for March 28.
Best NBA Bets Today: Player Props & Expert Betting Picks
Magic Spread (+9.5) Over Cavaliers
This game is very important for Cleveland, as will the rest of the Cavaliers’ remaining eight games. The Cavs sit in the seventh spot in the Eastern Conference, although they are just one game behind Toronto and two in back of Chicago.
Cleveland is the better team, and Awesemo gives them a 76% chance of picking up the home victory tonight. However, the Cavaliers have struggled mightily defensively upfront without Jarrett Allen in the middle. The Cavs are 4-6 and have been outscored by an average of four points in these games without Allen as they are allowing 114 points a game on 49.1% shooting from the field and 37.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Moreover, their frontcourt efficiency rating has dropped 16.2 points during this stretch.
Orlando has had its own ups and downs recently, but expect the Magic to cover the spread since they should be able to own the paint with Wendell Carter Jr., Mo Bamba, Franz Wagner and Chuma Okeke. Carter has averaged 20 points and 10 rebounds over his last 10 appearances, while the other three players are combining for 35 points and 21 boards a game since the All-Star break.
Kings Spread ( +12.5) Over Heat
Miami has lost four straight with three of those losses coming at home. As a result, the Heat have fallen into a tie with the Celtics atop of the Eastern Conference. The Heat have struggled on both ends of the floor over this short stretch, particularly on the defensive end. They have given up 112 points over this stretch, as they have allowed their opponents to shoot 48% from the field and drain 14.7 triples at a 37.5% clip. Miami’s defense upfront and their turnovers have been major issues during the losing streak. Tyler Hero (knee), P.J. Tucker (knee), Caleb Martin and Gabe Vincent (toe) are all questionable.
Sacramento is just 5-10 since the All-Star break. The Kings also won’t have De’Aaron Fox or Domantas Sabonis once again, but they have won two straight and have only lost three games by double figures since Feb. 9. Davion Mitchell has averaged 21.5 points and 6.2 assists over the last five games, while Damian Jones and Trey Lyles have also played well recently. OddsShopper gives the Kings a 52% chance of covering with an expected ROI of 6%.
Devin Vassell Over 3.5 Rebounds
Vassell is dealing with an Achilles injury, though he is expected to play tonight against the Rockets after missing Saturday’s victory over the Pelicans. Vassell has done a pretty job hitting the boards this year, hauling in 4.3 rebounds per game for the season. He also has totaled 10 rebounds over the last two games and has 32 in his last eight appearances. Vassell is projected for 5.34 boards. OddsShopper gives the over a 77% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 30%.
Tre Mann Over 18.5 Points
With the Thunder dealing with all their injuries, Mann has seen his responsibility on the offensive end increase. Mann has seen his usage increase to 27.6% over the last five games. As a result, he has doubled his scoring average during this stretch to 21.5 points a game while shooting 46.5% from the field and 43.5% from beyond the arc. Mann has scored in double figures in five straight games, including topping the 20-point plateau three times. Mann is projected for 21.75 points in an excellent matchup against the Trail Blazers. OddsShopper gives the over a 66% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 23%.
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Other Top NBA Bets Today
- Bulls Moneyline (-160) Over Knicks, Under 219 points
- Warriors Spread (+10.0) Over Grizzlies
- Celtics versus Raptors Under 212.5 Points
- Trailblazers and Thunder Under 220.5 Points
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