PGA DFS is filled with tons of useful information, but at times it can be overwhelming. If this is your first time visiting the article, this statistical overview will focus on recent form, course history, strokes gained and old-school statistics. I will provide notes and a data sheet with DFS golf advice to help with your PGA DFS picks this week for DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy golf contests in each category. This week, the focus is on the Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands.
PGA DFS Picks This Week: The Travelers Championship
Luckily, there is almost 20 years of course history information this week, so we know exactly how it plays and how to win here. While TPC River Highlands may be on the shorter side of PGA Tour courses, it provides an ability for any type of golfer to win, short and long alike.
Recent Form
The incredible run ended for Garrick Higgo last week, somewhat expected given his entire life trajectory. Now a full-time PGA Tour member, Higgo will get to play anywhere he wants on tour for two years, so don’t be surprised to see him play a ton of golf here in the next bit to try to learn the PGA Tour way. That inevitably will come with a bit of variance in his game. Still, he leads the tournament with five top-10s in his last 11 weeks.
Only Scottie Scheffler has four, and a pack of names check in with three. Paul Casey, a two-time runner-up at the Travelers Championship, is working on three straight top-10s. Guido Migliozzi, who continued his incredible hot form, also has three straight top-10s and is likely just a made cut away from earning status on the PGA Tour. Abraham Ancer, Cameron Smith and Sam Burns all have three top-10s yet missed the cut last week. Charley Hoffman and Brian Harman have five top-25s in the last 11 weeks, but each of them only has one top-10. At specific price points, however, they have provided a ton of value. Harman last week is a great example of that. Doc Redman is also working on four straight made cuts, with two top-10s and a runner-up finish in his last event.
Negative
It has been a tough stretch of golf for Brian Gay, who has missed seven straight cuts in the last 11 weeks. Peter Malnati is trending that way as well, having missed four straight, while Luke List has missed three. Tom Hoge and Kevin Kisner have missed six cuts in the last 11 weeks, but both found the weekend last week in San Diego, maybe signaling good things to come. In all, there are 16 golfers in the field that have missed at least five cuts in the last 11 weeks.
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Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Recent Form
- Scottie Scheffler ($9,600)
- Guido Migliozzi ($7,200)
- Doc Redman ($7,600)
Course History at TPC River Highlands
No one has been as good or consistent at TPC River Highlands as Casey in the last seven years. Since 2015, he has made the trip every year, with his worst finish being 32nd. He has four other top-fives, including two runner-up finishes, and one could say that Casey could be the featured golfer of each of these first two sections.
Bryson DeChambeau’s back nine at Torrey on Sunday will likely haunt him for a bit, as a fan streaking and hitting golf balls in the middle of the tournament wasn’t something DeChambeau could get out of his mind. At least he knows this course quite well. In fact, he has made the cut in each of the last five years, getting better in every start, starting with a 47th in 2016 and having his best result last year, coming in sixth. Dustin Johnson has only come here one time in the last seven years, for whatever reason, and that was last year when he won.
Harman shows up in both these categories as well, coming in the top 10 three times since 2015. Kevin Streelman, who was closest to Johnson at least year’s event, is also one of only a handful of others with multiple top-10s here since 2014. Streelman has three, including the win back in 2014. Keegan Bradley, Brendan Steele and Bubba Watson are the other three golfers with multiple top-10s here in the last seven years. Watson, a multiple-time winner of the event, will look to shake off a bad Saturday in San Diego in search of his first top-five in quite some time.
Negative
Nick Taylor leads the category one doesn’t want to lead, having missed three straight cuts here and making only one in five tries, coming in 64th. TPC River Highlands and Taylor simply do not mesh. Michael Thompson is in a similar boat but bucked the trend of missed cuts, coming in 46th last year. Brian Gay has not bucked it, however, missing his last four attempts here. A few other big names have had some varying levels of success here. Patrick Reed and Harris English have each missed the cut three times since 2o14, but they also have at least one top-10 and two top-25s.
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Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Course History
- Bryson DeChambeau ($11,100)
- Paul Casey ($9,900)
- Kevin Streelman ($9,400)
Strokes Gained
Whereas last week drivers were used on every hole that wasn’t a par 3, that will not be the case here. A course that measures just 6,900 yards is always going to be a second-shot golf course, so those that are able to get hot with the irons last week will come out victorious.
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Strokes Gained Tee to Green
- Bryson DeChambeau
- Patrick Cantlay
- Brooks Koepka
- Paul Casey
- Keegan Bradley
- Tony Finau
- Dustin Johnson
- Charley Hoffman
- Aaron Wise
- Doug Ghim
- Daniel Berger
Strokes Gained Off Tee
- Bryson DeChambeau
- Jhonattan Vegas
- Bubba Watson
- Joaquin Niemann
- Luke List
- Brooks Koepka
- Patrick Cantlay
- Scottie Scheffler
- Keith Mitchell
- Dustin Johnson
Strokes Gained On Approach
- Paul Casey
- Russell Henley
- Keegan Bradley
- Emiliano Grillo
- Matthew NeSmith
- Charley Hoffman
- Daniel Berger
- Brooks Koepka
- Doug Ghim
- Sam Burns
Strokes Gained Around Green
- Kevin Na
- Byeong Hun An
- Patrick Cantlay
- Rickie Fowler
- Tony Finau
- Patrick Reed
- Wyndham Clark
- Ian Poulter
- Dylan Frittelli
- Francesco Molinari
Strokes Gained Putting
- Zach Johnson
- Patrick Reed
- Chesson Hadley
- Ian Poulter
- Kris Ventura
- Patton Kizzire
- Cameron Smith
- Brian Harman
- Cameron Tringale
- Hunter Mahan
For the yearly strokes gained ranks, Click here.
Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Strokes Gained
- Brooks Koepka ($10,700)
- Sam Burns ($7,700)
- Patrick Reed ($10,000)
Old School Statistics
There are a few things that will be important this week. A couple of the most will be lag putting or putting from outside of 25 feet and proximity to the hole since fairways should be higher this week.
Total Driving
- Scottie Scheffler
- Keegan Bradley
- Paul Casey
- Hudson Swafford
- Harris English
- Dustin Johnson
- Emiliano Grillo
- Joaquin Niemann
- Jason Day
- Matthew NeSmith
Proximity
- Emiliano Grillo
- Vaughn Taylor
- Kyle Stanley
- Russell Henley
- Doug Ghim
- Chez Reavie
- Hank Lebioda
- Russell Knox
- Chris Kirk
- Francesco Molinari
Scrambling 10-20 yards
- Chris Kirk
- Cameron Tringale
- Paul Casey
- Pat Perez
- Patrick Cantlay
- Brandon Hagy
- Harris English
- Brian Stuard
- Patton Kizzire
- Kevin Na
3 Putt Avoidance > 25 Feet
- Cameron Tringale
- Kevin Kisner
- Anirban Lahiri
- Jason Day
- Ryan Armour
- Chris Kirk
- Mackenzie Hughes
- Austin Cook
- Patrick Reed
- Brendon Todd
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Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Statistical Analysis
- Cameron Tringale ($7,600)
- Chris Kirk ($7,300)
- Jason Day ($7,500)
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