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The Approach: PGA DFS Picks for the Wyndham Championship on DraftKings & FanDuel

Geoff Ulrich



The PGA Tour has one more stop left on its schedule before the FedEx Cup Playoffs begin, and it will happen this week in North Carolina. The Wyndham Championship does not have a lot of history, but Sedgefield Country Club has hosted it since 2007 and the tournament has a lot of intrigue due to its proximity to the playoffs. Players need to be within the top 125 in the FedEx Cup standings after the Wyndham to maintain their tour cards and be eligible for the FedEx Cup Playoffs, so there will be two tournaments to watch this year: One about who wins and the other about who gets to make another PGA start next week.

Players on the bubble to make the playoffs include Tyler Duncan (122nd), Webb Simpson (126th), Lucas Glover (128), Chesson Hadley (131) and Rickie Fowler (133). The players outside the top 130 will need mammoth finishes to advance to the playoffs and will be under a lot of pressure, making them potentially iffy DFS plays. To find some true diamonds in the rough, we’ll use the Stokastic projections below and highlight who the best fantasy golf plays this week at the Wyndham.

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Wyndham Championship DFS Golf Picks & Projections

The venue this week is a traditional Donald Ross design, like Detroit Golf Club a week ago, and plays as a short par 70 with smaller Bermuda greens and fairways. The holes favor accuracy over power, and when the course plays softer, it can yield a ton of birdies. Expect softer conditions and medium to light winds, and look for the winner to be well over 20 under par this week, as five of the last six winners have been over this mark. With a shorter course and good conditions, greens in regulation should be high as well, making around the green and off the tee less relevant. This is a truly a short iron and putting contest, and those are the two categories to emphasize.

With another lower-scoring event on tap, it will be important to find top daily fantasy golf picks capable of filling up the card with tons of birdies. With the help of the Stokastic PGA DFS projections, we’ll target some of the best DFS golf picks for DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy golf contests below.

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Sedgefield Country Club Stats and Info

  • Par 70 with smaller Bermuda greens and will play just over 7,000 yards; Donald Ross venue that correlates well with other Bermuda venues like Hilton Head and TPC Sawgrass, among others.
  • Three of the six playoff participants from last season gained over five strokes on approach for the week.
  • Each of the past three winners at Sedgefield gained over three strokes putting and over 30 strokes on approach; none of the past three gained over 1.5 strokes around the greens.

Wyndham Championship 2022 DFS Golf Picks & Golf Projections

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Shane Lowry

Total Points Projection: 78.1 | Top 6 percentage: 24.57%

There are three top-25 players in the OWGR in the field this week, but Shane Lowry is at the top of the Stokastic projections and a clear top play for the final regular season event. He hasn’t been seen in the USA for a while, but his last start produced a solid 21st place at the Open. Lowry is not typically playable in birdie fest events like this one, but his course history on the PGA Tour is worth mentioning. He’s produced multiple top finishes at the Honda Classic, including a third place there this season, and he also reeled off a top-five at Hilton Head this year for the RBC Heritage. Both Harbour Town and PGA National rank as some of the best corollary courses for Sedgefield, and this will also be Lowry’s fifth time making the trek to North Carolina to play in this event, so clearly there’s at least an affinity for the setup.

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From a style standpoint, Lowry’s weakness around the greens won’t be tested much, and his two best putting weeks on the PGA Tour in 2022 both came on Bermuda greens. Despite all this positive news, it’s interesting that he is getting lower ownership than one might expect this week. The Stokastic projections certainly like him as an anchor play, and if Lowry stays at under 20% ownership into Wednesday, he’ll make for a great player to be overweight on in large-field GPPs.

Projected PGA DFS ownership: DraftKings 12.6%| FanDuel 18.5%

The Stats:

  • Third in strokes gained on  approach over the last 50 rounds and second over the last 24 rounds.
  • Has gained over three strokes putting at Sedgefield in three of his four career starts at the venue and finished seventh at this event in 2018.

Aaron Wise

Total Points Projection: 70.3 | Top 6 percentage: 14.29%

Despite the absence of several top players who are undoubtedly getting ready for the playoff stretch ahead, there are still lots of good young players in this field yet again. From a price and value perspective, though, Aaron Wise looks like the best target this week among that group. The Stokastic model gives Wise the highest points projection for anyone under $8,500 on DraftKings, and he also has one of the best value ratings on the site — holding the clear best score in that department for anyone above $8,000 on DraftKings.

Wise’s momentum with the daily fantasy golf crowd likely won’t get too hot either. He’s trending for some ownership, but nothing to suggest he’ll be uber chalk. Like Lowry, he hasn’t played since the Open but is coming off a solid summer and ranks in the top 10 in strokes gained on approach in both short- and long-term form. Wise’s record on the PGA includes top-five finishes at the Mayakoba Classic and Bermuda Championship, so shorter tracks where birdies aren’t a luxury but a necessity have been to his liking in the past.

Projected PGA DFS ownership: DraftKings 21.2% | FanDuel 16.3%

The Stats:

  • Top 10 in strokes gained on approach over the last 24 and 100 rounds.
  • Has gained over 2.5 strokes putting at Sedgefield in two of his three career starts at this event.

Low-Owned PGA DFS GPP Flier

J.J. Spaun

Total Points Projection: 60.1 | Top 6 percentage: 5.94%

One name of interest that popped up on last week’s leaderboard was the winner of the Valero Texas Open from earlier this season, J.J. Spaun. He finished eighth in Detroit and now gets to try his hand at another easier Donald Ross design this week. Spaun sets up perfectly for these dart-throwing birdie contests, as he’s a high-end iron player who can struggle around the greens but likely won’t have to worry much about that part of the game this week. He gained over four strokes on approach last week in Detroit, and if that form carries over to Sedgefield, he could easily go low again.

He’s also just $7,300 on DraftKings, and his ownership is still trending well under 10%, so Spaun allows for more high-end plays like Lowry in GPP lineups. He’s a perfect large-field target and is projecting for single-digit ownership in most contests.

Projected PGA DFS Ownership: DraftKings: 7.2% | FanDuel 7.7%

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Top 3 Under 5% in DraftKings Fantasy Golf This Week

This section will target players that should end up under or close to 5% ownership in larger DraftKings Golf GPPs. These picks are boom/bust PGA DFS players with an almost 100% focus on the upside.

Michael Thompson ($7,000)

Thompson rolls into this week with little fanfare, but he’s made six of his last seven cuts and has gained over 2.5 strokes on approach in each of his last two starts. He’s still one of the more elite putters on tour, and Sedgefield being a shorter, Bermudagrass venue is right up his alley.

Tyler Duncan ($7,100)

Duncan is yet another player whose success on the PGA Tour has mostly come at shorter venues where accuracy and putting can counteract the more powerful players off the tee. He’s gained 1.5 strokes or more on approach in four of his last five starts, so if the putter heats up, seeing him threaten for a top-20 or better wouldn’t be shocking.

Kelly Kraft ($6,500)

Kraft is way down the salary ladder this week but is worth a look for GPP player pools. He’s gained strokes on approach in four straight starts and has shown some serious upside with the putter of late, gaining over eight strokes on the greens in Minnesota. Sedgefield is the type of track where Kraft could spike, so as a 1%-owned play, there are worse players in this range.

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Yahoo! DFS PGA rankings for today will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament. The Yahoo! DFS PGA projections for this week, the PGA DFS showdown projections for today and the FanDuel PGA DFS ownership projections for today are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world. Looking for more DFS PGA stats and PGA DFS advice?

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