All of the PGA DFS content is geared toward providing information that will help with DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy golf, PGA odds and predictions in the best way possible. With the help of the Awesemo expert PGA DFS projections, below are the top PGA fantasy picks for DraftKings and FanDuel at the RBC Canadian Open 2022.
PGA DFS & Golf Betting Picks: RBC Canadian Open 2022
A week before a major always brings interesting fields, and this week, none of my favorite trio of Jordan Spieth, Patrick Cantlay and Collin Morikawa will tee it up. But plenty of other big names will be here, even if there are a few familiar names missing from the event.
PGA Weather Forecast
A brief morning storm on Thursday will provide steady winds throughout the day as it moves out of the area, while Friday looks to be a solid day overall. There will be a mild breeze ranging from a low of 8 mph to a high of 26 over the first two days. Be sure to check out the most up-to-date weather splits with our new PGA Weather Splits tool, which indicates golfers that are most benefited based on their tee time.
PGA DFS Slate & Golf Betting Preview
Total Expected Team Pool: 51
Expected Number of Lineups Created: 300+
Total of Main Outright & Each Way Bets: 2
Total Longshots 100-1 or Greater: 3
Total Bombs 200-1 or Greater: 2
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The RBC Canadian Open 2022 Fantasy Golf Picks & Projections
These golfers will have anywhere between 20% and 50% allocation.
Rory McIlroy
$10,500 DraftKings/$11,900 FanDuel | 10-1 (PointsBet) + Top 5
Since that magnificent Sunday at Augusta, McIlroy has been very close to top-end form in each of his next three starts. While a tie for 18th is far from optimal given his price this week, his consistency and salary savings on DraftKings make him one of the best values on the board. It’s always nice to see the projections match up with the research, as Awesemo’s PGA DFS projections have him as the best value of the slate.
Cameron Smith
$10,300 DraftKings/$11,600 FanDuel | 12-1 (Caesars) + Top 5
In Smith’s last 11 starts, he’s only missed the cut twice. Why does that matter? Well, in each of them, it came after a massive start the week prior, one being the RBC Heritage the week after the Masters letdown, and the other the Sony Open the week after a record-setting performance at the Tournament of Champions. In all of the other nine starts, he’s finished in the top 15 of PGA DFS scoring for the week, including five of his starts scoring over 100 points. That type of upside and consistency is becoming hard to pass up, especially in such a top-heavy field like this. Even if he doesn’t win, Smith’s premium scoring ability makes him valuable in a week like this.
Check out who fellow PGA expert Ben Rasa is putting money down on this week with his favorite RBC Canadian Open betting predictions.
Cameron Champ
$7,800 DraftKings/$9,500 FanDuel | 130-1 (DraftKings) + Each Way
Some of the same reasons to like Smith this week can be applied to Champ. While the consistency isn’t quite there, the upside and premium scoring ability are. A par-70 layout with the par 5’s should yield plenty of scoring chances for Champ. Before these last two starts on challenging tracks with complicated layouts, Champ had three straight made cuts, two of them being top-10s, showing his top form of this year isn’t that far in the rearview mirror.
Fantasy Golf Picks & Golf Betting Longshots
Make sure to check out OddsShopper to get the best golf betting odds this week.
Austin Smotherman
$7,500 DraftKings/$8,400 FanDuel | 160-1 (FanDuel) + Each Way
It has been an impressive 11-for-16 made cut record for the tour rookie, but he hasn’t found the upside yet, earning zero top-10s. That’s kept him from getting inside the top 125 in the FedEx Cup point list and puts his status on tour in slight jeopardy. But lately things have been very solid, as Smotherman made each of his last five cuts and seven of his last eight. He also shot all four rounds in the 60s a few weeks ago at the AT&T Byron Nelson and was in line for another good start at the Charles Schwab Challenge before a closing 78 set him back. That’s the only knock on his recent play, and I’m willing to chalk it up as an outlier rather than what’s to come.
Matt Wallace
$7,400 DraftKings/$9,300 FanDuel | 200-1 (DraftKings) + Each Way
Having almost broken through a few times last year, most notably at the Valero Texas Open, Wallace has struggled this season. Not only has he struggled, but his greatest strength — putting — has turned into his worst statistical category this year, ranking close to 200th. But signs of the top-end putting we are used to Wallace showing over the last few years seemed to return in his two-week trip back to the DP World Tour. He gained 3.2 strokes two weeks ago at the Dutch Open, followed by eight strokes at the Porsche Open. While gaining eight strokes putting in a given week is one of the hardest things to predict in all of professional sports, it’s a great sign for a player that relies heavily on it.
J.T. Poston is one of my favorite value plays this week. Check out who rounds out my Top 5 PGA DFS value picks for DraftKings lineups.
J.T. Poston
$7,200 DraftKings/$9,100 FanDuel | 150-1 (DraftKings)+ Each Way
One of the biggest criteria this week when choosing core plays was to find golfers that have a top-10 in at least one of their last five starts. There are plenty to choose from on an average week, even at these price levels. But that is not the case this week; they are few and far between. Poston, however, is one of them, actually earning two top-10s in his last five, giving him the extra week to include the third-place finish at the RBC Heritage. While that top-end play has also come with a few missed cuts, in a week where there isn’t much consistency among the lower-priced golfers, upside must be weighted more heavily; thus, the appetite for risk increases. Poston is a solid risk asset.
In fact, of golfers priced $7,300 and below this week, only the following golfers have one top-10 in their last five starts, each while having at least a 5% allocation in my player pool this week:
- David Lipsky ($7,300)
- Stephan Jaeger ($7,300)
- Nick Hardy ($7,200) Korn Ferry Tour*
- Peter Malnati ($7,000)
- Brandon Wu ($6,900)
- Ben Martin ($6,500) Korn Ferry Tour*
Chris Gotterup
$6,300 DraftKings/$7,700 FanDuel | 400-1 (DraftKings)+ Each Way
This time in professional golf is always exciting for those that like to try and find the next “thing,” as college graduations have taken place and NCAA golf is done for the year. So it brings a ton of high-quality golfers onto the professional level as they try to make their way onto the pro tours. While the PGA Tour has lost out on the reigning NCAA Champion in Turk Petit and U.S. Amateur Champion James Piot to the LIV Golf Tour, for now it’s going to give others a few more chances than they may not have gotten. Gotterup is one of those benefactors as he gets an invite to play here this week.
This is his first start as a professional, but he showed promise with a tie for seventh at the Puerto Rico Open earlier this year after winning an exemption via the Puerto Rico Invitational. Still, as an amateur, Gotterup got a taste of PGA Tour life and in that week led the field in driving distance, with an average drive near 310 yards. His journey to the PGA Tour has a huge chance of becoming a reality over the next two weeks, as earlier this week he qualified for the U.S. Open as the medalist at his site and already has a top-10 on his card. In addition to earning medalist honors at his local qualifying site, he also came in fifth at the NCAA championships a few weeks ago and hasn’t finished worse than 16th in his last seven starts.
Similar to what our favorite Morikawa did a few years ago, as pointed out first on Twitter by @SkyHookDFS, he was able to parlay those two starts (the Canadian and U.S. Open) into quality showings. That, as we all know, would set the path for him to win in one of his next few starts, gaining the confidence right off the bat. So if Gotterup can go on a similar trajectory, and this course does in fact yield itself to golfers that can take advantage of their length — something that is an asset of his — then this should be a good place to earn his first paycheck in professional golf.
PGA DFS Chalk Zone (Projected for 10%+ Ownership)
E = Equal-Weight to projected ownership
U = Underweight to projected ownership
O = Overweight to projected ownership
- Scottie Scheffler (E)
- Justin Thomas (U)
- Sam Burns (U)
- Shane Lowry (E to U)
- Matthew Fitzpatrick (E to U)
- Corey Conners (E To O)
- Tyrrell Hatton (E)
- Tony Finau (E to O)
- Jhonattan Vegas (E)
- Doug Ghim (E)
- Carlos Ortiz (U)
- Charley Hoffman (U)
Fringe PGA DFS Picks (12-17% of Lineups)
- Adam Hadwin
- Sebastian Munoz
- Sahith Theegala — After a great performance last week, Theegala continues to impress, but there isn’t a price discount this week. As such, it’ll be tough to get him in over 15% of the lineups.
Alternates (6-11% of Lineups)
- Harold Varner
- Chris Kirk
- Keith Mitchell
- Mackenzie Hughes
- Rasmus Hojgaard
- Brendon Todd
- Aaron Rai
- Mark Hubbard
- Alex Smalley
- Matthias Schwab
- Stephan Jaeger
- David Lipsky
- Adam Svensson
- Nick Hardy
- Wyndham Clark
Holes in One (1-5% of Lineups)
- Adam Long
- Patrick Rodgers
- Brice Garnett
- Callum Tarren
- Cameron Percy
- Dylan Wu
- Aaron Cockerill
- Ryan Moore
- Hank Lebioda
- Lee Hodges
- Justin Lower
- Brandon Hagy
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