PGA DFS Picks: The PGA Championship Optimizer Picks & Leverage Leaders for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups | 5/17

For the second major of the 2021 season, the PGA Tour travels to the Ocean Course (par 72, 7,876 yards) of the Kiawah Island Golf Resort in South Carolina for the PGA Championship. The DFS industry is offering some huge GPPs for this major, and below you will find some of the top PGA DFS optimizer picks using Awesemo’s Top Golfers Tool.

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PGA DFS Optimizer Picks: PGA Championship

The Ocean Course hasn’t hosted an event since the 2012 PGA Championship, when Rory McIlroy ran away with the second major of his career. He outpaced the field by eight strokes that week, and McIlroy was one of only 20 players to finish under par for the major. This seaside track was designed by Pete Dye, and while it is one of his most beautiful creations, it is also one of his most difficult. Wind is a major factor since 10 holes are along the coast, and the track is playing over 300 yards longer than it did nine years ago. In fact, 7,876 yards sets the record for the longest golf course to ever host a major championship. This automatically gives an edge to longer players. It is also worth noting the greens on site are paspalum and this week’s cut will be the top 70 and ties moving on after the second round, as opposed to the standard PGA top 65 and ties.


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Dustin Johnson

Awesemo PGA Optimizer Leverage Scores: DraftKings: 5.6%, FanDuel: 0.6%

With Jordan Spieth and Bryson DeChambeau gaining all the attention in the $10,000 range on DraftKings, Johnson is projected for only 5.4% ownership according to Awesemo’s Top Golfers Tool. For GPP players, this is an opportunity that needs to be taken advantage of. Johnson withdrew from the Byron Nelson last week with a “knee” injury, but he probably just wanted the week off to get himself ready for the second major of the season. There hasn’t been a word about the apparent injury since, and after missing the weekend in his title defense at Augusta, Johnson made his next two cuts, gaining strokes tee to green and off the tee in both starts.

Plus, prior to that missed cut at the Masters, Johnson hadn’t finished worse than sixth in three straight majors. He has finished second at the last two PGA Championships, and he has six career top-10s to his name at this major. As an added bonus, Johnson ranks second in total strokes gained over the last 100 rounds on Dye designs, and he is originally from South Carolina. Yes, there is absolutely uncertainty surrounding him given he hasn’t played competitively in nearly month, but Johnson is a risk worth taking on DraftKings this week with most DFS players looking to pay up elsewhere.

Patrick Reed

Awesemo PGA Optimizer Leverage Scores: DraftKings: 1.5%, FanDuel: 3.6%

Reed’s ownership is expected to stay in check, and he has a 17.5% chance of finishing inside the top-six this week, per Awesemo’s Top Golfers Tool. These are the ninth-best odds based on Awesemo’s simulations. After recording a sixth-place finish at Quail Hollow earlier this month, Reed has five top-10s this season, and in his current form he ranks third in total strokes gained across his last 24 rounds.

In his last five attempts at a major, Reed has finished inside the top 13 in every start, and he is the perfect pivot off the very chalky Viktor Hovland on both sites.

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Adam Scott

Awesemo PGA Optimizer Leverage Scores: DraftKings: 2.9%, FanDuel 3.0%

Scott always needs to be on gamers’ radars at majors. That is especially true this week, with Awesemo’s Top Golfers Tool predicting him for less than 5% ownership on DraftKings and FanDuel. Scott has only missed three cuts in his past 20 appearances at majors, finishing inside the top 25 in half of those starts. He is 16-for-20 at PGA Championships for his career, with six top-10s and an 11th-place finish at the Ocean Course back in 2012. Scott is currently riding a streak of 13 made cuts, and he hasn’t competed since the Masters, presumably to prep himself for his second date with the Ocean Course.

Even at age 40, Scott is still one of the top ball strikers in the world, and betting on his major pedigree is a sharp move for GPPs this week.

Chris Kirk

Awesemo PGA Optimizer Leverage Scores: DraftKings: 4.9%, FanDuel: 4.5%

Kirk missed the cut in his last start at the Valspar, but this was mostly a product of some poor putting at a course that he has never been fond of. In six starts at the Copperhead Course, Kirk has only advanced through the cut twice. In other words, forget about this and attack Kirk at his depressed price points this week. Before the speed bump in Florida, Kirk had posted back-to-back top-10s and made 12 of his previous 13 cuts.

This season Kirk ranks 21st in strokes gained tee to green and fourth in bogey avoidance. Escaping the big numbers is going to be a key to climbing the leaderboard at this PGA Championship, and Kirk is also 7-for-10 in made cuts over his last 10 starts at tracks designed by the late Dye. Awesemo’s Top Golfers Tool is giving him a 6.8% chance of finishing in the top six this week, which is very high relative to his cheap salaries on both DraftKings and FanDuel.


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