Zozo Championship DFS Golf Picks: Cameron Young and Sebastian Munoz good value targets on DraftKings

For the fourth stop on the PGA TOUR’s Fall swing, the pros will be heading to Japan to take on Narashino Country Club. This will be the fourth running of the event but only the third time it has been played in Japan at Narashino. The event was played at Sherwood CC in Los Angeles in 2020 due to the pandemic. Narashino sets up as a very technical par-70 venue that plays just under 7,100 yards. It’s unique in design in that the course features five par 3’s and has several doglegs built into the layout. For daily fantasy purposes this week it’s also worth noting that this is a no-cut event with just 78 players in the field — a handful of which are invitees from the Asian Tour. Expect the top players to dominate on a course which saw just three players reach 10-under par or better last year.

This column will use the Stokastic projections below to highlight who the best PGA DFS picks are this week at the Zozo Championship.


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Zozo Championship DFS Golf Picks

Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club

This venue saw the biggest name of them all take down the inaugural title in 2019, as Tiger Woods captured the first ZOZO Championship ever contested. The shorter par 70 was besieged by rain that year, and the forecast for 2022 looks cool but mostly dry. Narashino Country Club is a classic tree-lined par 70 that is going to have the player emphasizing power over distance on most holes. In 2019, Woods ranked top 10 in fairways gained and top five in green in regulation on his way to taking the title (he also led the field in putts per green in regulation). Players with good approach games and confident putters should be backed the hardest.

  • Plays as a par 70 between 7,000 and 7,100 yards; was played on PGA Tour only once before, in 2019.
  • In 2019 each of the top five finishers had collected a finish of fifth place or better in one of their three lead-up starts.
  • Woods led the field in putts per green in regulation and was top five in greens in regulation for the week.

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Zozo Championship 2022 DFS Golf Picks

Cameron Young

Total Points Projection: 89.5 | Top 6 percentage: 30.24%

The top of the Stokastic projections this week are a mixed bag with several players with salaries under $10,000 on DraftKings showing strong results. Of that group it’s no surprise that perennial DFS superstar Cameron Young leads the way. Young has a top six probability of over 30% in this reduced field and is also third in overall point projections, just a few points behind first place. While the venue itself may not be ideal for a player with Young’s power the American showed us at numerous points last season that he doesn’t mind layouts that force him to club down, grabbing a third place at Hilton Head and a 16th at the Honda Classic.

This will be his first visit to Narashino but he’ll also be better rested than the group who played in last week’s birdie fest in Vegas. While we like to think of Young as a pure bomber, it’s worth noting that his around the green game is better than most people realize and he ranks 6th in strokes gained ATG over the last 50-rounds. When you factor in his high birdie rate (leads the field in birdie or better percentage over the last 50-rounds) it’s hard not to be tempted at the prices on offer for Young. He’ll be popular but, much like Patrick Cantlay last week, don’t be scared to make him a core member of your GPP lineups.

Projected PGA DFS Ownership: DraftKings 24.1% | FanDuel 27.7%

The Stats:

  • Leads the field in birdie or better % over the last 50-rounds
  • Ranks 6th in strokes gained around the green stats first in strokes gained off the tee stats over the last 50-rounds

Sebastian Munoz

Total Points Projection: 77.7 | Top 6 percentage: 13.87%

The international side from the President’s Cup showed well last week, with Tom Kim, Mito Pereira and Sungjae Im all grabbing top 10 finishes. Munoz sat out last week but that should mean that he’s better rested than most for the test over at Narashino this week. The Columbian will be making his first start of the new season but did produce a 4th place finish at this event last season. Munoz’s Japanese ties goes beyond just that one result though as he also was a part of the massive playoff for the bronze medal in the 2021 Olympics which saw him finish in 4th place.

As of now, Stokastic has Munoz as the player with the best value score of any above $8,000 in salary this week. The Fall has been a good time for Munoz, overall, as he grabbed his only PGA TOUR win at the Sanderson Farms a couple of years back and also produced two top five finishes in the Fall last season (one being at this venue and event). You should should feel good about targeting him as a second or third man into lineups this week.

Projected PGA DFS Ownership: DraftKings 17.2% | FanDuel 13.0%

The Stats:

  • 12th in proximity in this field over the last 50-rounds of play
  • 11th in strokes gained putting on Bentgrass over the last 50-rounds of play

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Keegan Bradley

Total Points Projection: 79.8 | Top 6 percentage: 16.7%

Bradley had a solid 2021-22 season, compiling five top 10’s and came close to grabbing a win on multiple occasions. His ball-striking slipped towards the end of last season but he came alive at the Sanderson Farms, gaining 5.2 strokes ball striking while posting a 5th place finish. This will be the third year that Bradley has played Narashino and each of his past two visits have yielded strong results. 13th in 2019 on a wet and soggy course, he performed better last year in tougher conditions, grinding out a 7th place finish.

The weather this week looks cooler with some wind and should play well to Bradley’s strength, who we should really be targeting at more grind it out affairs, rather than outright birdie fests. Despite the relative benign ownership levels he’s still trending with the second highest point projection of any player under $9,000 on DraftKings, in the Stokastic Model this week. Bradley’s a good tournament play and a decent top 10 target for this field as well.

Projected PGA DFS Ownership: DraftKings: 11.6% | FanDuel 18.3%


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Top 2 Under 5% in DraftKings Fantasy Golf This Week

This section will target players that should end up under or close to 5% ownership in larger DraftKings Golf GPPs. These picks are boom/bust PGA DFS players with an almost 100% focus on the upside.

Russell Knox ($7,000)

Knox is the prototypical ball striker that should find this week’s venue appealing. He’s 2nd in proximity in long term form and had gained over 4.0 strokes on approach in two straight starts prior to missing the cut last week. A veteran player who has won in Asia, the fact he’s $7,000 flat on DraftKings and trending with around 5% ownership in the projections is surprising.

Joel Dahmen ($7,000)

Dahmen is another player in this price range whose recent results don’t really translate to his salary this week. He’s finished 13th and 37th in his last two starts on the PGA TOUR but has displayed high level ball striking in each of those starts. The change to slower, easier to putt greens should help his chances in a no cut style of event.


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