The following are EPL betting picks for Game Week 17 where I agree with the results driven by my betting model, and I feel comfortable placing at least a unit. These are selected after careful review of the best available soccer betting lines and EPL odds, which can be found via OddsShopper.
Favorite EPL Odds & Betting Picks | Game Week 17
Tottenham vs. Leeds United: Leeds Win Draw Double (+108)
Tottenham looks to absorb and counter the Leeds high pace attack. Leeds has the fourth best road offense in the EPL. Tottenham is not a team that gives up goals in bunches, but high powered offenses like Liverpool and Leicester City have broken through in recent matches. Leeds road defense is the worst in the EPL. The money line win might be hard to come across.
Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min are lethal scorers for Tottenham, and I expect they can break through the Leeds defense with ease. The counter of Raphinha, Patrick Bamford and company can also find the back of the net. The Tottenham home defense is middle of the pack in the EPL with an offense to match. The over 3.5 total goals sits at +108 as well, so there is value there, but given the run of games, I will stick with a 2-2 or 2-1 prediction in favor of Leeds.
Manchester United vs. Aston Villa: Aston Villa Win Draw Double (+112)
Manchester United are a better road squad than at Old Trafford. Their home defense is below average. On the road, Aston Villa is sporting the first ranked defense in the EPL. Both offenses sit around mid-tier given their home/road expected goal splits.
Bruno Fernandes and the Manchester United attack have been in great form, but I think they will hit a wall, after tough close matches against Leicester City and Wolverhampton. Leeds kept a Chelsea squad to under two goals and recorded four consecutive clean sheets prior to the encounter. Manchester United are rarely kept off the scoresheet, but I have confidence in Aston Villa finding a few goals in this one. I give the edge to the fresh run of Anwar El Ghazi and Bertrand Traore. They have sparked the offense for Aston Villa and Lifted the workload for Jack Grealish.
Bonus EPL Betting Picks/Soccer Wagers for Other Leagues
EPL Parlay: Sheffield United vs. Crystal Palace: Under 2.5 goals / Brighton vs. Wolverhampton: Under 2.5 goals
EPL: Chelsea vs. Manchester City: Chelsea Moneyline (+210)
EPL: Everton vs. West Ham: Everton Moneyline (+100)
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