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The Corner Kick: EPL DFS Picks DraftKings + FanDuel | Villa Breaks Manchester Defense? 1/20

Jovanni Vidal



Jovanni Vidal breaks down English Premier League soccer odds and strategy, and gives his top EPL DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel lineups.

Welcome to our EPL DFS coverage for Tuesday, Jan. 20. Here you’ll find our top EPL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel, which consider all aspects of the slate, from projection to pricing to popularity across soccer DFS. These picks should help you create highly projected lineups in DraftKings EPL and FanDuel EPL tournaments and cash games.

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EPL Odds Report

Manchester City (-400) vs. Aston Villa (+900), O/U 2.5

Fulham (+500) vs. Manchester United (-189), O/U 2.5

EPL DFS Picks DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | Jan. 20

These are listed in order of what I believe are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.

EPL DFS Picks: Forwards/Midfielders

Kevin De Bruyne (DraftKings $10,000 FanDuel $22)

Bruno Fernandez (DraftKings $9,500 FanDuel $22)

Manchester City looks to reach the top of the EPL away from home. Manchester City ranks third overall in the EPL in home offense, while Aston Villa’s road defense is second. Aston Villa has had multiple matches postponed due to COVID-19, and they may look rusty against a club that is heating up. Kevin De Bruyne comes in as a top play in all formats. His floor in undeniable, with 6.75 shots/assisted shots to compliment 6.5 crosses per match. He contributes on 44% of his club’s overall scoring, and fading him is too bold for a price that is almost $2,000 lower than it should be.

Bruno Fernandez leads Manchester United on the road, where they have been in spectacular form with the EPL’s second-best road offense. Fernandez contributes all over the open play. He averages 4.66 crosses and 6.27 shots/assisted shots per match. Fulham’s home defense is the fourth worst in the EPL. Fernandez has the greater matchup, and he comes under $10,000.

Marcus Rashford (DraftKings $7.100 FanDuel $20)

Jack Grealish (DraftKings $8,200 FanDuel $18)

Fulham is missing a key defender in Antonee Robinson. Manchester United will look to separate themselves atop the EPL, and Marcus Rashford is priced too low. He needs goals, but the matchup offers a positive time of possession and volume opportunity. Rashford averages 2.44 shots per match and contributes on 35% of the No. 2 scoring offense. Anthony Martial and Edison Cavani also provide value at their prices. They offer leverage plays to differentiate in GPP.

Jack Grealish has a tough matchup against the No. 1 home defense in the EPL. Grealish offers a floor with crosses and drawn fouls. He averages 4.86 drawn fouls, 3.4 crosses and 6.33 shots/assisted shots per match. Without goal contribution, Grealish still offers a floor from his EPL lead in drawn fouls. In an expected low-scoring match, the ideal one-off comes from the Aston Villa midfielder. For GPP leverage, a few shares of Ollie Watkins and Anwar El Ghazi will jump the standings given their high shot volume if they can break through the Manchester City defense.

Other Options: Ilkay Gundogan (DraftKings $6,500, FanDuel $14), Raheem Sterling (DraftKings $8,000, FanDuel $21), Ademola Lookman (DraftKings $5,700, FanDuel $14), Ivan Cavaleiro (DraftKings $5,600, FanDuel $15).

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EPL DFS Picks: Defense

Kenny Tete (DraftKings $4,500 FanDuel $10)

Kenny Tete will see an increase in offensive chances with Robinson suspended. Time of possession can hinder Fulham, but Manchester United has had a few defensive leaks on the road. Manchester United’s road defense ranks middle of the pack, and Tete has the ability to push up the wing and deliver chances. Tete has not had much opportunity with Fulham, but dating back to his time with Lyon, he provides value in won tackles and interceptions, coming in at a rate of just over 2.56 per match. His offense offers upside with 3.22 chances created/crosses per match, which tick up in a full-game run.

Luke Shaw (DraftKings $5,000 FanDuel $12)

Luke Shaw offers set-piece shares on the corners. Shaw averages four crosses and 1.71 assisted shots per match. He has the plus matchup against Fulham, and his upside comes from the Manchester attackers finishing his setups. If Alex Telles starts the match, he offers the same role and higher upside in the open-play deliveries.

Other Options: Joao Cancelo (DraftKings $5,200, FanDuel $14), John Stones (DraftKings $3,900, FanDuel $15), Matthew Cash (DraftKings $4,600, FanDuel $14).

EPL DFS Picks: Goalkeeper

David De Gea (DraftKings $5,500 FanDuel $11)

Emiliano Martinez (DraftKings $3,700 FanDuel $7)

Related EPL Content

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Jovanni Vidal is accountant and finance analyst, with lifetime passion for fantasy sports. He has provided content and player analysis for season-long fantasy sites. He joined Awesemo to help new and current DFS soccer players learn new approaches to the game and how to succeed, with an overall goal to grow the DFS soccer sport and various league content offerings. You can reach him on Twitter @fluff_marsh.

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