Welcome to the English Premier League Daily Fantasy Sports coverage for Sunday, May 23. Here you will find the top EPL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel, which consider all aspects of the slate, from Awesemo’s expert projections to pricing to popularity across the soccer DFS landscape. These picks should help you create highly projected lineups in DraftKings and FanDuel English Premier League tournaments and cash games.
EPL Odds Report
Arsenal (-167) vs. Brighton (+425), O/U 2.5
Aston Villa (+550) vs. Chelsea (-222), O/U 3.5
Fulham (+105) vs. Newcastle (+230), O/U 3.5
Leeds United (-227) vs. West Brom (+550), O/U 3.5
Leicester City (-227) vs. Tottenham (+230), O/U 3.5
Liverpool (-714) vs. Crystal Palace (+1,400), O/U 3.5
Manchester City (-227) vs. Everton (+550), O/U 2.5
Sheffield United (+180) vs. Burnley (+140), O/U 2.5
West Ham (-154) vs. Southampton (+400), O/U 2.5
Wolverhampton (+145) vs. Manchester United (+170), O/U 2.5
EPL DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | May 23
These are listed in order of what I believe are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.
EPL DFS Picks: Forwards/Midfielders
Jonjo Shelvey (DraftKings $4,000, FanDuel $11)
With 10 games on this final slate of the EPL season, there is a wide range of options. There are several teams still chasing Champions League and Europa League qualifications. The teams with much to play for include Liverpool, Tottenham, Leicester City, Chelsea, West Ham and Everton. With big-name options costing a mint, let’s start with value salary relief.
Newcastle will visit Fulham. Fulham has already been relegated but that does not mean they will concede defeat. Newcastle has been in fantastic form, which tends to happen when a team is playing at full strength for the first time all season. Fulham is average defensively at home, allowing 1.31 expected goals per match. Offensively they are the third worst in the EPL, with an expected goals of 0.95. Newcastle have scored 0.87 expected goals per match on the road, which is terrible. Their recent form paints a different picture, with 1.66 expected goals on the road and 1.65 overall across previous 10 matches. This should not be a high-flying match, but there is value to pick from here.
Jonjo Shelvey comes to find at a near-min asking price. He handles set corners for the visitors and is a setup man for the attackers up front. Shelvey averages 1.45 shots per match, but his floor is built on team-leading 2.35 scoring chances created and 2.92 crosses per match ,which tick north of 3.55 with Ryan Frasier out. He is a salary-relief option needing just below his average metrics to hit 2x value. Matt Ritchie is an interesting option with open-play crossing value in MME, and Joe Willock is a GPP leverage play for goal hunting if he can keep the recent scoring run going.
Pascal Gross (DraftKings $6,600, FanDuel $12)
Pascal Gross could be the ultimate sink-or-swim value play given price and the number of matches. Brighton is a heavy underdog, which is nothing new as Arsenal as a glimpse of sneaking into the Europa League if a few teams in front fail to get a win. Gross is one of the few set piece men that literally can do nothing all game. He is heavily reliant on the sets, which see him averaging five crosses per match. The open-play volume falls under three per match, but combined he still builds a solid floor. Arsenal will not necessarily run away with this, and Brighton will fight to the end like they did against Manchester City, though Manchester City was a man down all match. Gross handles PKs and creates a team-leading 4.14 scoring chances per match.
Youri Tielemans (DraftKings $7,200, FanDuel $13)
It seems fitting to end the season with a player I rostered all year against a team I targeted all year. Leicester City and Tottenham both need the win, and a draw will do neither club any favors. Leicester is averaging 1.50 expected goals per match at home on the year, while Tottenham’s road defense is allowing 1.41 expected goals per match. It is critical to pay attention to Tottenham’s roster, which is a lot harder to disposes when Serge Aurier and Gareth Bale are starting. If they are out, Leicester should have their way with the disgruntled Harry Kane led Spurs.
Youri Tielemans is our top target from the hosts, with set piece control and a split on the direct free kicks alongside James Maddison. He averages 1.29 shots and 2.87 scoring chances created. His 3.69 crosses per match have an uptick, since his switch to primary corner taker, to 7.71. I like him as a top core play and will be the top play for me if the aforementioned Spurs do not see the starting eleven.
The goal hunting options of the hosts depend on who starts. Kelechi Iheanacho comes with a heavy asking price for a goal reliant striker. In GPP’s he is a solid leverage play, with a range that will have ownership more on the likes of Harry Kane, Michail Antonio and Nicolas Pepe. Jamie Vardy comes in underpriced for a PK man who continues to fire attempts at net. His 2.39 shots per match are promising when you include the goal contribution of 38% of the club’s overall scoring. His lack of goals, in comparison to a season ago are a bit concerning, but you can do much worse at this asking price of sub 6K.
Patrick Bamford (DraftKings $7,300, FanDuel $21)
The top plays come from Liverpool, Manchester City and Manchester United. That is nothing new, so we won’t get into them, just list below under other options. To win GPP’s we need to target leverage spots and not name recognition alone. The Leeds vs West Brom match could end as the highest scoring on the slate. This is not because either team is good but more that neither plays defense.
Leeds United’s home offense averages a below-average 1.35 expected goals per match, which is a downgrade from their road performances. They have a plus matchup against West Brom, that allows an expected goals of 1.65 on the road and an actual of 1.88 per match. Patrick Bamford has had an impressive season with sixteen goals and 40% goal contribution. His asking price needs scoring, as his outside metrics do not produce even half his ask in value. For a safer option with crossing volume, Raphinha is an option and a GPP leverage play can be found in the red hot Jack Harrison. I would look to pair one of the other with Bamford, but do not see a need to stack any one team with so many games.
Matheus Pereira (DraftKings $8,700, FanDuel $18)
From the visitors we have the high priced one off Matheus Pereira. He does it all for the relegated club and continues to do so with nothing to play for. He averages 2.13 shots per match and leads the club in overall scoring. Pereira builds his floor on drawn fouls of 1.82 and crossing volume of 4.97 per match. The counter punch option will be there against Leeds high press offense and Pereira’s asking price will have him overlooked on this slate.
Other Options: Gylfi Sigurdsson (DraftKings $6,400, FanDuel $13), Richarlison (DraftKings $6,300, FanDuel $17), Ollie Watkins (DraftKings $6,900, FanDuel $20), Sadio Mane (DraftKings $9,200, FanDuel $21), Mohamed Salah (DraftKings $9,500, FanDuel $23), Mason Mount (DraftKings $7,700, FanDuel $18), Phil Foden (DraftKings $9,300, FanDuel $18), James Ward-Prowse (DraftKings $7,900, FanDuel $13), Jack Grealish (DraftKings $7,300, FanDuel $16), Ademola Lookman (DraftKings $7,000, FanDuel $13).
EPL DFS Picks: Defender
Trent Alexander-Arnold (DraftKings $7,800, FanDuel $15)
Lucas Digne (DraftKings $6,300, FanDuel $13)
You will be hard pressed to find better volume options at the wingback position than the Everton and Liverpool set piece men. Trent Alexander-Arnold is the only player that is a core play matchup-proof. Liverpool is hitting on all cylinders as it is win or go home for them chasing the Champions League. They are the third best home team in the EPL, with an expected goals for of 1.88 and 1.50 actual goals for per match. The actual goals are a concern, but the wingback will do all he can to change that. He averages 8.20 crosses per match, heavily weighted on the open play volume which is a big plus. He averages 3.61 scoring chances created and ranks second on the club with 3.15 won tackles and interceptions per match.
Lucas Digne has a terrible matchup against the champions of the EPL. Everton has been in great form of late and are more desperate for the win. The matchup and high asking price will have Digne’s ownership low enough for me to take a chance. He averages 5.97 crosses per match, which trend north of seven without the injury plagued James Rodriguez. Digne averages 2.43 scoring chances created per match and 3.51 won tackles and interceptions, which should see an uptick against Manchester City’s passing attack. The matchup is interesting as Manchester City could be without Ilkay Gundogan and Kevin De Bruyne to protect the midfield, which helps the possession for Everton.
Other Options: Aaron Cresswell (DraftKings $6,200, FanDuel $13), Luke Shaw (DraftKings $5,800, FanDuel $11), Kieran Tierney (DraftKings $5,900, FanDuel $14), Conor Townsend (DraftKings $4,100, FanDuel $14), Joe Bryan (DraftKings $4,400, FanDuel $6).
Darren Randolph (DraftKings $5,300, FanDuel $12)
Kasper Schmeichel (DraftKings $5,200, FanDuel $8)
Dean Henderson (DraftKings $4,700, FanDuel $9)
Aaron Ramsdale (DraftKings $4,500, FanDuel $8)
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