Salah or Alexander-Arnold: EPL DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | June 21

Welcome to EPL DFS for June 21 (6/21/20). Here you’ll find our top plays, all things considered. The players who have price-considered floor/ceiling on DraftKings are especially highlighted. Keep in mind that teams are now allowed five substitutions instead of three due to lack of training during the hiatus.


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EPL Odds Report

Newcastle United (+230) vs Sheffield United (+135) O/U 2.5

Aston Villa (+540) vs Chelsea (-210) O/U 3

Everton (+475) vs Liverpool (-177) O/U 3

The EPL DFS Breakdown

FanDuel Main slate does not include the Newcastle United vs Sheffield United game. DraftKings main slate does.

These are listed in order of what I believe are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.

Forward DFS Picks

Mohamed Salah (DraftKings $10,500, FanDuel $22)

Even at the price Mohamed Salah should be a lock. He builts his own floor with shot volume leading the EPL and hitting the target at a clip of 41% which also makes him a safe floor on FanDuel. Everton is a mid-tier defense allowing an expected goals against of 37%, so the match up is not great, but Liverpool ranks second in the EPL iin expected goals at 56.6% and third overall in shot volume. Salah ranks fifth in the EPL in total scoring.

Mohamed Salah 2019-2020 stats: 14 goals, 6 assists, 98 shots and 47 shots assisted.

Tammy Abraham (DraftKings $7,500, FanDuel $19)

Tammy Abraham provides some salary relief and a lower ownership option in the front. He ranks seventh in the league in Shot volume and 9th in scoring. Abraham contributes on 27% of Chelsea’s goal involvement and has an immaculate match up against an Aston Villa team that ranks dead last in expected goals against at 57.4%.

Tammy Abraham 2019-2020 stats: 13 goals, 3 assists, 73 shots.

Sadio Mane (DraftKings $10,200, FanDuel $21)

It is going to be difficult to fit Sadio Mane with Salah, but he does provide a pivot in ownership and is just as involved in the offense for Liverpool. Mane contributes on 31.8% of Liverpool’s overall scoring. He adds to his floor with assisted shots and crosses. He ranks seventh in the league in scoring. While Mane sits just at twenty-first in the EPL in shot volume, he is much more accurate than Salah at 49.2% on target accuracy.

Sadio Mane 2019-2020 stats: 14 goals, 7 assists, 59 shots, 41 shots assisted.

Other Options: Domic Calvert-Lewin (DraftKings $5,600, FanDuel $17)

Midfield DFS Picks

Richarlison (DraftKings $6,200, FanDuel $18)

I am not one for narratives, but Richarlison has called out Virgil Van Dyke as not even being close to Tiago Silva and Sergio Ramos among others. Now might be time for him to put up a performance and his price plus the match up could keep people off of him. Richarlison drives the Everton offense contributing on 35% of thier scoring. He needs goals to pay off the price but oppurtunity could be there as he sits seventh in the EPL in shot volume. I like him as a contrarian play.

Richarlison 2019-2020 stats: 10 goals, 72 shots and 49 crosses.

Mason Mount (DraftKings $7,600, FanDuel $16)

Mason Mount sits fourteenth in the EPL in shot volume and hits the target with accuracy clip of 38%. He has the plus match up against Aston Villa and the floor is safe. Mount sits top-20 in the EPL in crosses and splits set pieces with Willian who is not expected to play. If this is the case Mount is under priced as he should get the volume to have a massive game.

Mason Mount 2019-2020 stats: 6 goals, 4 assists, 68 shots and 117 crosses.

Gylfi Sigurdsson (DraftKings $5,900, FanDuel $16)

Gylfi Sigurdsson controls set pieces for Everton. He ranks top-20 in the EPL in crosses and the price is hard to argue with considering the price. He allows you to pay up for some star combinations and not give up a whole spot of scoring.

Oliver Norwood (DraftKings $5,600)

Oliver Norwood is another salary relief option with floor safety. He sits nineth in the EPL in crosses and controls the corner kicks for Sheffield United. He doesn’t rely on scoring but does asist on shots and against Newcastle team that sits bottom 4 in expected goals allowed that could provide upside if Sheffield finds the back of the net. If John Fleck (DraftKings $7,500) I like Norwood less, but Fleck’s price is too high.

Oliver Norwood 2019-2020 stats: 40 shots assisted and 145 crosses.

Other Options: Christian Pulisic (DraftKings $8,000, FanDuel $14) (Better option on FanDuel), Roberto Firmino (DraftKings $6,700, FanDuel $18), Jack Grealish (DraftKings $8,500, FanDuel $16), Anwar El Ghazi (DraftKings $5,500, FanDuel $11).


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Defender DFS Picks

Trent Alexander-Arnold (DraftKings $9,000, FD $15)

Trent Alexander-Arnold has a sky high price tage and still will be high owned. His floor is safe is higher than almost everyone on this slates upside. He is ranked first in the EPL in total crosses by 50+ cross lead and he controls set pieces for Liverpool. He is second in the EPL in assists. Assisted shots and the mid-tier matchup against Everton. He could be 80%+ owned on the three gamer and I still would not recommend fading him.

Trent Alexander-Arnold 2019-2020 stats: 12 assists, 75 shots assisted and 308 crosses.

Lucas Digne (DraftKings $6,000, FanDuel $14)

Lucas Digne does everything for Everton through assists, free kicks and corner kicks. He ranks third overall in the league in crosses and his floor is safe regardless of the match up against top ranked Liverpool.

Lucas Digne 2019-2020 stats: 58 shots assisted, 5 assisted and 218 crosses.

Kortney Hause (DraftKings $3,500, FD $13)

We need a cheap spot to fit in the high prices around. Kortney Hause serves that purpose on DraftKings. The price is not as forgiving on FanDuel but he does have the clears upside on a Chelsea team that should be able to push on Aston Villa. With the price I still would look lower if needed on FanDuel. He has no floor on DraftKings, but you wont need much more than a few interceptions and won tackles from him to pay the price.

Other Options: Cesar Azpilicueta (DraftKings $5,500), Enda Stevens (DraftKings $4,700), George Baldock (DraftKings $4,600), Matt Targett (DraftKings $4,800, FanDuel $12).

Goalkeeper DFS Picks

Kepa Arrizabalaga (DraftKings $5,700, FanDuel $11)

Dean Henderson (DraftKings $5,000)

Related EPL DFS Content

Author
Jovanni Vidal is accountant and finance analyst, with lifetime passion for fantasy sports. He has provided content and player analysis for season-long fantasy sites. He joined Stokastic to help new and current DFS soccer players learn new approaches to the game and how to succeed, with an overall goal to grow the DFS soccer sport and various league content offerings. You can reach him on Twitter @fluff_marsh.

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