We are into Day Four of this tennis DFS week, and we’ll get to see some of the top players in the game. The fourth slate of this tennis DFS week has 12 matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We have thoughts on Stefanos Tsitsipas and Pablo Carreno Busta, so let’s dive in.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (DraftKings $10,300; FanDuel N/A)
Stefanos Tsitsipas has played some excellent tennis over the last three weeks with a 9-2 record. During this run, he’s taken out two top-10 players and his only two losses were against top five players. The young Greek star has had his inconsistent phases throughout the year, but he’s finally starting to play at his best once again. Tsitsipas has the ability to take down anyone at any time and I think he’s bound for a deep run.
Tsitsipas is up against Ricardas Berankis, the ATP world number 70. Berankis has been rolling through challenger level tournaments in 2019. However, he hasn’t been able to match that level of play on the ATP tour. He’s just 3-7 in his last 10 hard court matches and I don’t see him adding a win today. Berankis did take down Tsitsipas around this time last year, but Tsitsipas is a much better player nowadays.
Stan Wawrinka (DraftKings $9,600; FanDuel N/A)
Stan Wawrinka is back in action after having a stellar tournament at the U.S. Open. Wawrinka gave Novak Djokovic a straight-set beatdown before falling short to the eventual finalist Daniil Medvedev. Wawrinka reached the finals in Antwerp last week, and arguably played his best tennis all year. He had the finals won before he completely fell apart in the second set, but it’s a step in the right direction.
Wawrinka has a second-round matchup with Frances Tiafoe, the ATP world number 48 from the U.S. Tiafoe has had his ups and downs in 2019 with a 16-15 record on the hard surfaces. He’s reached four quarterfinals so far this year, but you never know what he’s going to bring to the table. He’s faced 26 break points in his last four matches, and given the power Wawrinka has, I think Tiafoe will be in for a rough match. We’re rolling with the Swiss to win in straight sets. For tennis DFS purposes, this is one of the easier choices on the slate.
Pablo Carreno Busta (DraftKings $9,000; FanDuel N/A)
Pablo Carreno Busta has been stellar since the U.S. Open with a 14-4 record while capturing a title in Chengdu. He’s taken down six top-40 players in straight sets during this run, and I expect another deep run this week. Carreno Busta is winning 77% of first serve points while holding serve 85% of the time and he’s been even better on the return end. He had 78 break point chances during his last five matches while converting on 28 of them.
Carreno Busta will have a meeting with Mikhail Kukushkin, the ATP world number 57. Kukushkin has been somewhat solid this year, with a 16-14 record on hard courts. However, his serving stats just make it way too tough to ride with him. Kukushkin has faced 80 break points in his last 10 matches, and it’s due to the poor serve he possesses. Carreno Busta is 1-0 against Kukushkin with the lone win coming on a clay court. I think the Spaniard will pull through once again and help our tennis DFS efforts.
Possible upset/value plays: Hyeon Chung (DraftKings $7,100; FanDuel N/A)
Hyeon Chung, the former world number 19, is slowly getting back into top form. He took out both Marin Cilic and Milos Raonic over the last few weeks, and he has another tough task today. Chung is 17-9 on the hard courts this year while reaching the third round at the U.S. Open. We’ve seen what the Korean can do when he’s at his best, and I think the win over Raonic will be a real confidence boost.
Chung will face off against the red hot Andrey Rublev, the ATP world number 22 from Russia. Rublev has been on an absolute roll as of late, taking down a title in Moscow last week. The last time he lost to a player ranked outside the top 30 was Aug. 5, but I think the fatigue will catch up to him. He had a tough match against Alexander Bublik, as Rublev saved seven out of the eight break points he faced. I think the defense of Chung will prevail in this match.
Best of luck!