It’s Day One of this tennis DFS week, and we have some important tournaments to breakdown. The first slate of this tennis DFS week has 12 matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We’ve got thoughts on Bianca Andreescu and Andrey Rublev, so let’s dive in.
Bianca Andreescu (DraftKings $9,500; FanDuel N/A)
Bianca Andreescu is the biggest name in tennis at the moment, and for good reason. The 19-year-old Canadian has been unstoppable in 2019 with a 43-5 record on hard courts. She’s won 17 out of her last 18 matches, including a title in Toronto and at the U.S. Open. Andreescu is by far the best player on the WTA tour at the moment, and it almost seems like she is a lock to win any match. We’re going to roll with her until this train ends, which might not be for a while from now.
Andreescu will face off against Simona Halep, the WTA world number five. Halep took down the title at Wimbledon in July, but her game hasn’t been great since then. She is just 6-5 on the hard courts over the last three months, losing to two players ranked outside the top 100. Halep hasn’t played in a month, and her first match at the WTA Finals might be a rough one. It’s almost impossible to bet against Andreescu at this point in time, especially in Tennis DFS.
Adrian Mannarino (DraftKings $8,300; FanDuel N/A)
Adrian Mannarino has had a somewhat impressive Asia hard court swing, with an 8-5 record. He reached the finals in both Zhuhai and Moscow, flying under the radar in almost every match. Mannarino showed his dominance on the indoor courts in Moscow by winning every match in straight sets prior to his finals defeat. He isn’t a player that I target often, but he can pull off some stellar tennis and take people down quickly on these surfaces.
Mannarino has a meeting with Casper Ruud, the ATP world number 61 from Norway. Ruud is one of the top clay court players on the tour, but he hasn’t been able to replicate that on this surface. He is 14-14 on hard courts in 2019 while losing four out of his last five prior to the qualifiers this week. Ruud faced 14 break points in his two qualifying matches this week, which proves that he does struggle on this court. Mannarino is by far the better player in this match. I will be giving strong exposure to Mannarino in my Tennis DFS lineups.
Andrey Rublev (DraftKings $8,000; FanDuel N/A)
Andrey Rublev has continued to play outstanding tennis, as he is 23-7 since the Cincinnati Masters. The young Russian is beating players of all ranks left and right and only one of his losses came against a player ranked outside the top 15. Rublev took down the title in Moscow two week ago, and he still wants more. He’s winning 78% of first serve points and holding serve 87% of the time during this run, and I hope we get to see it continue.
Rublev will go up against Jo-=Wilfried Tsonga, the ATP world number 36 from France. Tsonga has shown moments of pure brilliance this year, and some not so hot moments. He took down the title in both Montpellier and Metz, but outside of that he’s been rather poor. Tsonga is just 9-9 outside of those two tournament wins, and he’s currently riding a two-match loss streak. Rublev defeated Tsonga earlier this year in France, and I expect the same result today. Lock him into your Tennis DFS lineups.
Possible upset/value plays: Fernando Verdasco (DraftKings $7,000; FanDuel N/A)
Fernando Verdasco is always a tough player to back due to his inconsistent game. He’s 12-13 on the hard courts this year while losing four out of his last five matches. But to be fair, all of his opponents were ranked inside the top 30. Six out of his last seven matches have gone to three sets, which shows that he sticks in it but is just having issues closing it out. This is a tough slate for upsets, but I think he can perform well against a struggling opponent.
Verdasco has a first round match with Borna Coric, the ATP world number 24 from Croatia. Coric has been an absolute disaster over the last few weeks, losing four straight matches. He faced a total of 33 break points during those four matches, while losing 12 of them. Coric is winning just 42% of second serve points, and I don’t trust him to beat anyone at this point. This is an important tournament for all players, but I just can’t see myself having faith in Coricin his current form for Tennis DFS purposes.
Best of luck!