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Tennis DFS Picks: US Open, Kei Nishikori and Reilly Opelka, DraftKings, FanDuel, August 28 (FREE)

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Caleb's FREE Tennis DFS Picks for August 28th on DraftKings and FanDuel takes a look at Kei Nishikori, Reilly Opelka and more.

We are into the third day of the year’s final major, as the US Open will be taking place over the next two weeks. The WTA side of the draw is wide open as usual, but the same question still remains for the men; will anyone be able to knock out Novak Djokovic? It seems almost impossible at this rate, as the best of five set version of Novak is one of the deadliest combinations on the tour. The third slate of this tennis DFS week has 32 matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We’ve got thoughts on Kei Nishikori and Reilly Opelka, so let’s dive in.

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Kei Nishikori (DraftKings $10,000; FanDuel $23)

Kei Nishikori looked outstanding in his first match at the US Open, with a 6-1 4-1 win over Marco Trungelliti. The world number seven was coming off a cold streak as he was 0-2 over the last few weeks, but he is right back on track. Nishikori won 81% of service points while facing zero break points before Marco retired, so he’ll be well rested while having a load of confidence. The three time US Open semi finalist is one of the top threats on the tour, and Kei is bound to get back to that top level of play soon.

Nishikori will have a second round meeting with Bradley Klahn, the ATP world number 108 from the US. He has been nothing short of poor on the hard courts on the ATP level over the last 12 months, with a 4-11 record. Bradley had an impressive first round win in straight sets over Thiago Monteiro, but Monteiro’s game style fits the clay courts. Klahn is 0-2 against top 10 players in his career, and I don’t see him getting that first win today. Nishikori is dominant in all aspects, and I expect him to win in straight sets.

Pablo Carreno Busta (DraftKings $9,200; FanDuel $19)

Pablo Carreno Busta is in excellent form, as the former ATP world number 10 is looking to make some noise at the US Open. Pablo is 6-2 on the hard courts over the last two weeks, while taking down four top 50 players. The 2017 US Open semi finalist has the game to compete with the top players on the tour, and I hope to see him get back to that level. He dismissed the world number 20 Guido Pella in the first round in four sets, and that momentum should carry over into an easier matchup.

He’ll go up against Ricardas Berankis, the ATP world number 68. Berankis has been unreal on the challenger tour, with a 24-3 record in 2019 while capturing four titles. However, he is just 4-4 in ATP level matches. Berankis was riding a three match loss streak before his first round victory over Jiri Vesely, which was a five set marathon match. Vesely had numerous chances to put the match away, but Berankis somehow stayed in and came out on top. Ricardas lost four service games in that match, and he didn’t look good enough to take on a player like Carreno Busta. I’m picking Pablo to win this match in three sets.

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Reilly Opelka (DraftKings $8,800; FanDuel $18)

The big serving American has been playing some solid tennis in 2019. Reilly Opelka is 23-10 on the hard courts while capturing a title in New York in February. The big man is firing down aces at a 27% rate while holding serve 93% of the time this year, and those stats frustrate opponents beyond belief. Opelka took out Fabio Fognini, the world number 11, in the first round in four sets, and that has to be a big confidence boost for him. Reilly has lost to just one player ranked outside the top 100 in 2019, and I don’t see that changing after his next match.

Opelka has a second round match against Dominik Koepfer, the ATP world number 118 from Germany. Koepfer ran through the qualifiers, losing just one set in the process, and then posted an impressive win over Jaume Munar. Granted Munar is a clay court player, it gives the German some confidence going forward. Koepfer is 28-21 on hard courts in challenger and ATP matches over the last 12 months, but he is 0-3 against Opelka. He’s taken only one set off of Reilly, and that was back in February earlier this year. Opelka is much better now than he was in that match, and I expect the result to be the same.

Possible upset/value plays: Iga Swiatek (DraftKings $7,500; FanDuel $15)

Iga Swiatek has been nothing short of exceptional over the last two week, with an 8-2 record on the hard courts. Her lone two losses came against the world number two Naomi Osaka, and the world number 20 Anett Kontaveit. Iga won her first match at the US Open 6-0 6-1 over Ivana Jorovic, while winning 72% of her service points. Swiatek took down two top 25 players during this run, and I think she can get a third in her next match. 

Swiatek will go up against Anastasia Sevastova, the WTA world number 12 from Latvia. Sevastova has been rather consistent on the hard courts over the last 12 months, with a 23-14 record while making a finals run in Beijing last October. In her three hard court matches this month, Sevastova is 1-2 while posting some poor numbers on serve. Across both of her losses, Sevastova won just 50% of all service points while being broken 12 times. Her lone win came against a cold Eugenie Bouchard, who is currently riding an 11 game loss streak. I have Swiatek winning this match if she takes advantage of her chances on the return side.

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Best of luck!

Twitter: @CMGCaleb_

Caleb contributes to the tennis coverage at Awesemo.com, providing analysis and picks for some of the top tennis tournaments. Though he specializes in DraftKings' tennis offerings, Caleb's analysis extends to everywhere wise enough to offer tennis daily fantasy sports to the masses. You can contact Caleb by emailing [email protected].

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