We are into the fifth day of the fourth and final major of the year is underway, as the US Open will be taking place over the next two weeks. The fifth slate of this tennis DFS week has 16 matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We’ve got thoughts on Stan Wawrinka and Daniil Medvedev, so let’s dive in.
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Stan Wawrinka (DraftKings $10,400; FanDuel $21)
Stan Wawrinka has been rock solid in the first two rounds, dropping just two sets in total. Stan the Man is starting to get back to his 2016 US Open champion self, and it’s only a matter of time before he cracks the top 10 again. Wawrinka has broken serve eight times out of his 23 chances so far in this tournament, and he held serve every time against Jeremy Chardy. He’s firing down aces at an 18% rate while winning 75% of first serve points, and Stan is looking to continue that level of play.
Stan will have a third round meeting with Paolo Lorenzi, the ATP world number 135 from Italy. Lorenzi was a lucky loser into this tournament as he lost his third qualifying match, but he has somehow managed to get to this stage. He has been on court for nine hours in just two matches, as they were both five set marathons. He struggled to take down the world number 1415 Zachary Svajda, but then posted an impressive win as a +850 underdog against Miomir Kecmanovic. Long story short, Lorenzi has to be exhausted and he doesn’t get a day to rest due to the weather delay yesterday. I think Stan will win comfortably, if Paolo doesn’t withdraw.
Daniil Medvedev (DraftKings $9,500; FanDuel $22)
Daniil Medvedev is the man to beat on the ATP tour, as he is 16-2 over the last month while reaching three straight finals. What’s even more impressive is that he’s dropped just six sets across those 18 matches, including a three set win over the world number one Novak Djokovic. Medvedev is currently at his career high ranking of five, and I can see him cracking the top three if he sustains this level of play. The only concern is his health as he was limping around in his last match, but if he’s ready to go, I’m locking him in.
Medvedev will go up against Feliciano Lopez, the ATP world number 61. Lopez has been rather inconsistent on the hard courts in 2019, with a 10-8 record while failing to get to the quarterfinals of any tournament. However he has looked solid so far at the US Open, taking down both Taylor Fritz and Yoshihito Nishioka in dominant fashion. He’s firing down 49 aces in total while breaking the opponent’s serve nine times. The opponent standing on the other side of the net is in much better form however, and I don’t see Lopez being able to stop him.
Qiang Wang (DraftKings $8,900; FanDuel $19)
Qiang Wang has been one of the most consistent hard court players on the WTA tour over the last 12 months. She is 33-13 during that span while taking down one title. The world number 18 has looked dominant so far at the US Open, winning all four set while dropping serve twice. She’s winning 78% of first serve points and 62% of second serves. Wang has a third round meeting with a familiar opponent.
Wang will go up against Fiona Ferro, the WTA world number 74 from France. Ferro has been on fire since mid-July, with a 13-2 record across both the clay and hard courts. However, her one loss on the hard court came against Wang just one week ago. Wang won that match 6-1 6-4 while breaking Ferro six times. Wang plays up tempo tennis which is the exact opposite of Ferro’s clay court style, and I think it’ll be too much to handle once again. I expect Wang to win in straight sets.
Possible upset/value plays: Anastasija Sevastova (DraftKings $7,700; FanDuel $16)
I was against Anastasija Sevastova in both of her matches so far at the US Open, and she burned me twice. The WTA world number 11 hasn’t been fantastic on the hard courts in 2019, with an 11-9 record while making it to just one quarterfinal. She’s looked solid in this tournament, as all four of her set wins were either 6-3 or 6-1. Sevastova has broken her opponent’s serve 10 times so far while winning a total of 70 return points. She seems to have found a rhythm, and I hope it carries over into the next round.
Sevastova is up against Petra Martic, the WTA world number 22 from Croatia. Martic was having a tough time on the hard surfaces before the US Open, losing six out of her last seven matches. She’s looking much better in this tournament as she’s dropped just one set, but the level of her previous opponent’s doesn’t match up with Sevastova. Martic is winning 79% of first serve points at the US Open while dropping just three service games, but Sevastova’s return game has been unreal. These two are 1-1 against each other with both matches on a clay court, but I think Sevastova has the slight edge in this one.
Best of luck!