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DFS Tennis Picks: U.S. Open Day 6 DraftKings Picks | Karolina Muchova | 9/5/20




Tennis DFS picks from Josh Anderson for the upcoming slate on DraftKings for 10/30/20

Interesting day 5 of tennis but still had a good day overall. All our favorites played well and scored 67 draftkings dfs points. Linette got completely overrun and seemed fatigued. Pegula had no answer for Kvitova’s serves but enough of yesterday let’s get right into these Tennis DFS Picks for Day 6 of the US Open. 

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Tennis DFS Picks: DraftKings, US Open Day 6

Karolina Muchova ($9,500) 

Opponent: Sorana Cirstea

Odds to win: -370

Muchova is 5-5 on the hard surface this year but is much better than her record implies, especially when she’s coming off of a 25-9 record in 2019 on the hard surface. Cirstea barely got by Konta but I don’t expect her to have the same luck against Muchova. Cirstea had 36 unforced errors in her last match as well as 6 double faults which won’t help in her match against Muchova.

Muchova had a blistering 80% first won % and 60% second serve won % compared to Cirsteas 63% and 48%. Muchova should be able to take advantage of Cirsteas unforced errors issue and win in straight sets.

Elise Mertens ($9,900) 

Opponent: Caty Mcnally

Odds to win: -590

Mertens is the favorite to win this one and has been great on hard courts this year. But I’m not picking her because of the fact she should but because of how she has been winning recently. Mertens has been absolutely dominating opponents and posting scores of at least 78 points her last 3 wins. Mertens had actually played Mcnally last year beating her 7-5 6-0. I expect Mertens to win this match easily and post a high tennis dfs score.

Mcnally is more error prone and double faults at a higher rate than Mertens. A bad day for Mcnally can mean winning 40% of her first serves compared to Merten who still wins 60%+ in a bad game. I’ll have to go with Mertens here to win in dominant fashion,

Maria Sakkari ($7,900) 

Opponent: Amanda Anisimova

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Odds to win: +110

This is the first meeting between these 2 and they’ve both been good on the hard surface this year.  Sakkari since 2019 has posted a 24-18 on the hard surface compared to Anisimovas 17-12. Sakkari has won 5 of her last 6 compared to Anisimova who has won 4 of her last 6. Sakkari has been starting off slow this tournament dropping a set in both her wins. But Sakkaris  43 unforced errors with 35 of those coming from one match look small when compared to Anisimovas 87 unforced errors in just two matches. 

Sakkari is averaging a higher first serve won % and second serve won % than Anisimova for the US Open. Anisimovas error prone form will not be enough to overpower. Sakkari should win this one in 3 sets.

Tennis DFS Potential Upset: Tsvetana Pironkova ($6,000) 

Opponent: Donna Vekic

Odds to win: +172

Pironkova and Donna Vekic have history from a few years back before Pironkovas long layoff. Pironkova leads the h2h 3-0 and all those wins were on the hard surface. Pironkovas last match before the US Open was in July 2017 but it seems she has dusted the rust off quickly. 

Some interesting tournament stats from Pironkovas last game include 1st serve won % of 93% and posting only one unforced error compared to Vekic’s 77% first serve won and 5 unforced errors. I can see this match going to three sets with Pironkova winning in 3 sets.

Tennis DFS Fade: Alex De Minaur ($8,300) 

Opponent: Karen Khachanov

Odds to win: -168

Last time I said to fade him he only scored 64 dfs points. This time around I think his opponent has a good chance of beating him or taking it to 5 sets again. Karen has been playing real well this tournament averaging almost 79% first serve won % and almost 60% 2nd serve won compared to De Minaur who has 74.5% and 52%. Karen tends to have less unforced errors and double faults and should be able to capitalize on De Minaurs mistakes.

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