NFL Week 6 Anytime TD Picks: Drake London at +145
By Jake Hari
October 13, 2026
Drake London to score a touchdown is my best anytime TD bet of Week 6: +145 at DraftKings, and he scores in 43.7% of our Sims against the Bears on Sunday.
London leads Atlanta with 37 targets and 488 receiving yards, and he hasn't scored once. Sunday he gets a Chicago secondary that's banged up.
| Bet | Best price | Sims |
|---|---|---|
| Drake London TD | +145 DK | 43.7% |
| Luther Burden III TD | +180 DK | 38.8% |
| Tucker Kraft TD | +205 DK | 37.6% |
| Drake Maye TD | +330 DK | 26.9% |
| London and Burden both score | +575 DK | 17.5% |
The Sims are 10,000 runs of each game made Tuesday morning, Oct. 13. DraftKings prices were read Tuesday, Oct. 13, at 7:19 a.m. CT. Kalshi and Polymarket haven't listed Sunday touchdown markets yet.
Every touchdown percentage on this page came from asking the Sims a plain question, like "Drake London anytime TD." You can ask the same thing about anybody playing this week, for free, and get back how often he scores in 10,000 runs of his game. Try it on London right here:
London Has the Yards, Not the TDs
London had 194 yards at Green Bay and 118 against Baltimore on Sunday night. No touchdown in either game. Nobody else in Atlanta is close to his target count; Bijan Robinson is next with 25.
Chicago played at Green Bay last week without corner Kyler Gordon, then watched Tyrique Stevenson leave with a hamstring. Stevenson is questionable for Sunday, and safeties Coby Bryant and Anthony Johnson Jr. are on injured reserve. Chicago allowed 31 at Green Bay.
At +145 I'm in, and I'd keep betting it down to +130.
I also asked a follow-up: how often does he score if the Falcons win? 52%. If you think Atlanta pulls the upset at home, that's the version of this game where London gets in.
The one thing to watch is Michael Penix Jr. He hurt his ribs late against Baltimore, and Adam Schefter reported Monday it isn't considered serious. The Sims have Penix starting. If he can't go, ask the Sims again before you bet.
Kraft Is the Sunday Night Bet
Tucker Kraft is my Sunday night touchdown. He scores in 37.6% of the Sims against Dallas, and he's +205 at DraftKings.
Kraft has 20 catches and one touchdown this year. Green Bay has Jayden Reed on injured reserve and Luke Musgrave out, and Dallas is missing corners Joey Porter Jr. and Cobie Durant and linebacker DeMarvion Overshown. Cowboys-Packers has one of the highest totals on Sunday's board.
Christian Watson has six touchdowns in five games and is +125 to score. Kraft is the cheaper Green Bay touchdown, with Josh Jacobs out again. I'd bet him down to +170.
Burden Leads the Bears' Targets
Burden is my bet on Chicago's side of the same game. He leads Chicago with 35 targets, ahead of Rome Odunze at 29. Tyson Bagent is starting with Caleb Williams out, and the Sims still give Burden about five catches a game.
Atlanta has A.J. Terrell Jr. on injured reserve and C.J. Henderson questionable. The Bears average 27 points to Atlanta's 23 in the Sims, and Burden scores in 38.8% of games. He's +180 at DraftKings, so I'd take it down to +160.
Maye Runs It In
The long shot. Drake Maye has run 30 times for 161 yards and finally ran one in against the Raiders on Sunday. New England is a 7.5-point favorite over a Jets team playing without Breece Hall.
He has thrown eight touchdowns and run for one, so this needs him to keep it near the goal line. The Sims have him running one in 26.9% of games. He's +330 at DraftKings, so bet it small.
London and Burden on One Ticket
I asked the Sims for both of my Bears-Falcons receivers on one ticket. They score together in 17.5% of games.
The Sims don't show London and Burden taking touchdowns from each other. Both teams throw, and the total is 49.5. DraftKings has it at +575 as a same-game parlay, and I'd take anything at +471 or longer.
The Bets
- Drake London anytime TD, +145 at DraftKings. 488 yards, no touchdowns, and a Bears secondary without Kyler Gordon. Good to +130.
- Luther Burden III anytime TD, +180 at DraftKings. Chicago's target leader against an Atlanta secondary without Terrell. Good to +160.
- Tucker Kraft anytime TD, +205 at DraftKings. The cheaper way into Green Bay's offense on Sunday night. Good to +170.
- Small: Drake Maye anytime TD, +330 at DraftKings. He runs, and the Patriots average about 26 points in the Sims.
- Smallest: London and Burden both score, +575 at DraftKings (anything longer than +471).
Ask About Anybody Else
Week 6 has 14 games, and all of them are in the Sims through Monday night. Ask The Sims is free. Type "Does Puka Nacua score twice?" or "Do Bijan and London both score if Atlanta wins?" and you get the answer from 10,000 runs of that game.
Pick your book and start asking: Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings or FanDuel.
Ask The Sims about any Week 6 touchdown scorer in the free Parlay Simulator: type a player, and it counts how often he scores in 10,000 runs of the game.
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