The NHL East Board: 8 AI Models Score All 16 Teams
By Jake Hari
July 27, 2026
TL;DR
The panel's top of the board: Florida Panthers (24%), Tampa Bay Lightning (13%), Carolina Hurricanes (13%). Every verdict below was made price-blind from live fetched data, and every one gets graded against the real settlement on our public scoreboard.
The defending champion Hurricanes lead the East board at 20 cents, with a Florida roster now carrying both Tkachuk brothers right behind at 17. Every verdict below was made with the complete current roster in hand: the roster-first protocol adopted after a news feed once missed the free-agency wave.
How The Panel Read It
The panel flips the crowd's order at the top: Florida's double-Tkachuk roster earns the blend lead at 24 while defending-champion Carolina sits at 13, tied with Tampa Bay. Every Florida rationale cites the fetched forward group by name: this is the roster-card protocol doing exactly what it was built for.
Where The Machines Split From The Money
Carolina Hurricanes: market 20¢, AI blend 13% (7 points below the crowd). Claude Sonnet: "Carolina is a strong, well-built East contender but faces ~15 other teams for one Cup Final berth."
Florida Panthers: market 17¢, AI blend 24% (7 points above the crowd). Gemini 3.1 Pro: "This fantasy-like super-roster adding Brady Tkachuk, Marchand, and Jones to an already elite core makes them massive favorites, though playoff variance caps certainty."
Boston Bruins: market 2¢, AI blend 7% (5 points above the crowd). GLM 5.2: "The Bruins boast elite talent in Pastrnak, McAvoy, Swayman, and added Peterka, making them a strong Eastern Conference contender, but the field is deep."
The Board
| Outcome | Kalshi | AI blend | ChatGPT (GPT-5.5) | Claude Fable | Claude Opus | Claude Sonnet | Gemini 3.1 Pro | GLM 5.2 | Kimi K3 | DeepSeek V4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | 17¢ | 24% | 23% | 24% | 22% | 22% | 28% | 28% | 24% | 22% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 11¢ | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 10% | 20% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 20¢ | 13% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 12% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 7¢ | 11% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 18% | 9% | 12% |
| Washington Capitals | 12¢ | 8% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| New Jersey Devils | 7¢ | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 8% |
| New York Rangers | 5¢ | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 3% | 4% |
| Boston Bruins | 2¢ | 7% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 4% | 6% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 9¢ | 6% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| Ottawa Senators | 5¢ | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 3¢ | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 1.5% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 3¢ | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1.5% | 7% | 6% | 2% |
| New York Islanders | 2¢ | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 3¢ | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 0.4% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 5¢ | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1.3% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 3¢ | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
Model estimates generated July 27, 2026, price-blind from live fetched data. These are model estimates, not predictions of fact and not financial or trading advice. Models are frequently wrong; the market price reflects real traders' money. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange; 18+, availability varies by state.
FAQ
Why do the model percentages differ from the Kalshi price?
The models never see the price. When they disagree with the crowd, one side is wrong, and we grade every verdict against real settlements on our public scoreboard.
Are model verdicts betting advice?
No. Model verdicts are model estimates, not betting or financial advice. Treat them as one input among many and make your own decisions.