Titans vs Ravens Same Game Parlay: Ward Throws for 150
By Jake Hari
October 4, 2026
Tennessee is still looking for its first win, and it's on the road in Baltimore. I think the Ravens win this by double digits, but Cam Ward throws enough that it never gets out of hand, and that script decides the legs.
I picked the score first, typed it into the free Kalshi Parlay Simulator, then flipped it for a Titans upset and kept the top three-leg combo for each.
Baltimore Should Win
Tennessee Titans (0-3) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1) Sunday, October 4 · 1:00 p.m. ET · M&T Bank Stadium · CBS Stokastic Sims: Ravens win 83%
Zay Flowers and Chris Moore are questionable for Baltimore, and Tyjae Spears is questionable for Tennessee.
Ward Keeps Throwing
| Leg | Side | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| BAL wins by 18+ | NO | 69¢ (-223) |
| Cam Ward 150+ passing yards | YES | 72¢ (-257) |
| Justice Hill 20+ rushing yards | NO | 59¢ (-144) |
| Sims price | Kalshi legs | Near BAL 27-16 |
|---|---|---|
| 37.7¢ (+165) | 29.3¢ (+241) | 49% |
The Sims Price is how often the whole combo hit in 10,000 sims. Kalshi is the three legs bought one at a time, multiplied. Current Script is how often it hit in the sims that finished near my score.
When Ward moves the ball through the air, Tennessee stays within striking distance, and Baltimore doesn't need to lean on Justice Hill to run out the clock. That's why the combo hits more often together than the separate prices imply.
Not every card for this score is worth it. The second card stacks three YES legs, including YES on BAL wins by 6+, and its Kalshi number is higher than its Sims Price. I'd skip it.
Ward Keeps It Close
| Leg | Side | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| BAL wins by 14+ | NO | 55¢ (-122) |
| Cam Ward 150+ passing yards | YES | 72¢ (-257) |
| Wan'Dale Robinson 25+ receiving yards | YES | 69¢ (-223) |
| Sims price | Kalshi legs | Near TEN 23-20 |
|---|---|---|
| 32.8¢ (+205) | 27.3¢ (+266) | 61% |
None of these legs needs Tennessee to win. If Ward is throwing, Robinson gets his catches and Baltimore can't pull away, so this cashes in a close Ravens win too.
Build It Yourself
- Open TEN @ BAL in the Kalshi Parlay Simulator.
- Type your final score into Pick Your Game Script.
- Set legs to 3 and read the cards. If the Kalshi number is higher than the Sims Price, skip that ticket.
My Two Tickets
- Ravens 27-16 (37.7¢ sims): NO on BAL wins by 18+, YES on Cam Ward 150+ passing yards, NO on Justice Hill 20+ rushing yards.
- Titans 23-20 (32.8¢ sims): NO on BAL wins by 14+, YES on Cam Ward 150+ passing yards, YES on Wan'Dale Robinson 25+ receiving yards.
Prices are from 8 a.m. ET on game day and move until kickoff. The simulator is free, so type your own Titans-Ravens score and see what it builds.
Stokastic Sims are estimates, not guarantees.
Type your own Titans-Ravens score into the free Kalshi Parlay Simulator and it builds and prices the combos, from the same 10,000 sims.
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