Falcons vs Saints Anytime TD Picks: Kendre Miller Leads

Bijan Robinson is the touchdown everyone wants on Monday night. The better prices sit a step down the depth chart: Kendre Miller first, Brian Robinson second, then one Saints receiver. That's where my Falcons vs Saints anytime TD card starts.

I ran every scorer through the free Kalshi Parlay Simulator, which plays this game 10,000 times and counts how often each player finds the end zone. Then I lined each one up against his "scores a TD" YES price on Kalshi. Prices are from Sunday night, October 4, and move until kickoff.

A Superdome Coin Flip

Atlanta Falcons (1-2) at New Orleans Saints (1-2) Monday, October 5 · 8:15 p.m. ET · Caesars Superdome · ESPN Stokastic Sims: Saints win 52%. Noah Fant is questionable for New Orleans.

Kendre Miller Tops It

Kendre Miller scores in 31.6% of the sims. YES on "Kendre Miller scores a TD" trades at 25¢ (+300) on Kalshi.

His touchdowns cluster in Saints blowouts. The tool's top pairing is Miller scoring plus New Orleans winning by 11 or more.

The Other Robinson

Brian Robinson scores in 28.6% of the sims. YES on "Brian Robinson scores a TD" trades at 22¢ (+355).

Per Yahoo Sports, the Saints' run defense ranks 27th. If Atlanta leans on the ground game, the No. 2 back gets goal-line carries too.

Olave Rides Shough

Chris Olave scores in 46.7% of the sims. YES on "Chris Olave scores a TD" trades at 41¢ (+144).

Last week Tyler Shough threw four touchdown passes and Olave topped 100 receiving yards, per Yahoo Sports. The tool's top pairing: an Olave touchdown plus three or more Shough TD passes.

Bijan and London Together

Bijan is the likeliest scorer on the field. I asked how often he and Drake London both score. It happens in 26.1% of the sims, and the tool marks the combo Fair next to the two Kalshi legs multiplied.

Falcons vs Saints Anytime TD Board

Biggest sims-over-price gaps first. The simulator lists all 23 scorers.

Ask the Sims Yourself

1. Open Falcons vs Saints in the Kalshi Parlay Simulator.
2. Set the Markets filter to Touchdowns to see every scorer.
3. Type your question into Ask the Sims: "How often does Kendre Miller score a TD?"
4. Read the Sims Result, the share of all 10,000 sims where it happens, then scroll to Other Ways to Bet It.

Questions you can copy:

• How often does Brian Robinson score a TD?
• How often does Juwan Johnson score a TD?
• How often do Bijan Robinson and Drake London both score a TD?

Build Around Them

Miller, Brian Robinson and Olave are my anytime plays, with Bijan as the anchor. To stack them with a side, start from the Falcons vs Saints same game parlay. For who gets in first, read the Falcons vs Saints first touchdown scorer breakdown.

The simulator is free, so ask it your own scorer.

Stokastic Sims are estimates, not guarantees.