Lions vs Panthers Same Game Parlay: Bryce Young Kept Quiet

Detroit goes to Carolina as the better team, and I think it plays like it, just not by much. My read is a close Lions win where Bryce Young never gets into a shootout.

So I typed that score into the free Kalshi Parlay Simulator and let it build the three-leg same game parlay. Then I flipped it to see Carolina's best ticket.

Detroit Wins Close

Detroit Lions (2-1) at Carolina Panthers (1-2) Sunday, October 4 · 8:20 p.m. ET · Bank of America Stadium · NBC Stokastic Sims: Lions win 59%

Jalen Coker is questionable for Carolina. None of my legs depend on him, so I'm not waiting on that news.

Young Stays Quiet

I typed in Lions 27, Panthers 24. This is the top card:

If Young doesn't get to 275, Carolina rarely puts up enough to win by four or push this game past 55.5, so all three NOs land together. The sims price is higher than the Kalshi number, which means the combo hits more often than the three separate prices imply.

Hubbard Flips It

Flip it to Panthers 27, Lions 24 and the top card doesn't even need Carolina to win:

Hubbard getting his yards and Gibbs staying under his big number describe the same game: Carolina runs well and keeps it close. This is the widest gap on either card, and it also cashes in a close Lions win. I'm playing it next to the Lions ticket.

Build It Yourself

1. Open DET @ CAR in the Kalshi Parlay Simulator.
2. Type your final score into Pick Your Game Script. Pick the score before the legs, because the legs that make sense change with it.
3. Set legs to 3 and read the cards. Sims Price is how often the whole combo hit in 10,000 sims. Kalshi is the three legs bought one at a time, multiplied. When the Kalshi number is higher, skip that ticket. Current Script is how often it hit in the sims that finished near your score.

My Two Tickets

• Lions 27-24 (37.8¢ sims): NO on CAR wins by 4+, NO on Over 55.5 total points, NO on Bryce Young 275+ passing yards.
• Panthers 27-24 (36.2¢ sims): NO on DET wins by 5+, YES on Chuba Hubbard 50+ rushing yards, NO on Jahmyr Gibbs 120+ rushing yards.

Prices are from 8 a.m. ET on game day, and they move until kickoff. The simulator is free, so type your own Lions-Panthers score and see what it builds.

Stokastic Sims are estimates, not guarantees.