The NHL West Board: 8 AI Models Score All 16 Teams
By Jake Hari
July 27, 2026
TL;DR
The panel's top of the board: Edmonton Oilers (17%), Dallas Stars (16%), Vegas Golden Knights (16%). Every verdict below was made price-blind from live fetched data, and every one gets graded against the real settlement on our public scoreboard.
A 121-point regular season makes Colorado the West's 22-cent favorite, with Vegas and a McDavid-led Edmonton bunched behind. The panel scored all 16 teams from complete fetched rosters, and its sharpest disagreements are exactly where roster reality and reputation diverge.
How The Panel Read It
The blend compresses the West into a four-team shelf: Edmonton, Dallas, Vegas, Colorado all within three points: where the crowd pays Colorado a clear premium. The McDavid seats argue top-end talent wins conference tournaments; the Colorado skeptics cite the fetched goaltending situation. A conference board this flat is really a referendum on playoff variance, and the panel prices more of it than the crowd does.
Where The Machines Split From The Money
Colorado Avalanche: market 22¢, AI blend 14% (8 points below the crowd). Gemini 3.1 Pro: "Despite questionable goaltending and losing Rantanen, elite stars like MacKinnon and Makar alongside deep forward additions keep them highly competitive."
Chicago Blackhawks: market 9¢, AI blend 3% (6 points below the crowd). Kimi K3: "Bedard-led youth plus Kane reunion, Byram and Knight is promising, but thin depth and young defense lag far behind West powers like Edmonton, Dallas and Colorado."
San Jose Sharks: market 9¢, AI blend 3% (6 points below the crowd). Kimi K3: "Rebuilding Sharks with young core (Celebrini, Smith, Misa, Askarov) and veteran stopgaps are years from contending against deep Western Conference powers."
The Board
| Outcome | Kalshi | AI blend | ChatGPT (GPT-5.5) | Claude Fable | Claude Opus | Claude Sonnet | Gemini 3.1 Pro | GLM 5.2 | Kimi K3 | DeepSeek V4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 14¢ | 17% | 16% | 22% | 15% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 14% | 18% |
| Dallas Stars | 10¢ | 16% | — | 12% | 15% | 15% | 18% | 22% | 14% | 15% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 15¢ | 16% | 16% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 18% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 22¢ | 14% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 12% |
| Minnesota Wild | 12¢ | 10% | 15% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 11% | 12% |
| Winnipeg Jets | — | 9% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 4¢ | 7% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 3% |
| Utah Mammoth | 6¢ | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 12% | 4% | 4% |
| St. Louis Blues | 9¢ | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 11% | 4% | 3% |
| Nashville Predators | — | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 6% |
| Seattle Kraken | — | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 7% |
| Vancouver Canucks | — | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 0.5% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 7¢ | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 1.5% | 2% | 3% | 1.2% |
| San Jose Sharks | 9¢ | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 1.0% | 2% |
| Calgary Flames | — | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 1.5% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 9¢ | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 1.5% | 2% |
Model estimates generated July 27, 2026, price-blind from live fetched data. These are model estimates, not predictions of fact and not financial or trading advice. Models are frequently wrong; the market price reflects real traders' money. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange; 18+, availability varies by state.
FAQ
Why do the model percentages differ from the Kalshi price?
The models never see the price. When they disagree with the crowd, one side is wrong, and we grade every verdict against real settlements on our public scoreboard.
Are model verdicts betting advice?
No. Model verdicts are model estimates, not betting or financial advice. Treat them as one input among many and make your own decisions.