Ask the Sims Cheat Sheet · NFL Week 6 · Sunday Slate
NFL Week 6 Anytime TD Scorer Picks & Parlay Cheat Sheet
By Sam Smith
October 16, 2026

Drake Maye and the Patriots host the Jets on Sunday, and Maye runs in a touchdown in 35% of 10,000 Stokastic Sims of the game while his best anytime TD price sits at 22¢ on Kalshi. That is the widest gap between the Sims and the market on the NFL Week 6 Sunday slate, which opens with the Texans and Jaguars in London at 9:30 AM ET and closes with the Cowboys at the Packers on Sunday Night Football. Below are the best anytime TD scorer bets across all 12 Sunday games, the likeliest scorers in each one, and the Sims' best DraftKings parlay for every game.
The rest of the answers are one question away in Ask the Sims, free on Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings and FanDuel. Type a question about Jets vs. Patriots, or tap one below. The Sims answer it on this page, from the same 10,000 runs, with Kalshi's live price next to it.
Best Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets For NFL Week 6 Sunday
The Sims call 32 anytime touchdowns on the Sunday slate a Buy. These are the ten with the widest edge, with the cheapest price we found for each.
| Player | Game | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | Jets vs. Patriots | 35% | 22¢ Kalshi | 12.3% |
| Kendrick Bourne | Cardinals vs. Rams | 22% | 11¢ Kalshi | 11.2% |
| Laquon Treadwell | Titans vs. Colts | 24% | 12¢ Kalshi | 11.0% |
| Drake London | Bears vs. Falcons | 52% | 44¢ Kalshi | 8.3% |
| Keenan Allen | Titans vs. Colts | 29% | 22¢ Kalshi | 7.9% |
| Carnell Tate | Titans vs. Colts | 30% | 22¢ Kalshi | 7.0% |
| Efton Chism III | Jets vs. Patriots | 22% | 16¢ Kalshi | 6.9% |
| Deshaun Watson | Ravens vs. Browns | 23% | 16¢ Kalshi | 6.5% |
| Luther Burden III | Bears vs. Falcons | 39% | 32¢ Kalshi | 6.5% |
| George Pickens | Cowboys vs. Packers | 44% | 38¢ Kalshi | 6.5% |
Edge is how much more often the player scores in the Sims than his best price implies. Buy is an edge of 3% or more; Pass is anything less. Prices as of Fri, Oct 16, 10:50 AM CT.
A quarterback's touchdown pass doesn't count as his anytime touchdown, so the quarterbacks on these boards are about them running one in.
Anytime TD Scorers And The Best DraftKings Parlay For Every Sunday Game
Every game's four likeliest scorers, then the best 3-leg parlay the Sims found on DraftKings. When Ask the Sims flags a parlay's edge as possibly coming from a stale price, we skip it and list the best one without that warning. Games run in kickoff order.
Texans vs. Jaguars Anytime TD Scorers: 9:30 AM ET, London
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 40% | 34¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| Parker Washington | 38% | 34¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 37% | 40¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Woody Marks | 29% | 42¢ Kalshi | PASS |
Best DraftKings parlay: C.J. Stroud under 257 passing yards, Dalton Schultz under 34 receiving yards and Nico Collins under 74 receiving yards. The Sims price it at +299 against a likely DraftKings price of +436, an edge of 6.4%.
Ask the Sims about Texans vs. JaguarsCheck my pick · Best DraftKings parlayCheck my pick
Ravens vs. Browns Anytime TD Scorers: 1:00 PM ET
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 57% | 60¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Zay Flowers | 35% | 34¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Denzel Boston | 29% | 32¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Deshaun Watson | 23% | 16¢ Kalshi | BUY |
Ask the Sims flags every DraftKings parlay it built for this game as possibly priced off a stale line, so there is no parlay pick here. Ask again closer to kickoff for a fresh build.
Ask the Sims about Ravens vs. BrownsCheck my pick · Best DraftKings parlayCheck my pick
Panthers vs. Eagles Anytime TD Scorers: 1:00 PM ET
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard | 46% | 50¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 37% | 32¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| Jalen Coker | 32% | 26¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| Dameon Pierce | 24% | 32¢ Kalshi | PASS |
Best DraftKings parlay: Bryce Young under 242 passing yards, Tanner McKee 30+ pass attempts and Bryce Young under 22 completions. The Sims price it at +225 against a likely DraftKings price of +391, an edge of 10.4%.

Ask the Sims about Panthers vs. EaglesCheck my pick · Best DraftKings parlayCheck my pick
Bears vs. Falcons Anytime TD Scorers: 1:00 PM ET
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 65% | 68¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| D'Andre Swift | 54% | 58¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Drake London | 52% | 44¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| Luther Burden III | 39% | 32¢ Kalshi | BUY |
Best DraftKings parlay: Caleb Williams under 2 passing TDs, Zachariah Branch under 13 receiving yards and Brian Robinson under 36 rushing yards. The Sims price it at +533 against a likely DraftKings price of +732, an edge of 3.8%.
Ask the Sims about Bears vs. FalconsCheck my pick · Best DraftKings parlayCheck my pick
Saints vs. Giants Anytime TD Scorers: 1:00 PM ET
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 43% | 38¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| Cam Skattebo | 42% | 47¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Malik Nabers | 40% | 34¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| Kendre Miller | 30% | 34¢ Kalshi | PASS |
Best DraftKings parlay: Chris Olave 7+ receptions, Alvin Kamara 25+ rushing yards and CJ Donaldson 10+ rushing yards. The Sims price it at +289 against a likely DraftKings price of +523, an edge of 9.7%.
Ask the Sims about Saints vs. GiantsCheck my pick · Best DraftKings parlayCheck my pick
Jets vs. Patriots Anytime TD Scorers: 1:00 PM ET
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 48% | 58¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Garrett Wilson | 36% | 32¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| Drake Maye | 35% | 22¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| Romeo Doubs | 33% | 31¢ Kalshi | PASS |
Best DraftKings parlay: Drake Maye under 2 passing TDs, Jets +7.5 and Drake Maye under 240 passing yards. The Sims price it at +381 against a likely DraftKings price of +504, an edge of 4.2%.
Ask the Sims about Jets vs. PatriotsCheck my pick · Best DraftKings parlayCheck my pick
Steelers vs. Buccaneers Anytime TD Scorers: 1:00 PM ET
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren | 45% | 44¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Bucky Irving | 34% | 32¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| DK Metcalf | 32% | 30¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Germie Bernard | 26% | 22¢ Kalshi | BUY |
Best DraftKings parlay: Jaylen Warren under 60 rushing yards, Jalon Daniels under 177 passing yards and Cade Otton under 32 receiving yards. The Sims price it at +373 against a likely DraftKings price of +500, an edge of 4.4%.
Ask the Sims about Steelers vs. BuccaneersCheck my pick · Best DraftKings parlayCheck my pick
Titans vs. Colts Anytime TD Scorers: 1:00 PM ET
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 64% | 67¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Tyler Warren | 36% | 36¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Tony Pollard | 34% | 33¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Josh Downs | 34% | 30¢ Kalshi | BUY |
Best DraftKings parlay: Laquon Treadwell scores a TD, Wan'Dale Robinson under 5 receptions and Josh Downs 15+ receiving yards. The Sims price it at +705 against a likely DraftKings price of +1185, an edge of 4.6%.
Ask the Sims about Titans vs. ColtsCheck my pick · Best DraftKings parlayCheck my pick
Cardinals vs. Rams Anytime TD Scorers: 4:05 PM ET
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams | 62% | 64¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Puka Nacua | 61% | 58¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| Davante Adams | 42% | 50¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Blake Corum | 37% | 38¢ Kalshi | PASS |
Best DraftKings parlay: Jacoby Brissett 10+ rushing yards, Elijah Higgins under 14 receiving yards and Kyren Williams 15+ receiving yards. The Sims price it at +429 against a likely DraftKings price of +608, an edge of 4.8%.
Ask the Sims about Cardinals vs. RamsCheck my pick · Best DraftKings parlayCheck my pick
Bills vs. Raiders Anytime TD Scorers: 4:25 PM ET
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty | 53% | 54¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| James Cook | 51% | 60¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Brock Bowers | 45% | 48¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Josh Allen | 45% | 58¢ Kalshi | PASS |
Best DraftKings parlay: James Cook 20+ rush attempts, Brock Bowers under 7 receptions and Kirk Cousins under 24 completions. The Sims price it at +332 against a likely DraftKings price of +581, an edge of 8.5%.
Ask the Sims about Bills vs. RaidersCheck my pick · Best DraftKings parlayCheck my pick
Chargers vs. Chiefs Anytime TD Scorers: 4:25 PM ET
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | 64% | 60¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| Travis Kelce | 33% | 38¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Xavier Worthy | 31% | 34¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Omarion Hampton | 19% | 24¢ Kalshi | PASS |
Best DraftKings parlay: Justin Herbert 18+ completions, Kenneth Walker III under 121 rushing and receiving yards and Kenneth Walker III under 4 receptions. The Sims price it at +292 against a likely DraftKings price of +434, an edge of 6.8%.
Ask the Sims about Chargers vs. ChiefsCheck my pick · Best DraftKings parlayCheck my pick
Cowboys vs. Packers Anytime TD Scorers: 8:20 PM ET
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | 53% | 62¢ Kalshi | PASS |
| Christian Watson | 48% | 42¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| CeeDee Lamb | 47% | 42¢ Kalshi | BUY |
| George Pickens | 44% | 38¢ Kalshi | BUY |
Best DraftKings parlay: Kaleb Johnson scores a TD, Jake Ferguson under 27 receiving yards and Javonte Williams under 90 rushing and receiving yards. The Sims price it at +1312 against a likely DraftKings price of +2682, an edge of 3.5%.
Ask the Sims about Cowboys vs. PackersCheck my pick · Best DraftKings parlayCheck my pick
What Fans Are Asking the Sims About NFL Week 6
These came in through Ask the Sims this week, with the Sims' answers.
- Marvin Harrison Jr. 21+ receiving yardsCheck my pick: 50.6% in the Sims (-102)
- Josh Allen 1+ rushing TDsCheck my pick: 44.8% in the Sims (+123)
- Josh Allen 2+ rushing TDsCheck my pick: 10.6% in the Sims (+840)
Prices are a snapshot from Fri, Oct 16, 10:50 AM CT and move before kickoff, so check the live price before you bet. These are model estimates and market prices, not financial advice: the Sims estimate how often outcomes happen, and they are not guarantees.
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